Thread: Instaforex Analysis
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16-06-22, 11:04 #1721Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 16, 2022
On Wednesday, the US Federal Reserve raised its base rate from 1.00% to 1.75%, in line with bold expectations. The majority of investors expected an increase to 1.50%. The sharp increase in the rate led to massive purchases of US government bonds, th
Yesterday, the euro traded within the range of target levels 1.0340-1.0493. Its growth is visually perceived as a correction. We believe that the imbalance of the single currency due to a strong rate hike will end today, so we are waiting for the closing of the day with a decrease. And then we are waiting for the price to leave under the support of 1.0340 and advance to 1.0170. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator shows the intention to turn down from the border with the growth territory. It is very similar to the fact that the oscillator is forming a short-term range in the negative zone. And this is consolidation before the next decline.
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17-06-22, 08:55 #1722Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on June 17, 2022
For the last two days, Wednesday and Thursday, the yen corrected after a strong growth since the final days of May. The correction ended at the embedded price channel line at 131.48. The Marlin Oscillator has not left the positive area, which confirms the corrective nature of the decline.
In today's Asian session the pair is trying to go over the resistance of the upper sloping line at 133.80 as soon as possible. If it succeeds, then the target opens at 135.59 (high on June 15), then 137.20.
On the 4-hour chart, the price had a good momentum before attacking 133.80, and above this level there is the MACD line (134.65), which needs to be overcome before the key event of the transition above 135.59. The Marlin Oscillator has not yet left the downward trend, it needs to do so as soon as possible, because without the help of the oscillator, the price may not move above the MACD line. The main scenario is rising.
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20-06-22, 10:50 #1723Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 20, 2022
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair had almost retraced 61% of the last wave down and made a Pin Bar candlestick at the level of 1.0661, 14 pips away from the Fibonacci retracement level. Since then, the bulls keep trying to continue the bounce, keep making the local pull-backs, but the level of 1.0615 is still unreachable for them. The nearest technical support is seen at 1.0469 - 1.0448, so as long as the market trades above this zone, the outlook remains bullish. Please notice, that despite the recent efforts, the bulls are still trading inside the bearish zone and they need to break above the level of 1.0678 to enter the bullish zone.
The up trend can be continued towards the next long-term target located at the level of 1.1186 only if the complex corrective structure will terminate soon (above 1.0335) and the market breaks above 1.0678 level. The bullish cycle scenario is confirmed by breakout above the level of 1.0726, otherwise the bears will push the price lower towards the next long-term target at the level of 1.0335 or below.
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21-06-22, 08:37 #1724Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: ETHUSD, Potential For Bearish drop | 21st June 2022
Description On the H4, with price moving below our ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support at 702 in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level from our 1st resistance at 1282 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance is. Alternatively, price may not break structure and head for our 2nd resistance at 1739 where the pullback resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 1282 Reason for Entry: Horizontal pullback resistance
Take Profit: 702Reason for Take Profit:78.6% Fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 1739 Reason for Stop Loss:Horizontal pullback resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
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22-06-22, 08:30 #1725Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBPUSD Potential For Bullish Continuation | 22nd June 2022
Description: On the H4, with prices expected to bounce off the ichimoku support, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 1.21846 where the horizontal overlap support,50% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection to our 1st resistance at 1.24327 in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and pullback resistance. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 1.19313 where the horizontal swing low support is.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 1.21846Reason for Entry:horizontal overlap support,50% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection
Take Profit: 1.24327Reason for Take Profit:61.8% fibonacci projection, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and pullback resistance
Stop Loss: 1.19313Reason for Stop Loss: horizontal swing low support
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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23-06-22, 08:27 #1726Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDCHF, Potential For Bullish rise | 23rd June 2022
Description : On the H4, with the price expected to bounce off the RSI indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.95475 where the horizontal swing low support and 100% Fibonacci projection is to our 1st resistance at 0.97148 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support at 0.94114 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension is.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 0.95475 Reason for Entry: Horizontal swing low support and 100% Fibonacci projection
Take Profit: 0.97148Reason for Take Profit:Horizontal swing high resistance
Stop Loss: 0.94114Reason for Stop Loss:127.2% Fibonacci extension
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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24-06-22, 08:46 #1727Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDJPY Potential For Bullish Continuation | 24th June 2022
Description:
On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 135.536 in line with the pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to our 1st resistance at 138.846 where the 161.8% fibonacci extension and 78.6% fibonacci projection are . Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 131.607 in line with the swing low support,78.6% fibonacci projection and 50% fibonacci retracement.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 135.536
Reason for Entry:horizontal pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 138.846
Reason for Take Profit:161.8% fibonacci extension and 78.6% fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 131.607
Reason for Stop Loss: horizontal swing low support,78.6% fibonacci projection and 50% fibonacci retracement
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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27-06-22, 12:40 #1728Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDCAD, Potential For Bullish Bounce | 27th June 2022
On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 1.28647 where the horizontal swing low support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement is to our 1st resistance at 1.30128 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the horizontal pullback support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 1.28647 Reason for Entry: Horizontal swing low support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 1.30128
Reason for Take Profit: Horizontal swing high resistanceStop Loss: 1.27189 Reason for Stop Loss:
Horizontal pullback support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
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28-06-22, 09:51 #1729Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of Gold for June 28, 2022
Gold has been consolidating since it peaked at 2,075 in August 2020. With higher lows, it's likely that an ascending triangle is developing. If this is the case, we should see a rally towards the resistance line near 2,075 before a final corrective decline to 1,890 before the real take-off towards 2,400 and 2,700.
That said, it's important to remember, that fifth waves within the commodity complex often become runaway rallies. If this is the case here too, then 2,700 may be just a minor bump on the way higher to 3,340.
In the short term, a break above minor resistance at 1,857 will call for a rally towards 2,075 in wave D.
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29-06-22, 08:45 #1730Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: EURUSD Potential For Bearish Continuation | 29th June 2022
On H4, with price recently breaking the ascending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will continue to drop from the 1st resistance at 1.06047 at the pullback resistance in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection and 61.8% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 1.03541 in line with the multiple horizontal swing lows. Alternatively, price may reverse off the 1st resistance and rise to the 2nd resistance at 1.07814 at the horizontal swing high in line with the 50% fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 1.06047
Reason for Entry:
Pullback resistance in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection and 61.8% fibonacci retracementTake Profit: 1.03541
Reason for Take Profit:Multiple horizontal swing lowsStop Loss: 1.07814 Reason for Stop Loss:
Horizontal swing high in line with the 50% fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection.
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30-06-22, 11:21 #1731Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for June 30, 2022
Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has been rejected from the main channel lower line as the bulls failed to rally back inside the main channel. The price went lower to break below the key short-term technical support seen at the level of 1.2165 - 1.2155 and now this level is being tested from below. If the bearish pressure intensify and the level of 1.2165 holds, the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.2072 or below. The supply zone located between the levels of 1.2618 - 1.2697 is still the main obstacle for bulls that needs to be broken if the rally is expected to be continued, but for now bulls can not even get back to the main channel.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2507
WR2 - 1.2415
WR1 - 1.2351
Weekly Pivot - 1.2242
WS1 - 1.2181
WS2 - 1.2088
WS3 - 1.2017
Trading Outlook:
The price broke below the level of 1.3000 quite long time ago, so the bears enforced and confirmed their control over the market in the long term. The Cable is way below 100 and 200 WMA , so the bearish domination is clear and there is no indication of trend termination or reversal. The bulls are now trying to start the corrective cycle after a big Pin Bar candlestick pattern was made last week. The next long term target for bears is seen at the level of 1.1989. Please remember: trend is your friend.
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01-07-22, 09:30 #1732Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 1, 2022
Mixed data on Europe and the US came out on Thursday, which led to a breakthrough of counter-dollar currencies into correction, the dollar index lost 0.39% on the day. If you look closely at adjacent markets, and there the yield on 5-year US government bonds decreased from 3.13% to 3.04% and the S&P 500 fell by 0.88% while gold fell by 0.55%, then the idea arises that the growth of the euro and other currencies occurred primarily due to the short-term weakness of the dollar itself. This weakness may extend the corrective growth of the euro to the MACD line on the daily chart (1.0515), but then we are waiting for a new round of weakening of the single currency.
The eurozone CPI for June will be released today, the forecast for it is 8.4% Y/Y against 8.1% Y/Y in May. The US ISM index of business activity in the manufacturing sector for June will also be published, the forecast for which is 54.9 against 56.1 earlier. The discrepancy in the data may help the euro to technically finalize the correction.
On the EUR/USD daily chart, the price is near the target level of 1.0493, which was not worked out yesterday, this is a technical factor of the price's desire to go above this resistance to the MACD line (1.0515). The price could also fall from current levels if the dollar's weakness was due to speculative reasons, then large players will open long positions on the dollar due to the positions of euro optimists. Ultimately, we are still waiting for the euro at the target level of 1.0340 - at the low of January 2017.
The price has settled above the MACD indicator line on the four-hour chart, but the Marlin Oscillator is still in the negative zone. As in the daily chart, the current situation is not defined. Consolidating below the MACD line will increase the chances of moving downward, settling above the level of 1.0493 will slightly delay the euro with a reversal into a new wave of weakening.
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04-07-22, 09:32 #1733Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of NZD/USD for July 4, 2022
NZD/USD is still correcting the long-term decline from the 1.4900 high in 1973 to 0.3900 in 2000 and we are looking for a continuation higher to the 50% corrective target at 0.9450 before the correction is complete.
In the short term, we expect support near 0.6050 to be able to protect the downside for the next impulsive rally towards our long-term target near 0.9450 to complete the correction and come under new downside pressure.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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05-07-22, 08:20 #1734Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 5, 2022
In the absence of American players on the market yesterday, the euro did not fall, and growth is planned this morning. The correction will probably continue to the target level of 1.0493 with a slight overlap, until the MACD indicator line of the daily scale (1.0515) is worked out.
The daily Marlin Oscillator is turning up, helping the correction. From the indicated resistances, a price reversal to the target level of 1.0340 is likely. If the price settles above 1.0493 (this is an alternative), the price will continue to rise to the target level of 1.0600. Yesterday's small attempt to increase the price was stopped by the MACD indicator line of the four-hour scale. The Marlin Oscillator is currently crossing the border with the territory of the growing trend, which helps the price to re-attack the MACD line (1.0454). Breaking this line will open the 1.0493 target.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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06-07-22, 08:06 #1735Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 6, 2022
The euro fell 158 points yesterday, leaving the nearest support at 1.0340 far behind. The decline in the euro was qualitative - the fall occurred in all major stock exchange values: Dow Jones -0.42%, EuroStoxx50 -2.68%, oil -8.34% (WTI), the yield on 5-year US government bonds decreased from 2.91 % to 2.82%.
The fall in the Eurozone Composite PMI for June from 54.8 to 52.0 added to this. Obviously, the price is now facing the 1.0170 target. We are waiting for a correction from this level, and then again a decline to a new bearish target of 1.0020. The price fell with a reversal from the MACD indicator line on a four-hour scale. The price settled under the level of 1.0340. The Marlin Oscillator is rising slightly correctively, after which it will be ready to continue the decline along with the price.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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07-07-22, 15:23 #1736Senior Member Just starting here
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GBPUSD Potential For Bearish Continuation | 7th July 2022
On the H4, with prices moving below the ichimoku indicator and within the descending channel, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from our 1st resistance at 1.19313 where the horizontal pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection are to our 1st support at 1.18235 where the 161.8% fibonacci extension, -61.8% fibonacci expansion and 61.8% fibonacci projection are. Alternatively, price could rise to 2nd resistance at 1.19762 in line with the pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 1.19313
Reason for Entry:
Horizontal pullback resistance
Take Profit: 1.18235
Reason for Take Profit:161.8% fibonacci extension, -61.8% fibonacci expansion and 61.8% fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 1.19762
Reason for Stop Loss:
Pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement
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08-07-22, 09:07 #1737Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of GBP/JPY for July 8, 2022
We are looking for a break below support at 159.98 to confirm that the X-wave has peaked at 168.98 and wave Y now is in motion towards the 150.09 target and possibly even lower to the 61.8% corrective target near 145.72.
We expect minor resistance at 164.62 will be able to cap the upside for a break below support at 159.98 confirming the next part of the decline towards 150.09. *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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11-07-22, 08:27 #1738Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for July 11, 2022
Technical Market Outlook: The GBP/USD pair has retraced 61% of the last wave down and hit the level of 1.2054, however after the pull-back the bulls are still trying to resume the bounce. Despite this bounce, the weak and negative momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the bearish outlook. The supply zone located between the levels of 1.2160 - 1.2187 is still the main short-term obstacle for bulls that needs to be broken if the rally is expected to be continued.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2601
WR2 - 1.2311
WR1 - 1.2169
Weekly Pivot - 1.2022
WS1 - 1.1879
WS2 - 1.1732
WS3 - 1.14433
Trading Outlook: The price broke below the level of 1.3000 quite long time ago, so the bears enforced and confirmed their control over the market in the long term. The Cable is way below 100 and 200 WMA , so the bearish domination is clear and there is no indication of trend termination or reversal. The bulls are now trying to start the corrective cycle after a big Pin Bar candlestick pattern was made on the weekly time frame chart. The next long term target for bears is seen at the level of 1.1989. Please remember: trend is your friend.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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12-07-22, 08:25 #1739Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 12, 2022
The euro fell by 146 points on Monday and almost reached the target level of 1.0020. The Marlin Oscillator has shown a small reversal from the oversold zone and the price is close to correction, but if the target level of 1.0020 is overcome, then the bears' last effort may reach the target of 0.9950. Further, a correction to the area of 1.0100/70 is likely.
A more aggressive price decline is possible, in this case, the price could reach the 0.9850 target, and then we are waiting for a correction to 1.0020. The main scenario is marked with dotted lines on the four-hour chart. According to this plan, the price will reach the nearest target level of 0.9950, the Marlin Oscillator will form a convergence with the price, and the correction will focus on the MACD indicator line (1.0170 or slightly lower).
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13-07-22, 08:09 #1740Veteran Member Just starting here
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDCHF, Potential For Bullish Bounce | 13th July 2022
On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 0.97233 where the horizontal pullback support is to our 1st resistance at 1.00485 in line with the 100% Fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, price may not break 1st support and head for 2nd support at 0.95268 where the horizontal pullback support.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 0.97233 Reason for Entry: Horizontal pullback support Take Profit: 1.00485
Reason for Take Profit: 100% Fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 0.95268
Reason for Stop Loss:Horizontal pullback support
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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