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  1. #1621
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: UK GDP DATA DUE

    Quarterly national accounts and public sector finances from the UK are due on Tuesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics publishes UK GDP and public sector net borrowing figures for November. GDP is forecast to expand 15.5 percent sequentially in the third quarter, as initially estimated.

    The budget deficit is forecast to widen to GBP 27.3 billion in November from GBP 21.58 billion in October.

    In the meantime, Germany's Gfk consumer confidence survey results are due. The forward-looking consumer confidence index is seen at -8.8 in January versus -6.7 in December. At 3.00 am ET, the National Institute of Economic Research is set to publish Sweden's economic tendency survey results.

    Half an hour later, Statistics Sweden releases producer prices and retail sales for November.

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  2. #1622
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    UK CAR PRODUCTION DECLINES IN NOVEMBER: SMMT

    UK car production declined in November, data released by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, or SMMT, showed Wednesday.

    Car manufacturing decreased 1.4 percent annually to 106,243 units in November.

    Output for domestic markets dropped 10.4 percent, while that for exports gained marginally by 0.3 percent.

    The annual decline in production masks a particularly weak November 2019 when precautionary factory shutdowns in anticipation of a potential 'no deal' Brexit on October 31, depressed output.

    Year-to-date production was down -31.0 percent with 380,809 fewer cars manufactured in 2020. This puts the industry on course to produce fewer than a million cars this year for only the second time since the early eighties, the lobby noted.

    Around 85 percent of cars built in November were manufactured for exports, highlighting the critical importance of free and fair trade with global markets to UK car makers.

    Yet another decline for UK car production is of course concerning, but not nearly as concerning as the New Year nightmare facing the automotive industry if we do not get a Brexit deal that works for the sector, Mike Hawes, SMMT chief executive, said.

    "With just nine days to go, the threat of 'no deal' is palpable and the sector, now also reeling from the latest coronavirus resurgence, Tier 4 showroom lockdowns and disruption at critical UK ports, needs more than ever the tariff-free trading arrangements on which our competitiveness is founded, Hawes added.

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  3. #1623
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    JAPAN'S HOUSING STARTS FALL AT SLOWER PACE

    Japan's housing starts continued to decline in November albeit at a slower pace, data from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism showed on Friday.

    Housing starts were down 3.7 percent on year, following October's 8.3 percent decline. This was also better than the expected decrease of 4.9 percent.

    Annualized housing starts rose to 820,000 in November from 802,000 in the previous month.

    Further, data showed that construction orders received by the big 50 contractors decreased 4.7 percent on a yearly basis, bigger than the 0.1 percent fall posted in October.

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  4. #1624
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    JAPAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FLAT ON MONTH IN NOVEMBER



    Industrial production in Japan was unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis in November, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Monday.

    That missed expectations for an increase of 1.2 percent following the 4.0 percent gain in October.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production sank 3.4 percent, matching forecasts following the 3.0 percent drop in the previous month.

    Upon the release of the data, the METI maintained its assessment of industrial production, saying that it is picking up.

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  5. #1625
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    SINGAPORE TRADE DATA DUE ON TUESDAY

    Singapore will on Tuesday release November numbers for imports, exports and trade balance, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.

    In October, imports were down 7.6 percent on year and exports sank an annual 8.0 percent, while producer prices tumbled 9.6 percent on year.

    The Philippines will see November figures for producer prices; in October, prices were down 3.3 percent on year.

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  6. #1626
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    SOUTH KOREA RETAIL SALES SINK 1.0% IN NOVEMBER



    The value of retail sales in South Korea was down a seasonally adjusted 1.0 percent on month in November, Statistics Korea said on Wednesday.

    That follows the 0.9 percent contraction in the previous month.

    On a yearly basis, retail sales skidded 1.5 percent after dropping 0.2 percent a month earlier.

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  7. #1627
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    CHINA'S MANUFACTURING SECTOR GROWTH MODERATES IN DECEMBER

    China's manufacturing sector growth moderated at the end of the year, survey data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday.

    The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 51.9 from 52.1 in November.

    The score was forecast to drop marginally to 52.0. However, a reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

    The export order sub-index in manufacturing eased to 51.3 from 51.5 in November.

    The non-manufacturing PMI that measures sentiment in the services and construction sectors declined to 55.7 in December from 56.4 a month ago.

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  8. #1628
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    SINGAPORE PRIVATE SECTOR CLIMBS INTO EXPANSION - MARKIT

    The private sector in Singapore moved into expansion territory in December, the latest survey from Markit Economics showed on Wednesday with a PMI score of 50.5.

    That's up from 46.7 in November, and it moves above the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.

    Individually, new orders increased for the first times since January with respondents mentioning stronger demand, a rise in e-commerce sales and promotional activity.

    New orders from oversea markets also rose, and at the strongest rate since November 2018. Subsequently, firms raised output during December, which rebounded from November's relatively solid contraction.

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  9. #1629
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    AUSTRALIA HAS A$5.022 BILLION TRADE SURPLUS IN NOVEMBER

    Australia had a merchandise trade surplus of A$5.022 billion in November, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

    That was shy of expectations for a surplus of A$6 billion and down from the downwardly revised A$6.583 billion in October (originally A$7.456 billion).

    Imports were up 10 percent on month after gaining an upwardly revised 2 percent in the previous month (originally 1 percent).

    Exports rose 3 percent on month, slowing from the downwardly revised 4.4 percent gain a month earlier (originally 5 percent).

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  10. #1630
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: GERMAN INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT, FOREIGN TRADE DATA DUE

    Industrial production and foreign trade figures are due from Germany on Friday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

    At 1.45 am ET, Swiss unemployment data is due. The jobless rate is seen at 3.5 percent in December versus 3.4 percent in November.

    At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is slated to issue Germany's industrial production and external trade data. Exports are forecast to grow 0.8 percent on month in November, the same rate as seen in October. The annual growth in imports is seen rising to 0.4 percent from 0.3 percent.

    Industrial production is expected to climb 0.7 percent on month in November versus a 3.2 percent rise in October.

    In the meantime, industrial production from Norway and foreign trade from Finland are due.

    At 2.45 am ET, the French statistical office Insee is slated to issue consumer spending and industrial production data for November. Also, foreign trade and current account figures are due from France.

    At 3.00 am ET, industrial production from Hungary and foreign trade from Slovakia are due. In the meantime, the Czech Statistical Office releases third quarter GDP data and industrial output.

    Half an hour later, UK Halifax house price data is due. Economists expect house prices to climb 0.5 percent on month in December, slower than the 1.2 percent rise seen in November.

    Also, industrial production and new orders are due from Statistics Sweden.

    At 4.00 am ET, Italy's unemployment data is due for November. The rate stood at 9.8 percent in October.

    At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat is set to publish euro area unemployment data for November. The jobless rate is expected to rise to 8.5 percent from 8.4 percent in October.

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  11. #1631
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    CHINA CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.2% ON YEAR IN DECEMBER

    Consumer prices in China were up 0.2 percent on year in December, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday.

    That exceeded expectations for an increase of 0.1 percent following the 0.5 percent contraction in November.

    On a monthly basis, inflation was up 0.7 percent - again beating forecasts for an increase of 0.4 percent following the 0.6 percent decline in the previous month.

    The bureau also said that producer prices were down 0.4 percent on year, beating forecasts for a fall of 0.8 percent after sinking 1.5 percent a month earlier.

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  12. #1632
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    JAPAN HAS Y1,878.4 BILLION CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS

    Japan posted a current account surplus of 1,878.4 billion yen in November, the Ministry of Finance said on Tuesday.

    That exceeded expectations for a surplus of 1,551 billion yen and was down from 2,144.7 billion yen in October.

    Exports were down 3.4 percent on year to 6.039 trillion yen, while imports sank an annual 13.6 percent to 5.423 trillion yen. The trade balance showed a surplus of 616.1 billion yen.

    The capital account showed a surplus of 2.1 billion yen and the financial account had a surplus of 1,593.3 billion yen.

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  13. #1633
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    SOUTH KOREA UNEMPLOYMENT DATA DUE ON WEDNESDAY

    South Korea will on Wednesday release unemployment figures for December, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. The jobless rate in November was 4.1 percent.

    Japan will see December numbers for machine tool orders; in November, orders were up 8.0 percent on year.

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  14. #1634
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    AUSTRALIA OVERALL HOME LOANS RISE 5.6% IN NOVEMBER

    The total value of overall home loans in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 5.6 percent on month in November, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Friday - coming in at A$23.96 billion.

    Owner-occupied home loans gained 5.5 percent to A$18.34 billion, while investment lending climbed 6.0 percent to A$5.61 billion.

    On a yearly basis, overall lending jumped 23.7 percent, owner-occupied loans surged 31.4 percent and investment lending rose 3.9 percent.

    Personal fixed term loans jumped 13.2 percent on month and 5.8 percent on year to A$1.76 billion.

    Business construction loans plummeted 49.6 percent on month and 62.1 percent on year to A$1.02 billion.

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  15. #1635
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    OIL PRICES FALL ON DEMAND CONCERNS



    Oil prices edged lower on Monday as climbing coronavirus cases and tighter restrictions in Europe and China fueled worries over a slower recovery in fuel demand.

    Encouraging GDP and industrial production data from China helped to limit the downside to some extent.

    Brent crude for March delivery eased 0.2 percent to $54.98 a barrel, after having fallen 2.3 percent on Friday. Similarly, U.S. oil futures were down 0.1 percent at $52.36 after falling more than 2 percent in the previous session.

    The total number of global coronavirus cases topped 95 million, while the death toll surpassed 2 million.

    China reported more than 100 new Covid-19 cases for the sixth consecutive day, while the number of hospitalized Covid-19 patients with serious symptoms in Japan topped 970, marking a record high since the onset of the pandemic in the country.

    Portugal imposed a new nationwide lockdown while the U.K. government announced that it will close all travel corridors from today in order to restrict the spread of new coronavirus variant cases.

    New coronavirus infections have been decreasing in Germany but the country's health minister said that more needed to be done to bring it permanently under control.

    Chancellor Angela Merkel and Germany's 16 state premiers will discuss what to do next on Tuesday.

  16. #1636
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    AUSTRALIA RETAIL SALES SINK 4.2% IN DECEMBER

    The total value of retail sales in Australia were down a seasonally adjusted 4.2 percent on month in December, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Friday - coming in at A$30.324 billion.

    That missed expectations for a decline of 2.5 percent following the 7.1 percent jump in November.

    Following the November rise, all industries except for Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services fell.

    Household goods retailing led the falls (-9%), following the Black Friday sales, and new product releases, that boosted turnover in November.

    Similarly, Other retailing, Department stores, and Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing, saw falls after reporting large rises in November.

    Food retailing fell 2%, with sales across the Food industry down in Victoria and New South Wales in line with restrictions on Christmas gatherings.

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  17. #1637
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: EUROZONE ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE DATA DUE


    Economic confidence from euro area and flash consumer prices from Germany are due on Thursday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, Swiss foreign trade data for December is due. The trade surplus totaled CHF4.45 billion in November.

    In the meantime, Statistics Norway releases retail sales and unemployment data. The jobless rate is seen unchanged at 5.2 percent in three months to November.

    At 3.00 am ET, the National Institute of Economic Research is slated to issue Swedish economic tendency survey results.

    Also, Spain's unemployment data for the fourth quarter is due. The jobless rate is expected to rise to 16.6 percent in the fourth quarter from 16.26 percent in the third quarter.

    Half an hour later, Statistics Sweden is scheduled to publish retail sales and unemployment figures for December. Economists expect the jobless rate to climb to 8.4 percent from 7.7 percent in November.

    At 4.00 am ET, Italy's Istat publishes business and consumer confidence survey results.

    At 5.00 am ET, the European Commission is slated to issue euro area economic sentiment survey results. The economic confidence index is forecast to fall to 89.5 in January from 90.4 in December.

    At 8.00 am ET, Destatis releases Germany's flash consumer price data for January. Economists forecast consumer prices to rise 0.7 percent annually, reversing a 0.3 percent drop in December.

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    CHINA MANUFACTURING PMI EBBS IN JANUARY - CAIXIN

    The manufacturing sector in China continued to expand in January, albeit at a slower pace, the latest survey from Caixin showed on Monday with a seasonally adjusted PMI score of 51.5.

    That's down from 53.0, although it remains above the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.

    Chinese goods producers signaled a sustained rise in output during January, to extend the current period of expansion to 11 months. That said, the rate of growth was the least marked since last April and modest. The slowdown coincided with a weaker increase in total new work at the start of the year.

    Data indicated this was partly driven by a renewed drop in export orders, which fell for the first time in six months. Survey respondents often cited the resurgence of the COVID-19 virus globally when explaining the reduction.

    Stock shortages at suppliers and shipping delays led to a further increase in delivery times for inputs. Furthermore, average vendor performance deteriorated at the steepest rate since last March.

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  19. #1639
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: GERMANY FACTORY ORDERS DATA DUE

    Factory orders from Germany and Halifax house prices from the UK are due on Friday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is slated to issue Germany's factory orders for December. Economists forecast orders to fall 1 percent on month, reversing a 2.3 percent rise in November. In the meantime, industrial production data is due from Statistics Norway.

    At 2.45 am ET, current account and foreign trade reports are due from France.

    At 3.00 am ET, retail sales from the Czech Republic and industrial production from Hungary are due.

    Hungary's industrial output is forecast to climb 2.0 percent annually in December, following a 3.5 percent rise in November.

    Half an hour later, UK Halifax house price report is due. Monthly house price growth is seen at 0.3 percent in January versus +0.2 percent in December. Also, Statistics Sweden publishes industrial production and orders at 3.30 am.

    At 4.00 am ET, Italy's Istat releases retail sales data for December. Sales had dropped 6.9 percent on month in November.

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  20. #1640
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    FITCH MAINTAINS JAPAN'S SOVEREIGN RATINGS

    Fitch Ratings maintained the sovereign ratings of Japan with a 'negative' outlook on Monday.

    The ratings were retained at 'A' citing the strengths of an advanced and wealthy economy, with correspondingly robust governance standards and public institutions.

    Fitch affirmed a 'negative' outlook on Japan's ratings, given continued downside risks to the macroeconomic and fiscal outlook from the coronavirus shock.

    The agency expects the large fiscal support to be unwound gradually, but downside risks to growth exacerbate the challenge of placing the debt ratio on a downward path over the medium term.

    After a 5.3 percent fall in 2020, Fitch forecast the economy to rebound by 3.5 percent in 2021 and 1.5 percent in 2022, supported by continued overseas demand for Japanese exports, which have recovered over recent months.

    Fitch estimated government debt to have jumped to 254.8 percent of GDP in 2020 from 231.2 percent in 2019, the highest pre-pandemic debt ratio among Fitch-rated sovereigns. The debt is forecast to peak at 258.6 percent in 2023.

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