Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-03-16, 02:32

NZD/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for March 9, 2016

On January 28, the depicted support at 0.6400 acted as a prominent key level offering a valid buy entry. A bullish breakout above 0.6550 was executed a few weeks ago. Bullish persistence above 0.6550 (depicted recent support) was needed to keep the price moving towards higher bullish targets. The price zone of 0.6750-0.6840 constituted a significant resistance zone where recent signs of a bearish rejection were seen during the previous few weeks (triple-top reversal pattern). On February 9, the NZD/USD pair failed to consolidate below the depicted support level of 0.6560. Moreover, an obvious bullish recovery was expressed around the depicted temporary support level. Hence, the recent bullish swing towards 0.6750 was initiated. Note that bullish persistence above 0.6750 (upper limit of the consolidation range) will allow further bullish advancement towards 0.6880. Otherwise, the NZD/USD pair will remain trapped within the depicted consolidation range (0.6560-0.6750) until a breakout occurs in either direction.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-03-16, 08:20

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 10, 2016

When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as Minimum Bid Rate, Italian Quarterly Unemployment Rate, French Industrial Production m/m, German Trade Balance, and French Final Non-Farm Payrolls q/q. The US will post several economic reports too such as Federal Budget Balance, 30-y Bond Auction, Natural Gas Storage, and Unemployment Claims. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1034.
Strong Resistance:1.1028.
Original Resistance: 1.1017.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1006.
Target Inner Area: 1.0981.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0956.
Original Support: 1.0945.
Strong Support: 1.0934.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0928.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 14-03-16, 08:17

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for March 14, 2016

Wave summary: After testing very strong resistance near 126.90, we are look for a breakout below minor support at 126.05 to confirm that wave b is over and wave c towards 119.90, and possibly even lower to 117.35, is developing. It should just be a matter of time before we could see the peak of this b-wave rally and a new strong decline in wave c.

Trading recommendation:
We are short EUR from 126.79 with stop placed at 128.20. If you are not short yet, then sell now and use the same stop at 128.20 or sell on a break below support at 126.05.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-03-16, 06:41

Global macro overview for 14/03/2016

IIn the regional elections taken place last Sunday the German voters punished Chancellor Merkels conservatives, giving a thumbs-down to her open-door refugee policy and turning in droves to the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany (AfD). The result is a big setback for Merkel, who has led eurozone's largest economy for a decade, and could narrow her room to maneuver as she tries to convince her EU partners to seal a deal with Turkey to stem the tide of migrants. The political party of Merkel, the Christian Democrats (CDU), lost ground in all important states – Baden-Wuerttemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate in the west and Saxony-Anhalt in the east – which were together widely seen as offering a verdict on Merkel's liberal migrant policy. In conclusion, this contest was the biggest of Merkel's third-term and the broadest electoral test before the next German federal ballot in 18 months. If the main ballot get even worse, that this one, the future of the EU policy towards migrants and the whole economic foundation's might be completely changed, influencing the financial markets. Let's now take a look at the EUR/USD technical picture in the H4 time frame after the last rally on Friday. The local top was established at the level of 1.1217 and the market slowly went lower to test the support at the level of 1.1079. Currently, bulls are trying to re-gain the control in the market using the level of 1.1079 as a technical support to rally towards the level of 1.1217. Only a clear and sustained violation of the level of 1.0822 would change the current picture from bullish to bearish again.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 16-03-16, 07:48

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF for March 16, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
The GBP/CHF pair has dropped below 1.4000 levels beyond what was expected and discussed earlier, but the pair is still above 1.3900 levels and that makes a valid case for a Wave 4 correction. Please note that the pair could stage a rally through 1.4300/20 levels till prices stay above 1.3900/20 levels. Also note that the pair is testing Fibonacci 0.618 support of the rally between 1.3750 and 1.4280 levels respectively. It is still recommended to remain long with risk at 1.3900 levels. Immediate support is seen at 1.3920 levels, while resistance is at 1.4300/20 levels respectively. Only a drop below 1.3900 levels would discard the bullish count.

Trading recommendations:
Remain long for now, stop at 1.3900, target 1.4300.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 17-03-16, 07:10

Daily analysis of GBP/USD for March 17, 2016

BP/USD had a bullish momentum above the 1.4000 psychological zone and a consolidation above the 200 SMA at the H1 chart is ongoing. That happened after the Fed minutes release in the United States, as the pair is trying to break above the resistance zone of 1.4267 in order to reach the 1.4310 level. The MACD indicator is still supporting the bullish idea at positive territory.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.4267 / 1.4310
H1 chart's support levels: 1.4190 / 1.4141

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.4267, take profit is at 1.4310 and stop loss is at 1.4233.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 28-03-16, 09:00

Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for March 28, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
The EUR/JPY pair has rallied through 126.80/85 levels as expected and discussed last week. The pair is facing resistance at 126.85 and looking to reverse lower below 124.50 levels going forward. Please also note that bears would remain in control till prices stay below 127.30 levels. The pair is also seen stalling at the fibonacci 0.786 resistance of the drop between 127.25 through 124.50 levels respectively. It is recommended to book profits for any long positions taken earlier and look to go short with risk above 127.30 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at 127.20/30 levels for now, while support is seen at 125.70 and 124.70 levels respectively.

Trading recommendations:
Book profits on long positions taken earlier and go short now with stop at 127.30/40 and target open.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 29-03-16, 08:35

Daily analysis of USDX for March 29, 2016

USDX is currently doing a pullback from yesterday's highs, as the Index is still doing some corrective moves in favor of the overall bearish bias. The next target is located around the 95.44 level, where the Index can test that zone in order to strengthen the downside. However, a rebound at the current stage cannot be discarded yet.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 96.70 / 97.04
H1 chart's support levels: 96.03 / 95.44

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 96.03, take profit is at 95.44, and stop loss is at 96.60.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 30-03-16, 08:26

Daily analysis of major pairs for March 30, 2016

UR/USD: The EUR/USD pair broke upwards on Tuesday, moving above the support line at 1.1250, and is now very close to the resistance line at 1.1300. Actually, that resistance line has been tested and it would be retested as the bulls push the price beyond it. The next target would then be another resistance line at 1.1350, which would also be breached to the upside.

USD/CHF: The pair broke downwards on Tuesday, moving below the resistance level at 0.9700, and is now very close to the support level at 0.9650. Actually, that support level would be tested as the bulls push the price beyond it. The next target would then be another support level at 0.9600, which would also be breached to the downside.

GBP/USD: As it was prognosticated, this currency trading instrument went upwards yesterday, resulting in a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart. The EMA 11 is now above the EMA 56, as the RSI period 14 is above the level 50. The next targets for the bulls are located at the distribution territories of 1.4450 and 1.4500. The distribution territory at 1.4400 has been previously tested and it would be breached to the upside very soon.

USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair broke down yesterday, threatening to invalidate the recent bullish outlook on the market. In case the price moves below the demand level at 112.00, the bullish outlook would be completely invalidated. However, a rally from here could reinforce the recent bullish outlook.

EUR/JPY: As it was expected, the EUR/JPY pair trended upwards on Tuesday (March 29, 2016). The price has moved upwards by 80 pips this week, now above the demand zone at 127.00. The next targets for the bulls are located at the supply zones of 127.50 and 128.00. However, this does not rule out any possibilities of pullbacks along the way.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 31-03-16, 08:17

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for March 31 - 2016

Wave summary:
We have likely seen a low at 1.6229 just above the 1.6210 target. To confirm that a low has been seen, we need a break above minor resistance at 1.6508 and, more importantly, a break above resistance at 1.6725 that will call for renewed upside pressure towards 1.7220 and 1.8551. Hopefully, we will see upside acceleration this time around, then we will not set our expectations too high as we have been disappointed a couple of times now.

Trading recommendation:
We bought EUR at 1.6250 and will place our stop at a break-even point. If you are not long in EUR yet, then buy near 1.6292 or upon a break above 1.6508.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 01-04-16, 08:36

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 01, 2016

In Asia, Japan will release the Final Manufacturing PMI, Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index, Tankan Manufacturing Index and the US will release some economic data such as Total Vehicle Sales, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Construction Spending m/m, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, the ISM Manufacturing PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Employment Change, and Average Hourly Earnings m/m.So there is a probability the USD/JPY pair will move with medium to high volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 112.86.
Resistance. 2: 112.64.
Resistance. 1: 112.42.
Support. 1: 112.15.
Support. 2: 111.93.
Support. 3: 111.70.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 05-04-16, 09:36

Technical analysis of Silver for April 05, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
Silver is seen to be trading at $15.10 levels at this moment, looking to reverse lower towards $14.50 levels at least before turning bullish again. The metal is stalling at a past support turned resistance level at $15.10/15 levels as depicted here. Furthermore it is also facing fibonacci 0.382 resistance of the drop between $15.40 and $14.80 levels respectively. Looks to be that a flat consolidation is now complete at $15.10 levels and the metal is poised to drop lower again. Major support is expected at $14.50 levels going forward. It is recommended to remain short now, with risk at $15.50 levels. Immediate resistance is at $15.50 levels, while support is seen at $14.80 levels respectively.

Trading recommendations:
Remain short for now, stop at $15.50, a target is $14.50.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 06-04-16, 08:53

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for April 6 - 2016

Wave summary:

We are still looking for support near 1.6640 to protect the downside for a rally above 1.6833 confirming upside acceleration towards 1.7220 on the way higher to 1.8550. Even if minor support at 1.6640 should be broken, back-up support is seen near 1.6578. It will take an unexpected break below support at 1.6430 to question this rally.

Trading recommendation: We are long in EUR from 1.6250 with stop placed at 1.6600. If you are not long in EUR yet, then buy near 1.6640 or upon a break above 1.6800 and use the same stop at 1.6600.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 07-04-16, 09:04

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for April 7 - 2016

Wave summary:
We are still waiting for some real upside acceleration, but to signal the beginning of this upside acceleration, a break above resistance at 1.6800 and, more importantly, a break above 1.6874 is needed to call for a rally to 1.7220 on the way higher towards 1.8550. Support is seen at 1.6624 and is expected to continue to protect the downside for a break above 1.6800. Should support at 1.6624 be broken, back-up support is seen at 1.6585.

Trading recommendation:
We are long in EUR from 1.6250 with stop placed at 1.6600. If you are not long in EUR yet, then buy near 1.6624 or upon a break above 1.6800 and use the same stop at 1.6600.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 08-04-16, 08:26

Technical analysis of Gold for April 08, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
Gold continues drifting sideways for now with prices trading around $1,236.00 levels. Please note that the metal has broken out of its resistance trend line and is expected to receive short-term support around $1,130.00 levels. Another probability is that the metal is unfolding as a triangle and has completed three waves out of the 5 waves. It is recommended to remain flat for now and watch out for a reaction around $1,230.00 levels before positioning trades. Immediate resistance is seen at $1,244.00/45.00 levels, while support is at $1,230.00 and lower respectively. A push lower into $1,210.00 levels would confirm that the metal is unfolding as a triangle.

Trading recommendations: Remain flat for now and watch for a reaction around $1,230.00 levels.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 11-04-16, 08:36

Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for April 11, 2016

General overview for 11/04/2016:
The current wave development looks to be stopped inside of a possible triangle pattern which is typical for wave (b) correction. Nevertheless, the corrective cycle might evolve into a less complex and time-consuming pattern, especially if the intraday resistance at the level of 124.24 is clearly violated. For now, however, sideways price action below the weekly pivot is expected.

Support/Resistance:
122.53 - Intraday Support
124.11 - Weekly Pivot
124.24 - Intraday Resistance
125.66 - WR1

Trading recommendations:
Traders should sell the triangle pattern area with SL above the level of 124.24 and TP at the lows of the triangle pattern around the level of 122.50.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 12-04-16, 08:26

Technical analysis of Silver for April 12, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
Silver rallied through $16.00 levels yesterday before hitting fibonacci 0.786 resistance of the drop from $16.13 through $14.80 levels, and pulling back. The metal is trading at $15.80/85 levels for now and should be looking to drift lower till prices stay below $16.13 levels from here on. Please note that the metal has also produced a tweezer top candlestick pattern after hitting $16.00 levels yesterday. It indicates a potential drop lower from current levels. Hence the recommendation is to remain short for now, with risk at $16.25 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at $16.13 levels, while support is lower at $15.10 levels. Bears would remain in control till prices stay below $16.13 levels.

Trading recommendations:
Remain short now, stop at $16.25 levels, target is open.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 14-04-16, 07:36

Technical analysis of Silver for April 13, 2016

Technical outlook and chart setups:
Silver is pulling back after hitting fresh highs at $16.20 levels yesterday. The metal is seen to be trading at $16.00 levels at this moment, and looking to drop lower towards at least $15.40 levels and subsequently towards $14.60 levels respectively. Please note that the metal has remained shy by just 10 cents from the previous major resistance at $16.35 levels. If bulls do not manage to print above $16.35 levels, we can expect the metal to follow Gold and continue drifting lower. It is recommended to remain flat for now and wait for further confirmation to enter short positions. Immediate resistance is seen at $16.35 levels, while support is at $15.80 levels respectively.

Trading recommendations: Remain flat for now.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 14-04-16, 08:24

Daily analysis of USDX for April 14, 2016

USDX is very close to finding strong resistance around the 94.85 level in an effort to resume the bearish bias toward new lows, as the Index is getting outside of the 200 SMA on the H1 chart. However, we can expect a downside continuation when the USDX does a breakout below the 94.40 level, with targets around the 93.95 level.

H1 chart's resistance levels: 94.85 / 95.21
H1 chart's support levels: 94.40 / 93.95

Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 94.40, take profit is at 93.95, and stop loss is at 94.85.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-04-16, 08:42

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for April 15 - 2016

Wave summary:
With a low at 122.70, EUR/JPY failed to make a new low below 122.54 indicating either a fifth wave failure or that a more complex correction is unfolding in red wave [iv]. We will continue to look for resistance at 123.66 and, if broken just above 124.23, for the final decline towards 121.75 and maybe even slightly lower to 120.45. The long-term ideal target at 117.37 does not seem realistic anymore.Trading recommendation:We are short in EUR from 123.76 and will move our stop lower to break-even. If this stop is hit then we will be looking to sell EUR again at 124.25 with stop at 125.25.

More analysis - at instaforex.com