Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-03-14, 09:28

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for March 27, 2014

In Asia, Japan will not release any economic data and the US will release some economic data such as Unemployment Claims, Final GDP q/q, Final GDP Price Index q/q, Pending Home Sales m/m, Natural Gas Storage. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.38.
Resistance. 2: 102.18.
Resistance. 1: 101.99.
Support. 1: 101.74.
Support. 2: 101.54.
Support. 3: 101.34.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (101.34) and resistance 3 (102.38). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 28-03-14, 08:37

Technical analysis of USD/CAD for March 28, 2014

The pair has been in a downtrend from the 1.1279 level. The pair has kept correcting for the last 5 days. It has erased all its gains this week. In Asia's trading session, the pair is trading at 1.1031. The pair is trading near the support trend line (purple) and below all the near moving averages that raises bearish view. On the downside, the pair has support at 1.0955 and 1.0910. A move below the level of 1.0910 makes real problems for bulls, and bears will take the pair towards the blue trend lines and the last lower support level at 1.0687 (200EMA).

In the H4 chart, RSI is giving a buy signal. As of now, the pair is trading at 1.1031. We expect a pullback in 1 or 2 days. On the upside, it is facing resistance at 1.1089, above this, it will fly up to 1.1119, 1.114, and 1.1162.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 31-03-14, 11:49

Gold technical analysis for March 31, 2014

Gold prce has made an impulsive decline from $1,391 to $1,285. This impulsive decline together with the fact that the upward breakout was fake, makes me believe that Gold price will have more downside pressure if the price remains below $1,400. I believe that over the next few months, we will see Gold price making new lower lows than $1,180 towards $1,100. Gold price in the short-term is oversold and that is why my strategy is to wait for an upward bounce before enterish short positions.

Gold price has finally broken out of the downward sloping red trend line. This is an initial reversal sign and a clue that the short-term bottom might be in. As long as price trades above $1,285, there are increased probabilities of moving higher towards $1,322. Short-term resistance is found at $1,308-10. Short-term support is at $1,285. I expect Gold price to retrace at least the 38% of the decline.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 01-04-14, 10:24

Technical analysis of Gold for April 01, 2014

Gold prices may recieve support from the Asian physical demand, but ultimately we would expect the rising costs of production to provide a floor under which gold prices will stop falling. As these rising costs of production catches up with the price of gold, so prices will form a base and eventually begin moving higher once more.
In the Asia's trading session, gold is trading at $1,282. Before I have started writing this report, gold dropped to $1,277 and then pulled back. Due to oversold levels in the H1 and H4 chart, gold pulled back from the lower levels. As I recommended earlier, gold will gain some buying support between $1,279-$1,260 levels. In the H1 chart, the price is making some base around the level of $1,282. I prefer to go long with sl at $1,277 for targets at $1,287, $1,291, and $1,293 levels. On the upside, $1,294 is the strong resistance level for intraday perspective, above this the price will push towards $1,298 and $1,304 levels. On the down side, if the price breaks the $1,277 levels, go short for targets at $1,270, $1,265, and $1,261 levels.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 02-04-14, 11:02

Fundamental analysis of USD/CAD for April 02, 2014

We expect this pair to continue to consolidate with the possibility of a breakout or breakdown after Friday's numbers, but until then it is going to be very difficult to imagine the market doing anything of substance as the area has been so well-defined. The pair behavior is very sensitive to these particular announcement. Because of this, we feel that this is one that we can only buy at this moment time, at least until we see what the job numbers (US-non farm payroll, CAD-employment data) are.
The pair has been in a downtrend from 1.1279 and it has been consolidating near 1.1 levels. RSI is supporting for pull back view in the H4 & H1 charts. For hourly basis, the pair is facing resistance at 1.0380. One can enter longs above this level for targets at 1.0469 immediately. Above this, 1.1070 and 1.10917 are the resistance levels. On the downside, 1.1 is the strong support.
On an intraday basis, the pair is facing resistance at 1.105. If the pair crosses the purple line, it will fly up to 1.1081 (200EMA) and 1.1123 (50SMA). This view is valid until it breaks the 1.1 support levels. On the down side, if the pair breaks the 1.1 levels, the pair will move up to 1.0955 (March 06 low) and 1.0910 (February's low) and 1.08 levels. Until it holds the 1.1 levels, we can see a bit of pullback and bear attack will be possible, once the pair starts trading below 1.1 levels.
In fact, it's not until we get below 1.09 that we could possibly think about shorting this market. It obviously looks very supportive, and as a result, we simply will not sell until we are well below that level. In the meantime, even a pullback from here should be a nice buying opportunity as far as we can say, and with that we are in somewhat of a buy only mode".

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 03-04-14, 09:57

Technical analysis of Silver for April 03, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. Silver finally shows concrete signs of having bottomed out around $19.50 now. Yesterday the metal rallied past the $20.00 levels comfortable. It is expected to continue the rally in coming sessions. The chart view here shows a concrete bullish reversal signal. Recommendations are to remain long for now, risk remains at $19.25.
2. Resistance is at $21.70 (bulls would like to take this out now), followed by $22.30 and $23.00, while support is seen at $19.00, followed by $18.75 and lower respectively.
3.The structure remains constructive for bulls till prices remain above $19.00. $20.20/30 is immediate price target before a pullback.
Trading recommendations:
Remain long for now, set stop at $19.00, target is open.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 04-04-14, 12:01

Technical analysis of GBP/USD for April 4, 2014

Overview:
It should be noted that the first key level will set at the level of 1.6585 and the second key level will set at the 1.6650 level on April 4, 2014. Also, it should be noticed that the levels are coinciding with the weekly pivot point and the double top respectively. Equally important, the price of GBP/USD pair has still been moving between 1.6570 and 1.6613. Furthermore, the trend has been very clear indicating downward direction. As it is known, sellers are asking for a high price. Accordingly, we expect that the trend is going to call for the bearish market at the level of 1.6650 in H1 chart. As a result, sell at the price of 1.6650 with the first target of 1.6585 in order to test the weekly pivot point and it might resume to 1.6520. On the other hand, your stop loss should be placed above the 1.6650, hence it will helpful to set it at the price of 1.6683. Additionally, it should be noted that the range was about 91 pips yesterday.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 08-04-14, 10:05

Technical analysis of USD/CHF for April 08, 2014

The pair is in an uptrend at 0.87 levels. The pair made a high at 0.8952 on Friday. Currently, the pair is trading at 0.8876 in an Aisa's trading session. The pair is facing a strong resistance at 0.88788 (50SMA); above this, 0.8928 is a strong resistance level. Below 50SMA, 0.8866 and 0.8853 are the small support levels. Until the pair trades below the 50SMA, it looks weak. RSI is giving a buying signal. The pair is looking for a strong base to change its direction upwards. After a day close above the 0.8878 level, fresh up move will be intact for 0.8928 first and 0.8952. We will see new high (0.90) when the pair closes above the 0.8928 level. On the down side, the levels of 0.8815, 0.8787, and 0.8699 are the support levels.

In the H4 chart, the pair is making a lower low and higher highs formation. Currently, it is looking for support levels. RSI is not favoring longs. The support levels exist at 0.8871 and 0.8859. In case of a break below these levels, it will fall to 0.884, 0.8820, and 0.8785 levels. On the upside, if the pair holds the 0.8871 and 0.8859 levels intradaily, it will fly up to 0.8889 and 0.8930 levels.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 09-04-14, 10:01

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for April 09, 2014

The pair is in a downtrend from 1.3967 levels. In the H4 chart, the pair came out from the 10-day trading pattern. The pair is doing what the cable is doing. The pair is facing resistance at 1.3810, above that, at 1.3820. The momentum indicators are favoring sell side. For 2 or 3 days perspective, sell on rallies is the best strategy. On the up side, if the pair crosses the 1.3820 levels, it will fly up to 1.3876 levels.

The positional trend will change once the pair closes above the 1.396 levels. On the down side, the pair has strong support at 1.3770, below this, 1.3755 is the strong support. Weakness will persist in this pair when the pair breaks and closes below the 1.3755 level. If it happens, the pair will drift all the way to 1.3673 and 1.3643 levels easily. If the pair closes below 1.3737 (yesterday's low), weakness starts in this pair.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-04-14, 10:31

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 10, 2014

In Asia, Japan will release the Core Machinery Orders m/m, Bank Lending y/y, Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y and the US will release some economic data such as Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction, Federal Budget Balance. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.46.
Resistance. 2: 102.26.
Resistance. 1: 102.06.
Support. 1: 101.81.
Support. 2: 101.61.
Support. 3: 101.41.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (101.41) and resistance 3 (102.46). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 11-04-14, 11:24

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 11, 2014

In Asia, Japan will release the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, CGPI y/y, M2 Money Stock y/y, 30-y Bond Auction; the US will release some economic data such as PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during the Asian and US sessions.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.10.
Resistance. 2: 101.90.
Resistance. 1: 101.70.
Support. 1: 101.45.
Support. 2: 101.25.
Support. 3: 101.05.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (101.05) and resistance 3 (102.10). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 14-04-14, 10:52

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 14, 2014

In Asia, Japan will not release any economic data and the US will release some economic data such as Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Business Inventories m/m. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during the Asian session, but with low to medium volatility during the US session.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.02.
Resistance. 2: 101.82.
Resistance. 1: 101.62.
Support. 1: 101.38.
Support. 2: 101.19.
Support. 3: 100.98.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (100.98) and resistance 3 (102.02). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-04-14, 10:00

Technical analysis of USD for April 15, 2014

USD
The US Dollar Index fell during the course of last week, but remained above the 79 level. The 79 level is of course is supportive, and we believe it is a major inflection point. We feel that this market will go to the 84 level, given enough time in order to see the bulls continuing to take control of a market that they've had a strong presence in. On top of that, you can also make an argument for consolidation between this area and the 81.25 level, as we have seen it in the last six months proved to be relatively tight. With that, we most certainly have an upward bias at this point, but recognize that a breakdown below the 79 level would in fact be very significant. On that move, we would expect this market to drop all the way down to the 77.83 and 75 levels, but it would take some time. The level of 78.60 would of course offer support as well, but it is much more of a minor area than the 79 is, as we continue to see the market bounce from its handle. If we break above the 81.25 level, we can see a new high this year.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 17-04-14, 09:01

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 17, 2014

In Asia, Japan is going to report on the Consumer Confidence, and the BOJ Gov Kuroda Speech. The US will release some economic data such as Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Natural Gas Storage. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during this day.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.58.
Resistance. 2: 102.38.
Resistance. 1: 102.18.
Support. 1: 101.94.
Support. 2: 101.73.
Support. 3: 101.53.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 21-04-14, 10:57

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 21, 2014

In Asia, Japan will release the Trade Balance and the US will release some economic data such as CB Leading Index m/m. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during this day.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 103.16.
Resistance. 2: 102.96.
Resistance. 1: 102.76.
Support. 1: 102.51.
Support. 2: 102.31.
Support. 3: 102.11.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (102.11) and resistance 3 (103.16). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 22-04-14, 10:03

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 22, 2014

In Asia, Japan will not release any economic data, and the US will release some economic data such as HPI m/m, Existing Home Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during the Asian session, but with high volatility during the US session.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 103.17.
Resistance. 2: 102.97.
Resistance. 1: 102.77.
Support. 1: 102.52.
Support. 2: 102.32.
Support. 3: 102.12.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (102.12) and resistance 3 (103.17). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY rebounds from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it is a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 23-04-14, 09:46

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for April 23, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. The GBP/CHF pair seems to be in its last leg of rally that begun from sub 1.4450 levels. Implications are that the pair may reverse/retrace from current levels (1.4900/1.4880) or from 1.4960. As seen here, the 1.4600/50 levels remain of particular interest to initiate long positions again.
2. Support starts from 1.4630/40 (intermediary), followed by 1.4450/1.4350, 1.4200 and lower while resistance is at 1.4950/60, followed by 1.5120 respectively.
3. The structure indicates that GBP/CHF would remain a buy on dips till prices stay above 1.4450/1.4500 levels.

Trading recommendations:
Look to buy lower around 1.4600 on a pullback and bullish bounce.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 24-04-14, 10:05

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 24, 2014

In Asia, Japan will release the CSPI y/y and the US will release some economic data such as Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Unemployment Claims, Natural Gas Storage, Durable Goods Orders m/m. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during the Asian session, but with low to medium volatility during the US session.

TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.99.
Resistance. 2: 102.79.
Resistance. 1: 102.59.
Support. 1: 102.34.
Support. 2: 102.13.
Support. 3: 101.93.

DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (101.93) and resistance 3 (102.99). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 28-04-14, 10:34

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for April 28, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. The GBP/CHF pair is trading close to the 1.4800 levels for now.The minimum level of interest to initiate fresh long positions is around 1.4730/50, which is the 0.382 fibonacci retracement of the entire rally from 1.4450 to 1.4900. Recommendations are to remain flat for now and watch for lower levels.
2. Support is at 1.4630, followed by 1.4525, 1.4450, 1.4350 and lower while resistance is at 1.4950 and 1.5120 respectively.
3. The structure indicates that GBP/CHF retracement/pullback could continue till 1.4750 levels. Bulls may regain control from there on to push higher towards 1.4950 levels. On the flip side, a break of 1.4630 would indicate further bearishness.

Trading recommendations:
Remain flat for now.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 29-04-14, 09:37

Technical analysis of Silver for April 29, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. Silver is trading around $19.50/60 levels for now having formed lows at $18.90 last week. It needs to break $20.40 levels though before it can be confirmed that the metal has turned bullish. Recommendations are to remain flat for now.
2. Support is at $18.90, followed by $18.75, and $18.00 while resistance is at $20.40, $21.70, $22.30, and higher respectively.
3. The structure indicates that Silver remains cautiously bullish for now. A break of $20.40 would confirm the reversal.

Trading recommendations:
Remain flat for now.

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