Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-02-24, 06:20

Forecast for EUR/USD on February 15, 2024

EUR/USD
The euro continues to closely follow the movements of the stock market. Yesterday, the S&P 500 index corrected from Tuesday's decline, showing a 0.96% increase. We outlined our main points in yesterday's review, so today, we are taking a wait-and-see position.

On the daily chart, the euro has shown moderate growth in the upper half of the descending price channel both yesterday and this morning. A small convergence has formed with the Marlin oscillator. Apparently, traders are not in a hurry to anticipate events, so the convergence will guide the euro into sideways movement, slightly above the support at 1.0724, where the price may gather strength to show a firm downward movement.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has already managed to consolidate above the level of 1.0724, but it is noticeably below the MACD indicator line (1.0768). Overcoming this line will allow the price to test the upper boundary of the daily price channel (1.0790). Only a break above the channel will postpone the euro's decline for an indefinite period.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3UIXeCs

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 16-02-24, 06:51

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 16, 2024

EUR/USD
Yesterday, under the influence of the stock market (S&P 500 0.58%) and its own convergence, the euro rose by 44 pips. The upper boundary of the descending price channel at 1.0790 is nearby. A break above the channel will open the nearest target level at 1.0825. Then, assuming that the stock market will continue to rise, the euro may attempt to reach the MACD indicator line at 1.0868 on the daily chart.

The stock market needs to rise by 0.39% to reach its record high set on February 12. If it manages to do so, it may rise by another 1.04% to reach the upper boundary of the global growing price channel since 2009. But we wouldn't count on the euro's growth until the S&P sets a new record high. If the euro breaks the support at 1.0724, the bears may try to bring the quote to the target level of 1.0632. We are waiting for progress.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has risen above the balance and MACD indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator has settled on its rising half. However, the main obstacle is the upper boundary of the price channel (1.0790), and it is quite difficult to overcome this while we're facing a downward trend. Perhaps the main events will unfold next week. And if you look at such a tool as cyclic lines on the daily chart, you can see a reversal moment on Monday.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3TaI5Zv

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-02-24, 06:23

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 19, 2024

EUR/USD
Last Friday, due to the decline in the stock market, the euro failed to develop a full-fledged upward movement, closing the day up by 5 pips. This morning, the euro is trying to rise without external influence, but technically, the price has reached the intersection point of the upper boundary of the descending price channel and the cyclical line, from which a bearish trend reversal is expected. Also, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has reached the border of the uptrend territory, and a reversal may occur from this line.

Thus, the main scenario is the euro will fall through the nearest support at 1.0724 to the target level of 1.0632. Possibly even lower, to the lower boundary of the price channel, around the target level of 1.0440 (the 2023 low). If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.0793, the channel will be invalidated, and the price will continue to rise to the nearest target level of 1.0825 with the goal of attacking the MACD line around the 1.0870 mark.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has settled above the balance and MACD indicator lines, and Marlin is growing in the positive territory after bouncing off the zero line. The growth seems deceptive, especially since the stock market has not yet come into play. If the price returns below the MACD line (1.0763), this may bring back the bearish scenario. Today, the US and Canadian markets are closed for a holiday.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3T3St4Y

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 20-02-24, 06:50

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 20, 2024

EUR/USD
The euro is starting to form a bearish reversal exactly along the cyclical line with a period of 9 daily bars. The upper line of the descending price channel is still undeveloped, but this option is also acceptable during reversals.

The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is also turning down without reaching the zero line, but at the same time it is sensitive to the upper resistance line. The final confirmation that the euro will fall is when the price breaches the support at 1.0724. After that, the target will be 1.0632.

On the 4-hour chart, the first signal for a downward movement is when the price falls below the MACD line (1.0763). It is very likely that at this moment, the Marlin oscillator will enter the downtrend territory. This will be a good pattern for creating the momentum to reach the support at 1.0724.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3uEq1gJ

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 21-02-24, 06:11

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on February 21, 2024

GBP/USD
Yesterday, the price surpassed the resistance of the target level at 1.2610, as well as both indicator lines. Afterward, it retreated, and the pound closed the day with a 29-pip gain. The Marlin oscillator entered the growth territory.

However, as long as the price doesn't settle above the MACD line (1.2640), there is a high probability of a reversal from the resistance levels it reached. Marlin can also turn down from the zero line. If the price consolidates below 1.2610, the target will be 1.2524. Consolidating above 1.2640 will allow the price to rise to the level of 1.2745 – the peak of August 30, 2023.

The price has covered a distance of 50 pips from yesterday's high to its current quote, approaching the support at 1.2610. A break below will make it possible to attack the MACD line in the 4-hour chart (1.2590). Consolidating below it opens the target level at 1.2524.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3uIrVwN

- - - Updated - - -

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on February 21, 2024

GBP/USD
Yesterday, the price surpassed the resistance of the target level at 1.2610, as well as both indicator lines. Afterward, it retreated, and the pound closed the day with a 29-pip gain. The Marlin oscillator entered the growth territory.

However, as long as the price doesn't settle above the MACD line (1.2640), there is a high probability of a reversal from the resistance levels it reached. Marlin can also turn down from the zero line. If the price consolidates below 1.2610, the target will be 1.2524. Consolidating above 1.2640 will allow the price to rise to the level of 1.2745 – the peak of August 30, 2023.

The price has covered a distance of 50 pips from yesterday's high to its current quote, approaching the support at 1.2610. A break below will make it possible to attack the MACD line in the 4-hour chart (1.2590). Consolidating below it opens the target level at 1.2524.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3uIrVwN

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 22-02-24, 06:50

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on February 22, 2024

GBP/USD
Yesterday, the British pound only rose by 15 pips, but it accomplished an important task for the bulls - it consolidated above the level of 1.2610. So now it is much easier to overcome the MACD line. It will succeed once the price overcomes the February 20th peak (1.2667). After that, the next target will be 1.2745.

The Marlin oscillator is stable in the uptrend territory and it continues to rise further. A reversal below 1.2610 will be a sign of the bulls' weakness, despite all the positive signs that it received.

On the 4-hour chart, we can see a consolidation above 1.2610 while the price is struggling with the MACD line on the daily timeframe. The Marlin oscillator moved up in the bullish territory. But once the price overcomes the support of the MACD line (1.2592), this will confirm a bearish breakthrough and it will mark the bears' victory in the current situation.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/4bN5Ca4

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 23-02-24, 05:58

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on February 23, 2024

GBP/USD
Yesterday, the composite PMI index for the UK increased to 53.30 in February from 52.90 in January of 2024. The British pound, also influenced by external markets, gained 22 pips. The intraday growth was 74 pips, but the price could not break out of the grids of the indicator lines in the daily timeframe.

The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is growing in the positive territory, but visually it is getting weaker. In order to rise to the nearest target of 1.2745, the price must close today with a white candle to settle above the MACD line. To realize the opposite scenario, the quote must overcome the support of 1.2610. We are waiting for Monday.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has settled and is rising above both indicator lines. However, the Marlin oscillator moves horizontally, in a sideways range. The uptrend is getting weaker, and it is better to wait for the start of next week.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/49qQugL

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-02-24, 06:14

FOREX ANALYSIS & REVIEWS: FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON FEBRUARY 27, 2024

EUR/USD
S&P500 decreased by 0.38%, while the dollar index declined by 0.20%, thanks to a slight increase in government bond yields. Investors also expressed some confusion over the lack of agreements in Congress on the budget, which could lead to another partial government shutdown (starting from March 1). If the shutdown occurs, it will not necessarily lead to an automatic decline in dollar. Most likely, it will strengthen in the medium term as a safe-haven currency amid the decline in stock markets.

On the daily chart, yesterday's rise in euro halted because of the balance line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator also turned downward slightly. If the price settles below 1.0825, the pair will move towards 1.0724. EUR/USD faces obstacles not only from the indicator lines but also from the target level of 1.0905. It needs to successfully surpass the level to continue the movement towards the target level of 1.1001 (peak on January 11).

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator continues to experience pressure and may soon shift downward. However, the price remains above the indicator lines, so the pair may not decline yet. A downward move will occur only when the price settles below the support at 1.0825 and falls under the MACD line support at 1.0806, which coincides with the peak from February 12.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3wDlJGU

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 28-02-24, 06:08

FOREX ANALYSIS & REVIEWS: FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON FEBRUARY 28, 2024

EUR/USD
Euro's situation did not change even though the indicators on the daily chart maintained their positions. The price continues to test its strength in both upward and downward movements, leaning towards the downside. This indicates a potential breach of the support level at 1.0825, where a consolidation below the level will likely bring the pair to the target level of 1.0724.

Weak data on durable goods orders and consumer confidence in the US came out, but dollar did not decline. Further movement will depend on the upcoming GDP data for the 4th quarter, which forecasts say will remain unchanged at 3.3%.

On the four-hour chart, the price appears to be heading towards the balance line. It will test the support level of 1.0825 along with the movement. The MACD line (1.0814) lies slightly below the level.

Without external assistance, such as a decline in stock indices, euro will find it difficult to cross the support levels in a single day. Currently, it has only one ally - the Marlin oscillator, which already arrived at the area of a downward trend.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3wzPb0J

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 29-02-24, 09:30

FOREX ANALYSIS & REVIEWS: FORECAST FOR EUR/USD ON FEBRUARY 29, 2024

EUR/USD
On Wednesday, the euro made a strong attempt to break below the support level of 1.0825, but, as we anticipated in yesterday's overview, it did not succeed in just a day. Nevertheless, it made an attempt, and speculative interest is clear. We expect another attack on the aforementioned support level. Traders could receive external help – yesterday, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.17%, and in today's Asia Pacific session, the S&P/ASX200 is losing 0.16%.

On Wednesday, U.S. lawmakers, for the fourth time, agreed to extend funding for some government agencies for a week, through March 8, and the rest for another two weeks, until March 22. Obviously, they will be able to approve the final allocation of $1.7 trillion even if they fail to do so in March.

We're waiting for the price to settle below the level of 1.0825 to confirm the market's choice in pushing the pair towards 1.0724. An alternative scenario, suggesting growth above 1.0905, will begin to develop after the price overcomes the resistance of the MACD line (1.0874).

On the 4-hour chart, yesterday, the price failed to settle below the MACD line, rising back above the red balance line. The Marlin oscillator is in its lower half, indicating a predominantly downward trend. In order to support the decline, the price needs to settle below the 1.0817 mark.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3SXb7u3

**Instaforex Bella** · 01-03-24, 09:47

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for March 1, 2024

The GBP/USD pair has breached a short-term supply zone, hinting at bullish momentum with a potential move toward the 1.2691 level. A mix of buy and sell signals from technical indicators and moving averages suggest a market in consolidation, awaiting a decisive breakout. Sentiment has shifted slightly towards bears in the last three days, despite a generally bullish stance over the past week. The GBP/USD pair has recently demonstrated a bullish inclination, successfully breaching the short-term supply zone. A sustained move above the 100-day moving average (MA) suggests potential for further upward momentum. However, the pair is currently consolidating gains, indicating a pivotal moment for traders as the market seeks direction.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/49zgLcT

**Instaforex Bella** · 04-03-24, 10:11

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Indicator Analysis of GBP/USD on March 4, 2024

The GBP/USD currency pair may move upward from the level of 1.2649 (closing of Friday's daily candle) to 1.2680, the 14.6% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Then, from the said level, a continued upward movement is possible to the upper fractal at 1.2708 (yellow dotted line).

Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up; Fibonacci levels – up; Volumes – up; Candlestick analysis – up; Trend analysis – up; Bollinger bands – up; Weekly chart – up. General conclusion: Today, the price may move upward from the level of 1.2649 (closing of Friday's daily candle) to 1.2680, the 14.6% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Then, from the said level, a continued upward movement is possible to the upper fractal at 1.2708 (yellow dotted line). Alternatively, from the level of 1.2649 (closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may move upward to 1.2680, the 14.6% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Then, a downward movement may occur with a target of 1.2663, the 23.6 % pullback level (yellow dotted line)

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3V3hkY6

**Instaforex Bella** · 05-03-24, 10:15

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Indicator Analysis of EUR/USD on March 5, 2024

Today, the price may move downward from the level of 1.0854 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) to test the historical support level at 1.0836 (blue dotted line). After that, an upward movement is possible to the 38.2% pullback level at 1.0864 (red dotted line), where the price may continue to rise. Alternatively, from the level of 1.0854 (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may move downward to test the 76.4% pullback level at 1.0842 (blue dotted line). After that, an upward movement is possible to the 38.2% pullback level at 1.0864 (red dotted line), where the price may continue to rise.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3uNdY0R

**Instaforex Bella** · 06-03-24, 09:07

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Indicator Analysis of EUR/USD on March 6, 2024

The EUR/USD currency pair may move downward from the level of 1.0855 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) to 1.0842, the 76.4% pullback level (blue dotted line). In the case of testing this level, an upward movement is possible to the upper fractal at 1.0888 (blue dotted line).

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

Read More https://ifxpr.com/3v0n3TY