Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 29-03-23, 07:35

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF DAILY PRICE MOVEMENT OF NATURAL GAS COMMODITY ASSET, WEDNESDAY MARCH 29 2023

If we look on the daily chart of Natural Gas commodity asset then it will seen that both of Moving Average is on Death Cross condition as well as supported by the appearance of Bearish 123 pattern follow by Ross Hook (RH) also Awesome Oscillator indicator was on negative area so in a few days ahead, Natural Gas has the potential to depreciated down below where the level of 1,967 will try to tested to break below, as long as there is no upward correction movement which is quite significant until it breaks above the level of 2,427, Natural Gas has the potential to continue its decline to the level of 1,785.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 30-03-23, 07:56

FORECAST FOR GBP/USD ON MARCH 30, 2023

Yesterday, the pound, as well as other world currencies (especially the yen), refused to reach technical levels and turned down instead. The pound lost 27 pips, giving up the 1.2420 target. However, this level is very strong, and testing it while the market is neutral is unlikely to provide the pound with more prospects.

Now, the price can overcome the support level at 1.2278 and go down to 1.2155 to assess the new balance of power, as it is the middle of the range since mid-December 2022.

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator signal line is entering the downtrend area. The price is approaching the support level at 1.2278. The MACD line reached this support level, i.e. these lines coincide on different scales. And if so, a breakthrough of the support will have a strong subsequent impact on the price.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 31-03-23, 07:34

FORECAST FOR AUD/USD ON MARCH 31, 2023

The Australian dollar broke through the upper limit of the neutral range that started back on March 17. AUD climbed out of this range this morning.

It could fall to the lower limit of the range, like it did on the 23rd, but the ascending Marlin oscillator creates an advantage for the growth option, at first to 0.6790 and then, under the favorable circumstances, to 0.6873.

On the four-hour chart, the price is in an active position to rise above the indicator lines, the Marlin is growing at an even angle, with an optimal speed to enter the overbought zone. After consolidating above 0.6730, we can expect the price to rise further. However, this plan can potentially be hindered by the price breaking through the MACD line, below the 0.6693 mark.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 03-04-23, 07:49

XAUUSD, DAY | POTENTIAL BREAKOUT 1ST SUPPORTL?

Gold (XAU/USD) has been exhibiting a bullish trend, with an overall momentum that is also bullish. Based on the chart, the price has the potential to make a bullish rebound off the first support level and then move towards the first resistance.

The first support level, which is at 1948.51, is a strong overlap support level that has been tested multiple times and has acted as a support level in the past. Therefore, it is a good level for a potential bounce.

Another support level is located at 1881.07, which is also an overlap support level. It has been tested several times and has held as a support level, making it another level for a potential bounce.

Meanwhile, the first resistance level at 2000.00 is a multi-swing high resistance level that has been significant in the past. Additionally, it is located at the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension level, which provides additional confluence to the level.

Another resistance level is at 2070.00, which is a swing high resistance level. This level has also been important in the past, making it another level for traders to observe.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 04-04-23, 06:35

FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON APRIL 4, 2023

The euro changed its bearish mood on Friday, and jumped by 120 pips on Monday from the low of the day, from the support of the target level, or more precisely, the upper limit of the target range of 1.0758/87. The price is consolidating above the MACD indicator line below the upper limit of the green price channel. Climbing above the 1.0930 reference level will make 1.0990 the next target.

Bears, if they don't want to give up easily and have control of the situation, must consolidate under the MACD line on the daily chart, below 1.0867. In this case, a divergence with the Marlin oscillator will unfold, and simultaneously, the signal line of the oscillator will leave the wedge and move down. The price will move towards the range of 1.0758/87.

On the four-hour chart, a double divergence of the price with the oscillator has already been formed. This is an effective sign of a reversal, but it's not enough. In the current conditions, the price needs to cross the support of the MACD line, around 1.0857, which is 10 pips below the MACD line on the daily chart. We have to wait what scenario the market will choose in the near future.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 05-04-23, 10:27

FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON APRIL 5, 2023

The euro has chosen growth, at least soon. The EUR/USD exchange rate increased by 56 points yesterday. The price maintains its pursuit of the target level of 1.1033 – reaching its peak on February 2. Consolidation above the level will enable the target of 1.1185 — the maximum for March 2022 and the same minimum for November 2021 — to be reached.

Today, the United States will release March data on private, non-agricultural employment and the ISM Services PMI. ADP Non-Farm and ISM Services PMI are anticipated to decrease: ADP Non-Farm from 242 thousand to 200/208 thousand and ISM Services PMI from 55.1 to 54.5/3.

On the four-hour chart, the price is rising above the indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator is in the rising trend zone, and there are no indications of a price reversal.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 06-04-23, 06:54

FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON APRIL 6, 2023

On Wednesday, the euro fell by 49 points, showing an intention to turn down in the short or medium term. However, this behavior has signs of a false movement.

There is no price divergence with the Marlin oscillator on the daily chart, which is rare for the saw-toothed movement of the oscillator signal line. There may be another final surge of the oscillator and the price, even if it doesn't reach the target level of 1.1033. At least (while there is no divergence), the price should settle below the MACD indicator line to create a sign of reversal, and that will take at least a day. If the bears succeed, the price will move to the target range of 1.0758/87. Meanwhile, the price can still try to overcome the April 4 high.

On the four-hour chart, the price falls below the MACD line, but the main support is the line of the higher chart (1.0872). The Marlin oscillator is already in the area of the downtrend, but there can also be a breakthrough.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 07-04-23, 07:56

FORECAST FOR GBP/USD ON APRIL 7, 2023

Yesterday, the pound reached a strong support level at 1.2422, which turned out to be an insurmountable resistance for the price in the second half of January. Now, if the pair crosses this level, the first target will be the MACD line at 1.2298, and after correcting the price may fall to 1.2155.

If the 1.2422 level is so strong that even good U.S. jobs data, if it is available today, will not be able to help the price to overcome it, the pair is likely to reverse to the target level of 1.2598. In this case, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator will climb from its own consolidation.

On the four-hour chart, the 1.2422 level is reinforced by the MACD indicator line. And even though the Marlin oscillator is already in negative territory, it can reluctantly follow the price in case it rises. It is a holiday in Europe, and the only driver may be the U.S. employment data. Let's wait for the report and see how things unfold.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-04-23, 09:24

BTCUSD, Daily | Potential reversal from 1st resistance?

The BTC/USD chart currently reflects a bearish momentum in the cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin seems to be following the trend. The chart suggests that the price of Bitcoin could face resistance at the 1st resistance level of 28343, which has previously been an important level as an overlap resistance. If Bitcoin fails to break through this level, it may result in a bearish reaction causing the price to drop towards the 1st support level of 25249. This level, being a pullback support, could act as a strong support for the price of Bitcoin.

In the event that the price of Bitcoin breaks through the 1st resistance level, the next resistance level it could face is the 2nd resistance level of 32843, which is a pullback resistance. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks below the 1st support level, the next support level it could drop to is the 2nd support level of 23925. This level, also being a pullback support, could potentially act as a strong support for the price of Bitcoin.

Additionally, there is an intermediate support level at 26598, which is a swing low support and is accompanied by a 23.60% Fibonacci retracement. This level could potentially provide support to the price of Bitcoin if it drops towards the 1st support level. Overall, the BTC/USD chart's momentum is bearish, indicating that the price is expected to continue falling in the near term.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 11-04-23, 08:32

USDJPY, H4 | Potential reversal from 1st resistance?

The current momentum of the USD/JPY chart is bearish, indicating a potential price drop in the near future. A significant resistance level to watch is at 133.76, which is a strong pullback resistance level and coincides with the 78.60% Fibonacci projection. If the price reacts bearishly at this level, it may potentially fall towards the first support at 131.81. This support level is an overlap support and also lines up with the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level, making it a significant level for a potential price rebound.

If the price breaks below the first support, it may fall towards the second support at 130.53, which is also an overlap support level. However, if the price breaks above the first resistance, it may potentially rise towards the second resistance at 134.08. This is an overlap resistance level and also has the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level lining up with it, making it a significant level to watch.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 12-04-23, 05:53

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Wednesday April 12, 2023

With the appearance of deviation between Nasdaq 100 index price movement with Stochastic Oscillator indicator on the 4 hour chart then it is high likely for #NDX will depreciated for some time in the future up to the area level of 12705,8-12617,7 however during the decline not exceed below the level of 12517,9 then #NDX still has the potential to back to rallying upwards up to the level of 13238,0.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 13-04-23, 07:22

Forecast for GBP/USD on April 13, 2023

As a result of yesterday, the pound rose by 60 points, trying to move faster and further away from the 1.2422 level. The nearest target will be 1.2598 – the peak of June 7, 2022. At the same time, there is a high probability of forming a reversal divergence with the Marlin oscillator.

On the four-hour chart, the price is climbing above the balance and MACD indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is growing in the "green zone". We have an uptrend.

The primary signal of a reversal is when the price falls below the MACD indicator line (1.2460), and the signal will be confirmed once the price settles below the 1.2422 level. The pound's final decision to take a course for a medium-term decline is when it moves below the MACD line, in the area of the 1.2320 mark.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 17-04-23, 07:53

EURUSD, Day | Continue to 1st Support?

The EUR/USD chart currently displays an overall bearish momentum, indicating a potential continuation of bearish movements towards the 1st support level. The 1st support level at 1.0806 is an overlap support that has previously demonstrated its strength. However, should the price break through this level, it could potentially drop further towards the 2nd support at 1.0516, which is a multi-swing low support.

Resistance levels for the EUR/USD can be found at 1.1184 and 1.1035. The 1st resistance level is an overlap resistance that is crucial in monitoring for any potential bearish movements. Meanwhile, the intermediate resistance at 1.1035 is a multi-swing high resistance that could potentially trigger a stronger bearish trend towards the 1st support level if the price breaks through it. It's important to note that there is also an intermediate support level at 1.0974, which is a pullback support. Should the price bounce from this level, it could potentially rise towards the intermediate resistance at 1.1035

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 18-04-23, 07:20

Forecast for GBP/USD on April 18, 2023

Yesterday, the British pound showed strong volatility, closing the day with a loss of 38 points. On the daily chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has approached the limit of the downtrend, so to break through it, the price should settle below the MACD indicator line (1.2322). Consolidating below support will open the next target at 1.2155 - the peak of November 2022.

On the four-hour chart, we can see that yesterday's trading range was formed below the target level of 1.2422. The balance indicator line in red also helped the level.

This is a sign of strong resistance, so in the near future, I expect the price to cross the support level of 1.2322. The Marlin oscillator is also set to fall further.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-04-23, 07:30

Forecast for USD/JPY on April 19, 2023

Yesterday, the US dollar lost 35 points against the Japanese yen, coinciding with the dollar weakening throughout the market and the price's struggle with the technical resistance of the strong price channel line (134.30, daily).

The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is pointing upward in the area of the uptrend. The bullish target is 135.40 - the low on March 6th. Consolidating above this level will allow the price to rise to the next embedded price channel line around 138.34.

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator resumed growth after the signal line rebounded from the limit of the area of the downtrend (arrow). The price is rising above the balance and MACD lines, with the main trend being upward. To guarantee it, the price needs to consolidate above 134.30.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 20-04-23, 06:07

Technical analysis of GBP/USD for April 19, 2023

Overview :

The GBP/USD pair continues to move upwards from the level of 1.2390. According to the previous events, the GBP/USD pair is still moving between the levels of 1.2390 and 1.2427; for that we expect a range of 110 pips (1.2500 - 1.2390). On the one-hour chart, immediate support level is seen at 1.2390, which coincides with a ratio of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.

Currently, the price is moving in a bullish channel. This is confirmed by the RSI indicator signaling that we are still in a bullish trending market. The price is still above the moving average (100) and (50). Therefore, if the trend is able to break out through the first resistance level of 1.2443, we would see the pair climbing towards the daily resistance at 1.2500 to test it. It would also be wise to consider where to place stop loss; this should be set below the second support of 1.2343.

It should always be noted that: If the trend is upward, the strength of the currency will be defined as follows: GBPis in an uptrend and USD is in a downtrend. The stop loss should never exceed your maximum exposure amounts. The market is highly volatile if the last day had huge volatility. Signal :

According to the previous events, the price of the GBP/USD pair has been still trading between the levels of 1.2343 and 1.2500. The level of 1.2544 is representing the double top and the weekly support one has set at the same price. Buy above the spot of 1.2420 with the targets 1.2427 and 1.2544. On the other hand, the daily strong support is seen at 1.2390. If the GB/USD pair is able to break out the level of 1.2390, the market will decline further to 1.2303.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 21-04-23, 07:52

USDJPY, H4 | Bounce off 1st support?

The USD/JPY chart currently exhibits strong bullish momentum, with potential for prices to bounce off the 1st support level at 133.72 and advance towards the 1st resistance level at 134.73.

The 1st support level, coinciding with current price, is an overlap support that signals a robust buying interest. Additionally, the 2nd support level, aligned with the 61.80% Fibonacci projection, reinforces its importance as a significant support level.

As for resistance levels, the 1st resistance level is a multi-swing high resistance that corresponds with the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement, and is expected to present a significant challenge for upward price movements. Similarly, the 2nd resistance level, a pullback resistance, may also impede bullish momentum.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-04-23, 07:19

Forecast for GBP/USD on April 27, 2023

GBP/USD
The British pound continues its sideways movement in anticipation of the FOMC meeting next week. The upper limit of the range is the April 14th peak at 1.2545. Breaking through it will extend growth to 1.2598. Slightly higher is the second target level of 1.2666 – the peak of May 2022.

A sign of further price growth is the Marlin oscillator, turning upwards from the zero line – from the limit of the area of the downtrend.

If the price falls, the range will end with overcoming the MACD line (1.2342).

On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above the indicator lines, and the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is in the positive area. The pound has a good chance of surpassing yesterday's peak. Especially if today's US GDP data turns out to be lower than forecasted.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 01-05-23, 04:57

Forex Analysis & Reviews: High inflationary pressure forces the Fed to continue raising rates

Euro and pound decline on news that two key inflation indicators showed sustained pressure in the US in recent months, supporting the case for a new interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve System next week.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, the Fed's preferred core inflation measure, rose 0.3% in March compared to the previous month and 4.6% compared to a year earlier. The Commerce Department report also said that the employment cost index, which the Fed also closely monitors, rose 1.2% in the first quarter compared to the previous period, exceeding economists' forecasts.

I would like to remind you that the main goal of the Fed is a 2% level, which is measured by a broader indicator, but the regulator considers the core indicator as a better indicator of the trend.

Price data, especially in combination with rising labor costs, confirm expectations that Fed policymakers will continue to raise interest rates, raising them by another quarter of a percentage point at next week's meeting.

A positive aspect in the PCE report was the slowdown in the growth of service costs. Thus, service prices, excluding housing, rose only 0.2% in March. However, in annual terms, the indicator remains elevated at 4.5%.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 04-05-23, 09:05

Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY analysis for May 04, 2023 - Potential for the further downside movement

USD/JPY has been trading downside as I expected and the first upside objective has been reached at 135.00. Anyway, I see potential for the lower prices towards 133.35.

Due to the strong downside momentum and no signs for the reversal, I see potential for the further downside movement towards lower reference.

Next major downside objective is set at the price of 133.35

MACD is showing negative reading, which is sign that sellers are still in control.

Intraday resistance is set at the price of 135.00

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