EUR/USD: dollar reflects resilience of US economy while euro's stability in question

The US dollar is once again in a dominant position, successfully overshadowing the euro. The dollar seems to mirror the strength and confidence of the American economy, which has showcased resilience so many times already. For the euro, the question of stability remains a challenging one. It had to prove its viability several times but not always with success.

The Federal Reserve's actions and the current macroeconomic statistics are crucial for the greenback's future trajectory. This is particularly in reference to the monthly reports released on August 16 by the US Census Bureau. According to recent data, housing starts in July increased by 3.9% month-on-month. Notably, there was an 11.7% decrease in this metric in June. This exceeded market expectations which had anticipated growth of 2.7%. Moreover, the number of building permits also increased in the past month by 0.1% after decreasing by 3.7% in June.

The US dollar did not show a significant reaction to this batch of macroeconomic data. The publication of the Fed minutes had a more pronounced impact on the dollar's movements. On the evening of August 16, prior to the report's publication, the greenback depreciated slightly against the euro. By the next morning, the dollar had appreciated slightly, positioning the EUR/USD pair close to 1.0883 and erasing some of its earlier gains.

The chart indicates that the EUR/USD pair is struggling to break out of the bearish 20-day SMA, which is accelerating its decline. Other technical indicators show a downward movement after failing to cross their median lines. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, which could intensify if the nearest support level at 1.0870 is broken. However, the situation has currently stabilized, and the pair is holding confidently within its current range.

In the current landscape, the European currency remains susceptible to fluctuations. Notably, after the release of the Eurozone's economic data, the euro appreciated but later its growth stagnated. The combined GDP of the 20 Eurozone countries grew by 0.6% annually and by 0.3% quarterly in the second quarter of 2023. Both metrics were consistent with preliminary assessments. Moreover, in the first month of summer, the Eurozone's industrial production volume decreased by 1.2% year-on-year but rose by 0.5% on a monthly basis. This surpassed analyst expectations, predicting a decline of 4.2% and 0.1% respectively.

News are provided by InstaForex

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