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  1. #2121
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Indicator Analysis of EUR/USD on March 22, 2024


    Today, the price may move downward from the level of 1.0860 (closing of yesterday's daily candlestick) to 1.0836, the historical support level (blue dotted line).

    In the case of testing this level, an upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.0864, the 38.2% pullback level (red dotted line). Alternatively, from the level of 1.0860 (closing of yesterday's daily candlestick), the price may move downward to 1.0836, the historical support level (blue dotted line). In the case of testing this level, a continued downward movement is possible with a target of 1.0804, the 61.8% pullback level (blue dotted line).


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  2. #2122
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    On Monday, the information background in Japan and the USA will be very weak. The impact of the information background on market sentiment for the rest of the day may be absent. Forecast for USD/JPY and trading recommendations: Selling the yen today may be considered upon rebound from 151.95 on the 4-hour chart with a target of 150.90 or upon closing below the ascending trend corridor on the hourly chart with a target of 149.86. Purchases were possible upon closing above 148.55 on the hourly chart and above 148.79 on the 4-hour chart, with targets at 149.66, 150.89, and 151.95. The first two targets have been reached, and waiting for the third target to be reached makes no sense.


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  3. #2123
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis on March 26



    EUR/USD

    Higher Timeframes At the opening of the new trading week, bullish players took the initiative. Yesterday, they slightly recovered their positions and executed a retest of the weekly levels (1.0829-39). Now, it is crucial what the outcome of the impending ascent will be. Perhaps the retest will conclude, and bears who took a pause will return to the market, or another scenario may prevail, wherein the bulls continue the ascent and test the accumulation zone of the next resistances at 1.0862 - 1.0876.

    GBP/USD

    Higher timeframes Bears failed to maintain their momentum; yesterday, the opponents seized the initiative. As a result, the pair returned to the daily cloud (1.2629-62). If bulls prevail in the current confrontation, plans for the liquidation of the death cross of the daily Ichimoku cloud will become relevant again; the levels of the cross can now be marked at the boundaries of 1.2698 - 1.2733 - 1.2771. Currently, the strengthening is represented by the weekly short-term trend (1.2705). If bears regain their momentum in the market, they will have to start with a new attempt to test the support zone at 1.2589 - 1.2566 - 1.2582, which combines monthly and weekly levels.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  4. #2124
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Overview of the EUR/USD pair. March 27th. The ECB is fully prepared for easing in June

    On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade calmly with low volatility. During the day, the moving average line was tested, but the downward trend remains intact. Even if there is a confident breakthrough of the moving average, it will not signify the beginning of a new upward trend.

    It's worth noting that on the 24-hour TF, the technical picture allows no room for double interpretation. Initially, we saw a strong correction against the new downward trend, followed by a weak correction within the framework of this same downward trend. Thus, the decline of the pair should resume almost in any case. Of course, phrases like "should resume" or "in any case" are unsuitable for the currency market. The point is that market makers dominate the market, often making trading decisions regardless of their fundamental and macroeconomic backgrounds.

    However, we pay attention to news and reports, as many market participants do. With the same success, one could say that market makers pay no attention to technical analysis, but that doesn't mean it shouldn't be used now. Therefore, with careful analysis, it becomes clear that, according to common sense and logic, the European currency should continue to decline.

    However, only some can command major players to sell euros and buy dollars. Hence, any forecast carries only a certain probability of execution. As long as the price remains below the 4-hour TF moving average and below the Ichimoku indicator lines on the 24-hour TF, it's evident that a resumption of the decline is more likely. Regarding the fundamental background, several ECB representatives spoke during the first two days of the week.



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