EUR/USD Rebound For June 01 (Weekly Strategy)

Technical summary: We think the best way to count the price action since the top of 1.5247 is that an expanded flat is unfolding. In this case one final decline to just below 1.4913 should be seen before the next strong rally higher. In the short term, a break below minor support at 1.5221 and more importantly a break below 1.5104 will confirm the decline to the territory below 1.4913 before the next impulsive rally is expected. That means we have to be aware that there is a small risk that the correction in wave (ii) ended with a wave c failure at 1.4970 and the next impulsive rally is already unfolding for a continuation higher towards at least 1.6335. Trading recommendation: We will wait for a EUR-buying opportunity around 1.4913.

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