Thread: Instaforex Analysis
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03-11-23, 06:04 #1
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USDCHF H4 I Falling to Support level?
The USD/CHF chart shows bearish momentum with potential movement towards the 1st support at 0.9032, a pullback support strengthened by the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement. The 2nd support at 0.8982, considered an overlap support, adds to its significance as a potential buying area.
On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 0.9111, an overlap resistance, might attract selling interest. The 2nd resistance at 0.9177, a multi-swing high resistance, could strongly impede upward movement. Traders should closely watch these levels, given the overall bearish chart bias.
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06-11-23, 08:03 #2
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EURUSD Day I Rising toward resistance level?
The EUR/USD chart currently demonstrates bullish momentum, suggesting the potential for an upward move towards the 1st resistance. The 1st support at 1.0674, associated with the 23.60% Fibonacci Retracement level, may attract buying interest as a significant level. On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.0765, linked to the 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement level, could pose as a level of selling pressure due to its overlap resistance nature. The 2nd resistance at 1.0858, related to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level, further reinforces its significance as a potential obstacle to upward price movement.
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07-11-23, 06:29 #3
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EURUSD H4 I Boucnig off support?
The EUR/USD chart shows bearish momentum, potentially heading towards the 1st support at 1.0678, a pullback support. The 2nd support at 1.0606, coinciding with the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, adds to the support zone.
On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.0759, a multi-swing high resistance, could lead to selling pressure. The 2nd resistance at 1.0835 is another potential obstacle for upward movement.
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08-11-23, 06:01 #4
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Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of AUD/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Wednesday, November 08 2023
With a price movement which is above its EMA 200 that has an upward slope as well as the appearance of Bullish 123 pattern followed by the Bullish Ross Hook (RH) which in a few times manages to breakout above as well as the appearance of Fractal Bar pattern which detected at the candle Pinbar on the 4 hour chart of AUD/JPY Cross currency pairs, then in the near future, this cross currency pairs has the potential to appreciate above to the level 97.53. If on the way to the level there is no downward correction which breaks under the level 95.84, because if this level manages to break above, then the strengthening condition that has been described before will become invalid and cancel itself.
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09-11-23, 07:19 #5
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EURUSD H4 I Continue to resistance?
EUR/USD exhibits bullish momentum with a focus on the 1st resistance. The 1st support at 1.0664 coincides with the 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement, a key buying level. Similarly, the 2nd support at 1.0606 aligns with the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, enhancing its significance.
Resistance is expected at the 1st resistance of 1.0758, a multi-swing high resistance likely to trigger selling pressure. The 2nd resistance at 1.0835, a pullback resistance, may further impede upward movement
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10-11-23, 06:32 #6
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XAUUSD H4 I Continue to Support?
The XAU/USD chart currently has a bearish momentum, indicating a potential move towards the 1st support at 1946.66, an overlap support with historical significance. The 2nd support at 1932.50 reinforces the potential buying zone as a pullback support. The 1st resistance at 1964.79, an overlap resistance coinciding with the 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement level, may impede upward movement. The 2nd resistance at 1976.78 acts as a pullback resistance, potentially adding to selling pressure during the bearish continuation.
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13-11-23, 05:43 #7
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Forecast for EUR/USD on November 13, 2023
On Friday, the euro rebounded for the fourth time from the MACD indicator line with the lower shadow of the daily candle. Visually, the price has risen further, this might be real, which means that the Fibonacci ray is just around 1.0764.
A break above this mark makes it possible for the pair to aim for 1.0834. If the price manages to settle below Friday's low (simultaneously below the MACD line), the euro will head towards the lower Fibonacci ray at around 1.0490.
On the 4-hour chart, the price found strong support from the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator is rising, and its signal line is approaching the border of the uptrend territory. Under these conditions, the main scenario is that the price will rise to 1.0764.
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14-11-23, 07:08 #8
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AUDUSD H4 I Continue to Support?
The AUD/USD chart currently shows a bearish momentum with key levels to watch. The 1st support at 0.6324 (overlap and 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement) signifies a historical buying level. The 2nd support at 0.6275 is a swing low support. On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 0.6392 (overlap) may block further upside, and the 2nd resistance at 0.6436 (50% Fibonacci Retracement) could serve as strong resistance.
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15-11-23, 06:46 #9
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Forecast for GBP/USD on November 15, 2023
GBP/USD:
After sharply rising on Tuesday, the British pound decided to take a break in the consolidation range of September 7-13 at 1.2447-1.2524. During this pause, the Marlin oscillator's signal line will discharge slightly and then be ready to continue the ascent.
Once the price surpasses 1.2524, the target will be 1.2617. Next is 1.2745, the peak of August 30. If the price falls below the nearest price channel line at 1.2415, it will significantly complicate the correction. The bulls must close above 1.2447.
On the 4-hour chart, the correction is also looming. The Marlin oscillator's signal line sharply turned down, but apparently, this was so that the price would not fall below the critical support after the oscillator. After a consolidation, we expect the price to continue rising.
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16-11-23, 06:21 #10
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Analysis of Gold for November 16, 2023 - Key resistance cluster on the test
Gold has been trading sideways at the price of $1.961 but I found that key resistance sat the prie of $1.970 is on the test.
In case of the rejection of the key resistance cluster, I see potetnial for the further downside movement towards lower references at $1.948 and $1.921.
In case of the upside breakout of the resistance cluster and hold above, there is the chance for the rally towards $2.003
RSI oscillator is showing reading above 50, which is sign that buyers are in control.
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17-11-23, 05:16 #11
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Forecast for USD/JPY on November 17, 2023
USD/JPY:
On the daily chart, the yen is coiling around the price channel line within a wide range but has not been able to settle above or below this line. Let's see if the price can do this today. If it consolidates below the price channel line, the price will try to challenge the support levels at 150.00 and the MACD line at 149.65. Overcoming the MACD line not only opens up the nearest target at 148.18 but also paves the way for a decline in the medium-term (140.93).
A day closing with a white candle, followed by Monday's close above the price channel line, provides the opportunity to overcome the target level of 151.95 and the price can rise to 153.25. This scenario does not look weak, as the Marlin oscillator is ready to repeat the bullish reversal from the zero line.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is forming a triangle pattern. If this is a triangle, we can expect at least one more upward movement. If this is not a potential triangle, a bearish breakout may follow. Also, take note that the price is progressing below both indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is in the bearish territory. Keep an eye on the price's behavior at the levels of 150.00 and 149.65.
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21-11-23, 07:32 #12
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Forecast for EUR/USD on November 21, 2023
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro reached the 2-year descending price channel line and the target level of 1.0946. This morning, the price is trying to break above this level towards the nearest target at 1.0977. Once the price surpasses this mark, the next target will be 1.1033 (January peak).
The Marlin oscillator is not in a hurry to rise along with the price, so the risk of a corrective decline increases with each day. Overall, we expect the signal line of the oscillator to be tested at the upper band of the ascending channel.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is breaking above the resistance of 1.0946 with a desire to consolidate above it. The Marlin oscillator is turning upward, creating a risk of divergence with the price. However, the reversal is not characteristic of a divergence, so the upward movement has the advantage at the moment.
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22-11-23, 09:01 #13
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Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Gold Commodity Asset, Wednesday, November 22 2023
On the 30 minutes chart of Gold commodity asset, there is the price movement which is above the Kumo, Chikou Span also above the price and Kumo and even though Tenkan Sen and Kinjun Sen above the Kumo, but intersect with the Death Cross, which means although the Gold is in the Bullish condition, but in the near future has the potential to corrected below, where this is also confirmed by the appearance of the hidden deviation between price movement with CCI indicator so that, in the near future Gold has the potential to corrected downward, but if the weakness doesn't exceed under the level 1988,80, then Gold has the potential to be strong again up to the level 2007,07.
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23-11-23, 05:07 #14
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Hot forecast for EUR/USD on November 22, 2023
Market trends do not unfold continuously as periodic pullbacks could happen. That is exactly what happened yesterday, despite the extremely weak data on existing home sales in the US, which fell by 4.1%, and has been decreasing for five consecutive months, with a total reduction of 11.9%.
At the beginning of the year, US home sales declined by 6.0%, but in February, it improved slightly, showing a 13.8% increase. Even so, the cumulative decrease is quite significant, naturally not inspiring any optimism. This should have resulted in dollar weakening, but pound fell instead.
The Fed's hawkish stance on monetary policy could not be the reason as the meeting took place before the sharp slowdown in inflation became known. Most likely, the movement is a technical rebound, which means that dollar will show its expected decline soon, especially since today, data on durable goods orders will be published. The figure is expected to fall by 2.8%. The potential 5,000 increase in jobless claims may also spark further dollar weakening.
EUR/USD hit the lower range of the psychological level of 1.0950/1.1000, resulting in a decrease in the volume of long positions. This led to a pullback, which may also be due to the overbought condition of euro.
Looking at the RSI H4, there is an exit from the overbought area due to the pullback.
In the daily period, the indicator is moving near the 70 zone.
As for the Alligator H4 indicator, it ignored the pullback, with the moving MA lines pointing upwards.
Outlook
For further decline, traders need to keep the price below 1.0900, as that will spark a complete correction. Alternatively, there could be a decrease in the volume of short positions around the level of 1.0900, treating it as support. In this scenario, there will be another attempt to break the psychological level of 1.1000.
The complex indicator analysis points to an upward cycle in the short-term, medium-term and intraday periods.
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23-11-23, 05:44 #15
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on November 23, 2023
GBP/USD:
Yesterday, the low was 1.2448, which is approximately the trough since September 7th. In general, the support is not weak, as the price lingered on this mark for five days since September. Now the price could break above the level of 1.2524. If the price stays above this mark, the next target could be 1.2645. The brewing divergence between the price and the Marlin oscillator is losing its strength.
Now the signal line of the oscillator takes on a wedge shape. We could witness a bullish breakout from the wedge. On the 4-hour chart, the price turned up from the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator has already moved to the bearish territory, so the price may linger a bit before the resistance at 1.2524.
The UK Manufacturing PMI for November, which will be released today, is forecasted to rise from 44.8 to 45.0. Therefore, the pound has the opportunity to rise, even if it the United States is celebrating a holiday today.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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24-11-23, 05:47 #16
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XAU/USD H4 I Falling to support?
The XAU/USD pair is showing bearish potential, with a significant support at 1985.14, known as an overlap support. If the price drops further, the 2nd support at 1968.63, a swing low support, may offer a defensive stance.
On the upside, the 1st resistance at 1996.02 serves as an overlap resistance, and overcoming it could be challenging. Above that, the 2nd resistance at 2006.90, which is a multi-swing high resistance, could cap the upside.
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28-11-23, 07:57 #17
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Forecast for EUR/USD on November 28, 2023
EUR/USD
After yesterday's bounce from the support of the green channel line, the price rose above the resistance at 1.0946, closing the day with a white candle. However, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator did not return to its own ascending channel and even strengthened the downward movement.
There is a risk to continuing the upward movement; the price can turn into a correction at any time. Nevertheless, the main bullish scenario is still valid; Marlin simply annuls the current channel and enters the formation of some other formation. However, in order to confirm the growth, Marlin must still turn upwards. The target level of 1.1033 remains relevant.
On the 4-hour chart, yesterday, the price tried to attack the support of the MACD indicator line, but failed. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned upward from the zero line. The uptrend may strengthen. We are waiting for the price at the nearest target level. To develop a correction, the price must overcome yesterday's low at 1.0926. The first corrective target will be 1.0905.
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30-11-23, 07:37 #18
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XAU/USD Day I Potential bearish reversal?
The XAU/USD is currently positioned for a potential bearish reversal, The chart is currently encountering major resistance levels, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
The 1st resistance at 2050.34 is identified as a multi-swing high resistance. This implies that it's a significant barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially triggering a reversal in the XAU/USD (Gold) market.
The 2nd resistance at 2079.54 is also noted as a swing high resistance, further reinforcing the potential resistance factors for the precious metal.
On the support side,
The 1st support at 2005.70 is categorized as a pullback support. This suggests that it's a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing some support for XAU/USD.
The 2nd support at 1951.77 is another support level identified as an overlap support. This adds further significance to this support level, indicating it as a potential area where buyers might become active, potentially mitigating the bearish reversal.
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04-12-23, 09:36 #19
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AUD/USD Update for December 04, 2023 - Berish divergence on the oscillator
Technical analysis:
AUD/USD has been trading downside this morning and I found rejection of the previous swing high at 0.6680, which is good sign for the further downside movement.
Due to the rejection of the previous swing high and the bearish divergence on the RSI oscillator, I see potential for the further drop towards lower references.
Downside objectives are set at the price of 0.6570 and 0.6524
RSI oscillator is showing fresh bearish divergence in the background, which is sign for the downside rotation.
Key resistance is set at the price of 0.6680
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05-12-23, 06:31 #20
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USD/CAD I Bearish Reversal?
The USD/CAD chart is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, with significant support and resistance levels in play.
Resistance Levels:
At 1.35788, the 1st resistance level is characterized as "Pullback resistance." This level signifies a zone where selling pressure may emerge, potentially hindering upward momentum. Additionally, the 2nd resistance level at 1.35280 is identified as "An Overlap resistance," reinforcing its role as a significant resistance zone.
Support Levels:
On the support side, the 1st support level at 1.34893 is labeled as "Swing low support." This level implies a potential area where buying interest may emerge, serving as a crucial support zone. Similarly, the 2nd support level at 1.34304 is characterized as "Swing low support," reinforcing its potential to provide support to the price.
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