Instaforex Analysis

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 05-10-23, 06:42

USDJPY H4 | Bearish Continueation Expected?

The USD/JPY chart currently exhibits bearish momentum due to its position below the Ichimoku cloud. There's a potential bearish scenario with the 1st support at 148.44, a pullback support, and the 2nd support at 147.26, an overlap support. On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 149.98, a swing high resistance, may limit upward movements.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 06-10-23, 07:09

USDCAD H4 I Potential bullish reversal?

USD/CAD chart shows bearish momentum, potential drop to 1st support (1.3693, overlap support, 23.60% Fibonacci retracement) or 2nd support (1.3634, overlap support, 38.20% Fibonacci retracement). 1st resistance (1.3806) and 2nd resistance (1.3854) act as pullback resistances.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 09-10-23, 06:50

Forecast for EUR/USD on October 9, 2023

EUR/USD
Friday's US labor data for September exceeded expectations. In the non-farm sector, 336,000 new jobs were created compared to a forecast of 170,000, and the August figure was raised by 40,000. Unemployment remained at the previous 3.8%, and a broader measure of unemployment dropped to 7.0% from 7.1% in August. The initial market reaction was quite natural, with the dollar rising and the euro losing 80 pips. However, the dollar was sold off across a wide range of markets, including stock markets and commodities. As a result, the dollar index closed the day down by 0.26%, the S&P 500 rose 1.18%, and oil increased by 0.61% (WTI).

The market's counteraction to strong data is certainly a compelling argument in favor of further (although not very prolonged) euro growth. From a technical standpoint, we saw a rebound from the point of intersection of the price channel line and support level of 1.0483, afterwards the quote exceeded the Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0578. The Marlin oscillator has moved into bullish territory. Now, after breaking through the nearest resistance level at 1.0613, we are waiting for the price to reach the target level of 1.0687 and maybe even 1.0777.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has settled above 1.0578. The morning gap that occurred due to the Hamas attack on Israel will soon be closed. The price is growing above the indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has firmly strengthened in the bullish territory. We expect the euro to rise further.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-10-23, 07:12

Forecast for GBP/USD on October 10, 2023

GBP/USD
Yesterday, the British pound successfully closed the gap from the start of the weekly session and continued to rise. Now the price is trying to break above Friday's high, with the nearest target at 1.2307.

Since the signal line of the Marlin oscillator only entered the positive territory recently, the momentum should be enough to reach the nearest line of the price channel around the target level of 1.2444. By breaching the resistance level, the price could reach the 1.2547 target.

On the 4-hour chart, the price is in an uptrend according to all indicators. The pound is rising above the balance and MACD lines, and these indicator lines have turned upwards. The Marlin oscillator is rising within the uptrend territory and is far from overbought. Keep an eye on the price's behavior at the target resistance level of 1.2307.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 11-10-23, 09:45

NZDUSD H4 I Bearish momentum

The NZD/USD chart currently exhibits an overall bearish momentum with a potential scenario for price to make a bearish continuation towards the 1st support level.

The 1st resistance level at 0.6050 is identified as an overlap resistance. Additionally, the 2nd resistance level at 0.6095 is marked as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level.

To the downside, the 1st support level at 0.5989 is identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement level. Further below, the 2nd support level at 0.5934 is noted as a pullback support.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 12-10-23, 08:29

GBPUSD H4 I Bullish Momentum?

GBP/USD bears momentum, possibly falling to 1st support at 1.2259 (overlap support) or 2nd support at 1.2176 (overlap support). On the upside, 1st resistance at 1.2337 (swing high, 127.20% Fibonacci Extension) and 2nd resistance at 1.2418 (swing high, 161.80% Fibonacci Extension) may hinder upward movement.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 13-10-23, 07:12

GBPUSD H4 I Reacting off resistance level?

GBP/USD is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, with the potential to move higher towards the 1st resistance at 1.2259, a historically significant level where price often faces resistance. Conversely, on the support side, the 1st support at 1.2173, identified as a multi-swing low support, and the 2nd support at 1.2118, aligned with the 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement, hold importance as potential areas for buying interest. In summary, the current trend in GBP/USD leans towards a bullish outlook, and traders will closely monitor these support and resistance levels for potential shifts in market sentiment or reversals.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 17-10-23, 06:37

USDCHF H4 I Potentail bullish reversal?

The USD/CHF chart currently displays bullish momentum, suggesting a possible bounce from the first support towards the initial resistance. The first support at 0.8998 aligns with a prior swing low and the second support at 0.8934 coincides with the 161.80% Fibonacci Retracement, providing strong support potential. On the resistance side, the first resistance at 0.9085 represents a multi-swing high resistance, followed by the second resistance at 0.9116, which is an overlap resistance. Additionally, there's an intermediate resistance at 0.9039, also acting as an overlap resistance.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 18-10-23, 07:18

Forecast for EUR/USD on October 18, 2023

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro settled above the target level of 1.0552. The Marlin oscillator is also in the positive territory. Now, the price needs to gather strength to overcome the strong resistance level at 1.0613, as at the anticipated breakout point, the level intersects with the Fibonacci Fan line.

Breaching this level opens the next target at 1.0687. This level is also strong because the MACD indicator line is approaching it. This will determine the euro's direction in the medium-term - either a breakout with subsequent target realization, as indicated on the daily chart, or a reversal towards 1.02. On the 4-hour chart, the price has settled above the MACD indicator line, but the attempt to break above the balance line was unsuccessful.

The Marlin oscillator is in the uptrend territory, so we expect the price to try and break above the balance line. Without the price consolidating above the balance line, which requires an impulsive initial rise, overcoming the 1.0613 resistance will be extremely challenging.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-10-23, 07:33

Forecast for EUR/USD on October 19, 2023

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro lacked the courage to initiate consolidation ahead of the strong resistance level at 1.0613. The price retreated from the daily balance indicator line and dropped below the support level at 1.0552. However, the Marlin oscillator managed to stay in the positive territory. Therefore, consolidation to attack the Fibonacci ray at 1.0613 may form above 1.0552.

The reason for this could be today's US data; weekly jobless claims are expected to increase from 209,000 to 212,000, and existing home sales for September could decrease from 4.04 million to 3.89 million.

On the 4-hour chart, the price is now below the level of 1.0552 and below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has entered the downtrend territory.

The situation appears bearish, but the general trend may lift the quote above the MACD line, where strategic consolidation will take place. If the price stays below yesterday's low at 1.0524, it could push the euro towards the support level at 1.0483. Below this we can find the price channel line at 1.0456.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 20-10-23, 06:49

Forecast for AUD/USD on October 20, 2023

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar continues to consolidate within the 0.6295-0.6388 range, and this consolidation is increasing the bearish potential every day as the Marlin oscillator's signal line tilts downward in a triangle.

Consolidating below the level of 0.6295 means that the next target will be 0.6171. To initiate an upward movement, the price should rise above the MACD line around 0.6426. The first target will be 0.6514, followed by 0.6612.

A downtrend on the 4-hour chart, and there's a low chance of a reversal. The first sign of a reversal would be the price surpassing the previous day's high of 0.6359, which would automatically lead to breaching the MACD line. We await further developments.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 23-10-23, 11:45

Analysis of Gold for October 23, 2023 - Rejection of the support zone

Technical analysis:

Gold has been trading upside this morning and I found rejection of the support zone at $1.961 and there is the chance for the higher prices.

As long as the support zone around $1.957 can hold, higher prices might be in the play and the test of $1.997. The short-term trend is still to the upside.

In case of the downside breakout of the support at $1.1957, there is the chance for the downside movement towards lower reference at $1.937

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 24-10-23, 06:49

XAUUSD H4 I Reacting off Resistance?

The XAU/USD chart currently shows bearish momentum, suggesting potential further decline towards the 1st support at 1947.23, which aligns with an overlap support. The 2nd support at 1931.57 adds to this bearish outlook as a pullback support.

On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1984.47 has historically acted as a strong barrier to upward movement, and the 2nd resistance at 2003.60 could provide additional resistance. An intermediate support level at 1963.24 might offer a temporary pause in the bearish trend

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 25-10-23, 07:09

GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation Expected?

The GBP/USD chart currently shows bearish momentum with potential for a bearish continuation towards the 1st support at 1.2106, which aligns with a multi-swing low support. The 2nd support at 1.2049, also a multi-swing low support, adds to its significance as it coincides with the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension level. On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.2270 is characterized as an overlap resistance, while the 2nd resistance at 1.2340 is marked as a swing high resistance.

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- - - Updated - - -

GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation Expected?

The GBP/USD chart currently shows bearish momentum with potential for a bearish continuation towards the 1st support at 1.2106, which aligns with a multi-swing low support. The 2nd support at 1.2049, also a multi-swing low support, adds to its significance as it coincides with the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension level. On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.2270 is characterized as an overlap resistance, while the 2nd resistance at 1.2340 is marked as a swing high resistance.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 26-10-23, 07:15

USDCAD H4 I Heading into resistance?

The USD/CAD chart currently displays bullish overall momentum, with the potential scenario of a bullish continuation towards the 1st resistance level.

The 1st resistance level at 1.3848 is identified as a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level. Higher up, the 2nd resistance level at 1.3919 is marked as a resistance level that aligns with the 161.80% Fibonacci extension level.

To the downside, the 1st support level at 1.3786 is identified as a pullback support. Further below, the 2nd support level at 1.3736 is noted as an overlap support, potentially acting as a strong support zone.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-10-23, 08:44

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/USD for October 27, 2023

After a minor correction from 1.0695, EUR/USD is ready for the next push higher towards at least 1.0805 and most likely above here too. In the long term, we are looking for EUR/USD to move towards 1.2085 as the next major upside target as wave 3 gathers strength.

Support remains seen near 1.0521 for the next push above 1.0695.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 30-10-23, 06:13

USDJPY Day I Reacting off resistance level?

USD/JPY displays bearish momentum, potentially heading towards the 1st support at 144.94, which aligns with overlap support. On the resistance front, the 1st resistance at 150.30, marked as a multi-swing high resistance, may hinder further upward movement. A 2nd resistance at 152.72, coinciding with the 100% Fibonacci Projection, adds to its potential as a significant resistance zone.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 31-10-23, 05:37

USDJPY H4 I Falling to support level?

USD/JPY indicates bearish momentum with a potential bearish reaction near the 1st resistance at 149.50, leading to a possible decline to the 1st support at 148.92. The 1st support is reinforced by overlap support, while the 2nd support at 148.42 adds further strength to this support zone.

On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 149.50 is significant due to overlap resistance and the 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement, potentially impeding upward movement. The 2nd resistance at 149.97 presents challenges with overlap resistance, the 78.60% Fibonacci Projection, and the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, signifying a strong resistance area.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 01-11-23, 05:43

Forecast for GBP/USD on November 1, 2023

GBP/USD Yesterday, the British pound tried to move towards the target range of 1.2271/87 but stopped by the balance line on the daily chart, just as it was on October 24th. Afterwards, the price returned below the descending price channel line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator came close to the border of the bearish territory.

In case the Federal Reserve shows a softer stance, the price may reach some bullish targets (1.2271/87, 1.2400). However, the current situation lowers the chances of growth, which warns the speculative nature of the moment. If the price settles below 1.2070, it will likely fall towards 1.1880.

On the 4-hour chart, the price has settled below the balance and MACD indicator lines after a false bullish breakout. The Marlin oscillator has also returned to the bearish territory. As a result of the FOMC meeting, the pound may weaken.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 02-11-23, 05:35

XAUUSD H4 | Neutral Momentum?

The XAU/USD chart currently shows a neutral overall momentum, indicating a lack of a strong directional trend. In this scenario, the price is expected to fluctuate between the 1st support at 1974.67 (overlap support) and the 1st resistance at 1992.18 (overlap resistance). These levels are significant, with the support potentially attracting buyers at 1974.67 and the resistance posing a hurdle for further price gains. The 2nd support at 1962.70 (overlap support) and the 2nd resistance at 2006.11 (multi-swing high resistance) further reinforce these potential support and resistance zones.

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