Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 13-05-20, 09:24

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for May 13, 2020:

Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD was rejected for the second time at the level of 38% Fibonacci located at 1.0862 after a Shooting Star candlestick pattern was mad around the level of 1.0878. The bears are pushing the price towards the level of 1.0767 again. The bulls hasn't made a new local high yet, so the next target for them is still seen at the level of 38% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0862 and 1.0878. This level must be clearly violated in order to rally towards higher levels. The momentum remains neutral, but might turn negative any time now.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1136
WR2 - 1.1058
WR1 - 1.0936
Weekly Pivot - 1.0853
WS1 - 1.0718
WS2 - 1.0627
WS3 - 1.0520

Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets. On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-05-20, 09:02

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 19, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro grew by 94 points on several controversial factors yesterday - on the one hand, oil rose by 10.5% to 32.83 dollars and overall risk appetites increased, on the other hand, the EU summit considered a package of assistance to the affected sectors and regions, which is half as much, than expected - 500 billion against the expected 1 trillion. Moreover, it will be a fund, and not direct help, which creates additional bureaucratic difficulties. As often happens, the expected but not realized optimism worked on the market, that is, the euro's growth as a result occurred on speculation. The growth occurred on volumes equal to Friday, which indirectly confirms the speculative nature of yesterday's growth in the thin market.

The price reached the price channel line just above the MACD line on the daily chart. The Marlin Oscillator is growing in the zone of positive values, so there is still a growth potential. Overcoming yesterday's high may send the euro to the upper border of the 1.5-month trading range of 1.0767-1.0995.

It is possible to turn down prices directly from current levels, indicators will quickly return to the downward trend, the euro will go to the lower border of the range of 1.0767.

The situation is not clarified on the four-hour chart. The price is above the indicator lines, Marlin is in the growth zone. All that remains is to wait for speculation to cool and then it will become clear what the market really intended.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 20-05-20, 09:39

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for May 20, 2020:

Crypto Industry News:
Robert Kiyosaki, businessman and author of the book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, again visited Twitter to announce his bullish position to Bitcoin. In a published tweet, Kiyosaki states that fear of a dying economy led him to buy more three assets, which he considers valuable outside of the traditional financial system: gold, silver and Bitcoin. The author's tweet describes how valuable he thinks every resource will be in the coming years.

"I bought more silver and Bitcoin gold. GOLD [currently] at $ 1,700. I forecast $ 3,000 in 1 year. Silver [currently] at $ 17. I predict $ 40 for 5 years. Bitcoin [currently] at $ 9,800. I anticipate $ 75,000 in three years. "

In numerical terms, this forecast reflects the expected annual increase of around 76%, 19% and 97% for gold, silver and Bitcoin, respectively. This indicates, at least according to Kiyosaki's calculations, that Bitcoin has the most favorable profit potential out of three.

This is not the first time Robert Kiyosaki has used his platform to explain the benefits of Bitcoin and Blockchain. In recent months, the businessman has repeatedly talked about his faith in the future of these technologies.

Technical Market Outlook:
The BTC/USD pair has been seen hovering around the level of $10,000, which is the key short-term technical resistance for the bulls. The recent local high was made at the level of $9,884, so any violation of this level will lead to the local up trend extension towards the level of $10,227 - $10,430. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,381. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,382. Please notice, the market conditions on daily time frame chart are extremely overbought.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $12,194
WR2 - $10,994
WR1 - $10,553
Weekly Pivot - $9,337
WS1 - $8,765
WS2 - $7,555
WS3 - 7,013

Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend remains down and as long as the level of $10,791 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred until the level of $10,791 is clearly violated.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 21-05-20, 09:22

Forecast for AUD/USD on May 21, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar grew by 60 points on Wednesday, and it almost returned to yesterday's opening today in the Asian session. This is a sign that the price will not reach the target level of 0.6677, the aussie aimed to overcome the price channel line in the region of 0.6492, which will be a good reason for continuing the fall to 0.6338. A slightly veiled double divergence is formed on the Marlin oscillator.

The price returned to the signal level of 0.6562 on the four-hour chart - yesterday's exit above it turned out to be false. The MACD indicator line is located at the 0.6492 level taken from the daily time, which strengthens this level. Accordingly, overcoming it will become a significant condition for opening short positions with a target above 0.6338.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 22-05-20, 09:23

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 22, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro grew during the first half of Thursday due to optimistic rates of European business activity for the current month: Manufacturing PMI of the euro area grew from 33.4 to 39.5, Services PMI showed even greater dynamics - an increase from 12.0 to 28.7. The euro has decisively reversed since the US session opened. US PMIs came out better than expected, but not as much as we expected: Manufacturing PMI grew from 36.1 to 39.8 against 39.3, Services PMI grew from 26.7 to 36.9 with 32.6 expected. Nevertheless, the trading volumes were comparable to those observed on May 18, which indicates a massive closure of purchases and even the opening of sales. A more interesting story awaits us next week, when sales of new housing, orders for durable goods, incomes and expenses of consumers will be published in the US.

The price was re-marked at the upper border of the price range and with the turn of the oscillator, Marlin headed down on the daily chart. The closest support for the price is the price channel line at 1.0918, below it is the MACD indicator line at 1.0888, overcoming it will confirm the euro's intention to go much deeper down to 1.0767 and 1.0578.

The signal line of the Marlin oscillator penetrated into the downward trend zone after forming a double divergence on the four-hour chart. The closest target is the 1.0888 level, at which the MACD lines coincide on both scopes. Consolidation under the level opens the way to the lower border of the range 1.0767.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-05-20, 09:48

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/GBP for May 27, 2020

EUR/GBP is finally back to test the neckline support at 0.8866. This former resistance which now acts as support should be able to protect the downside for renewed upside pressure through minor resistance at 0.8930 indicating the next impulsive rally towards 0.9065 on the way higher to and above the peak at 0.9495.

In the short-term, we should see a final dip to test the key-support at 0.8866 before EUR/GBP will be ready to turn higher again.
R3: 0.9000
R2: 0.8955
R1: 0.8930
Pivot: 0.8910
S1: 0.8880
S2: 0.8866
S3: 0.8844

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 0.8760 and our stop is placed at 0.8815.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 02-06-20, 09:36

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 2, 2020:

Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has been consolidating the recent gains in a narrow zone located between the levels of 1.1148 - 1.1100. The bulls are hovering just below the lower supply zone boundary located between the levels of 1.1148 - 1.1190. Please notice, the market conditions are now overbought and despite the positive and strong momentum the price might start a corrective pull-back towards the nearest technical support located at the level of 1.1050.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1499
WR2 - 1.1307
WR1 - 1.1241
Weekly Pivot - 1.1045
WS1 - 1.0959
WS2 - 1.0772
WS3 - 1.0680

Trading Recommendations:
On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the local up trend continues. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).

Company does not offer investment advice and the analysis performed does not guarantee results. The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 03-06-20, 09:25

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 3, 2020

EUR/USD
Risk appetites continue to grow despite protests and riots in the US: S&P 500 gained 0.82% yesterday, gold fell 0.69%, yield on 5-year US government bonds rose from 0.31% to 0, 32% The euro grew by 35 points, gaining a foothold on the daily chart over the trend line of the price channel. Target of 1.1250/65 is open.

The price is growing in a stable trend on the four-hour chart, but the Marlin oscillator has formed a divergence. With an increase in the price of another 15 points, the divergence can be reorganized into a regular pullback of the indicator (indicator discharge) with the resumption of growth. We are waiting for the price in the specified target range, where it is possible to form a more stable reversal pattern.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 04-06-20, 09:16

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 4, 2020

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro reached the target range of 1.1250/65 and today, with the support of the Marlin oscillator turning down, it is ready to head for a correction. The purpose of the correction is the embedded line of the price channel in the region of 1.1133. Consolidating the price below it opens a deeper target 1.1019 (May 1 high). If the price goes above the upper boundary of the target range of 1.1265, the second bullish target at 1.1342 will open.

The divergence on the Marlin oscillator still formed on the four-hour chart (yesterday we questioned the formation of this reversal pattern). Target level at 1.1133 coincides with the MACD line, which it is aiming for. Working out this correction level is our main scenario.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 05-06-20, 09:22

Forecast for USD/JPY on June 5, 2020

USD/JPY The dollar continued to grow against the yen yesterday (23 percentage points) despite the decline in stock indices: the S&P 500 was down -0.34%, while the Nikkei 225 is losing -0.32% in the Asian session today. It seems that investors are counting on good US employment data today and continued growth in related markets. If such expectations are met, then with the price overcoming the first target level of 109.50, growth will continue to the second target level of 110.83 (November 2017 low).

A weak divergence has formed on the Marlin oscillator on the four-hour chart, the structure is more similar to the indicator discharging before further growth. But this pattern is also a harbinger of increased intraday volatility, which is quite consistent with today's release of important US data.

We are waiting for a clarification of the situation - whether investors will change their minds to buy risk.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 08-06-20, 09:24

Forecast for AUD/USD on June 8, 2020

AUD/USD The Australian dollar is moving sideways at a target level of 0.6975 since Friday last week as well this morning. The sideways movement increased the technical divergence on the Marlin oscillator. We are waiting for the movement to the first support of 0.6830.

The Marlin divergence has also developed on the four-hour chart, the signal line of the oscillator is attacking the border of the downward trend territory. If the price consolidates below 0.6830, the price will also go under the MACD indicator line, respectively, the fall will likely continue towards the lower target of 0.6680.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 09-06-20, 09:28

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 9, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro closed at the opening level on Monday, supported by the target level of 1.1265. The Marlin oscillator has strengthened the decline on a daily basis. On the first attempt, the price failed to overcome the immediate support, today we are waiting for a more successful attempt. Target at 1.1200.

Price taking above support at 1.1265 is visible on the H4 chart. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is on the territory of the declining trend - in the lower half of negative values. We are waiting for the price to try overcoming the nearest support and decrease to 1.1200 and further to 1.1125 - to the price channel line on the daily.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 11-06-20, 09:12

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 11, 2020

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced its forecasts for the economy: GDP at 6.5% for 2020, and 5.0% for 2021, inflation forecast for this year was 0.8%, and 1.6% for the future. The regulator expects an unemployment rate of 9.3% this year and 6.5% in the year 2021. The dollar index lost 0.32%, while the euro grew by 33 points. The only forecast of the Fed which raises a clear doubt, is the forecast for inflation. The release of huge money supply into the open market in the framework of combating the epidemic and supporting the unemployed population cannot but cause much stronger inflation. Very soon, the Fed will be forced to raise rates even contrary to an earlier promise not to do so before the end of the year. However, for the remaining six months, you can still manipulate statistics so that this is not very obvious, and shift the focus from developing inflation to employment problems. As a result, the euro is unlikely to continue to strengthen on yesterday's data from the Fed, investors understand the unreliability of these forecasts.

The euro is staying in the range of target levels 1.1322-1.1416. According to the Marlin oscillator, a small divergence forms on the daily chart, but this can become a reversal signal.

Divergence is more pronounced on the four-hour chart. Consolidating the price under 1.1322, which will also correspond to the price falling below the MACD line (it is going up), opens the underlying consecutive goals: 1.1265, 1.1200, 1.1125.

Consolidating the price over 1.1416 may extend the current branch to 1.1495.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 12-06-20, 09:20

Control zones for USD/CAD on June 12, 2020

The bullish movement of the quotes yesterday was 300 pips, which indicates the strength of the buyers. Any fall of the pair should be considered as an opportunity to enter buy positions, since the probability of updating the weekly high is 75%, which makes long positions profitable.

The most favorable levels for buy positions are within the limits of the WCZ 1/2 1.3524-1.3509, a test of which will be decisive for the bullish impulse.

Today, the pair is trading within the average weekly move, which increases the likelihood of a downward correction. The fall will occur against yesterday's strong movement, so entering sell positions is quite risky. Instead, use the drop as an opportunity to find a favorable level for buy positions in the trading instrument.

Daily CZ - daily control zone. The area formed by important data from the futures market, which changes several times a year.
Weekly CZ - weekly control zone. The area formed by the important marks of the futures market, which changes several times a year.
Monthly CZ - monthly control zone. The area that reflects the average volatility over the past

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-06-20, 09:36

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 15, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro fell by 42 points last Friday. It did not reach the target level of 1.1200 by 13 points, we are waiting for its development in the near future and only after that a local correction in the range of 1.1200/65. A small divergence on the Marlin oscillator continues to remain in force. Overcoming the price level of 1.2000 will allow the price to fall even deeper, to the price channel line in the region of 1.1120.

The price is developing under the indicator lines of balance and MACD on the four-hour chart, the price is kept below the level of 1.1265. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is falling within its own channel, from the lower border of which it has turned up, which indicates that the price will likely fall only in the evening.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 16-06-20, 09:15

Forecast for AUD/USD on June 16, 2020

AUD/USD
Yesterday evening, the aggressive growth of the US dollar due to the Federal Reserve's statement about the intention to buy corporate bonds from the secondary market pushed the Australian currency up, it ended the day above a strong technical level of 0.6900. The Marlin oscillator is growing; formally, the target 0.7080 is open before the price.

Considering the situation on a smaller four-hour chart indicates the presence of an alternative scenario that has a high probability of implementation - a price reversal from current levels, from the notched MACD line (indicator blue). The Marlin oscillator in the zone of positive values. Price taking above yesterday's high will still launch the first scenario with an increase to 0.7080. We are waiting for the development of the situation.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 17-06-20, 09:42

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for June 17, 2020:

Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD price moved towards the 61% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of 1.2674, but bulls was not strong enough to break through it and the price reversed. The market conditions are now bouncing from the oversold levels, so the bulls might risk another wave up from the current levels towards the nearest technical resistance seen at the level of 1.2747. Nevertheless, they have to violate the level of 1.2674 first. The immediate technical support is seen at the level of 1.2645.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.3034
WR2 - 1.2910
WR1 - 1.2681
Weekly Pivot - 1.2581
WS1 - 1.2343
WS2 - 1.2226
WS3 - 1.2014

Trading Recommendations:
On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the local up trend continues. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new one is seen at the level of 1.1404. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of these levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518) or accelerate (1.1404). The market might have done a Double Top pattern at the level of 1.2645, so the price might move lower in the longer-term.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 18-06-20, 09:23

Forecast for USD/JPY on June 18, 2020

USD/JPY
The yen strengthened by 30 points on Wednesday due to lower stock indices, which looks like a decrease in the USD/JPY pair on the chart. Yesterday, the S&P 500 fell 0.36%, while the Nikkei 225 is losing 1.22% today. The price went below the MACD line on the daily chart, while Marlin is declining. The target at 105.90 as support for the embedded line of the price channel is open. In case we overcome support, we expect the price at the second target of 105.40.

The price has consolidated under the red balance indicator line on the four-hour chart, and the Marlin oscillator line has entered the declining trend zone this morning. We are waiting for prices at the first target of 105.90.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-06-20, 09:33

USD/CHF price movement, June 19, 2020

On the 4 hour chart now, we can see that USD/CHF is now moving in a narrow range. Overall, this pair has already formed a Triangle Pattern. It means that the USD/CHF pair will soon decline especially if this pair breaks out and closes bellow the red rectangle/ It will break through 0.9480 and 0.9375. This scenario is likely to occur if the pair does not rise and close above 0.9553.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 22-06-20, 09:25

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 22, 2020

EUR/USD
Last Friday, buyers of the dollar managed to restrain the onslaught of the euro bulls and keep the single currency in a downward local trend of the last ten days. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator on the daily chart has penetrated the territory of the bears, now it is easier for the market trend to reach the target along the embedded line of the price channel of 1.1115. Overcoming this support opens the second target of 1.1010.

The four-hour chart shows that the euro's growth in the first half of the day was restrained by the balance indicator line, that is, the growth occurred in the framework of the general decreasing trend, which strengthens this trend itself. Now in the struggle of the local trend with convergence, the Marlin oscillator has a higher chance of winning the trend. We are waiting for the price at 1.1115.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex