Forex News from InstaForex

**InstaForex Gertrude** · 12-01-15, 05:34

Usd/krw marked Lower in Opening Trades Below 1085
Next line of support is the 17 December 2014 low at 1080.7
JPY/KRW as a consequence down to 9.15; JPY strength simply not enough
Broad although modest US Dollar weakness this morning - DXY down 0.2%
Kospi not keen to follow the Wall Street lead - down just 0.2% early

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 13-01-15, 03:16

Japan Has Y433.0 Billion Current Account Surplus
Japan posted a current account surplus of 433.0 billion yen in November, the Ministry of Finance said on Tuesday. That beat expectations for a surplus of 139.5 billion yen following the 833.4 billion yen surplus in October. The trade balance showed a deficit of 636.8 billion yen versus forecasts for a shortfall of 734.0 billion yen following the 766.6 billion yen deficit in the previous month. Imports were up 2.2 percent on year to 6.959 trillion yen, slowing from the 7.4 percent jump a month earlier. Exports climbed an annual 10.8 percent to 6.322 trillion yen, easing from the 11.2 percent spike in October. The data also showed that the capital account balance reflected a deficit of 6.6 billion yen after showing a 13.9 billion yen shortfall in October. The financial account had a surplus of 506.4 billion yen - down sharply from the 1,207.7 billion yen surplus in the previous month. The adjusted current account surplus came in at 914.5 billion - beating expectations for 69295billion yen and down from 947.0 billion yen a month earlier. Also on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan said that bank lending in Japan was up 2.7 percent on year in December, coming in at 422.604 trillion yen. That was in line with expectations and down from the 2.8 percent gain in November. Including trusts, bank lending added an annual 2.6 percent to 485.945 trillion yen, also matching expectations and down from 2.7 percent in the previous month. Lending from trusts gained 1.6 percent on year to 63.340 trillion yen after adding a revised 1.5 percent a month earlier.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 14-01-15, 03:30

Japan M2 Money Stock Gains 3.6% In December

The M2 money stock in Japan climbed 3.6 percent on year in December, the Bank of Japan said on Wednesday - worth 893.9 trillion yen. That was in line with expectations and unchanged from November. The M3 money stock gained an annual 2.9 percent to 1,209.1 trillion yen - unchanged from the previous month but missing forecasts for 3.0 percent. The L money stock gained 3.5 percent to 1,589.2 trillion yen following the 3.4 percent jump a month earlier. For the third quarter and for all of 2014, M2 added 3.4 percent, M3 gained 2.8 percent and L advanced 3.4 percent.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 15-01-15, 03:11

Japan Producer Prices Ease 0.4% In December
An index measuring producer prices in Japan was down 0.4 percent on month in December, the Bank of Japan said on Thursday, showing a score of 104.8. That missed forecasts for a decline of 0.3 percent, which would have been unchanged from the November reading following a downward revision from -0.2 percent. On a yearly basis, prices added 1.9 percent - also missing expectations for 2.1 perent and down from the downwardly revised2.6 percent gain in the previous month (originally -2.7 percent). Export prices were down 0.7 percent on month and 2.7 percent on year, the data showed, while import prices fell 3.2 percent in month and 9.0 percent on year.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 16-01-15, 03:17

Japan November Tertiary Industry Index Adds 0.2%

An index measuring tertiary industrial activity in Japan was up a seasonally adjusted 0.2 percent on month in November, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday, coming in at 99.2. That was in line with expectations following the 0.2 percent decline in October. Industries that contributed to the increase included finance, personal services, accommodations, communications, real estate, health care and utilities. Industries that declined included retail trade, scientific research, transportation, compound services and learning support.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 19-01-15, 04:24

Gold at 4-Month High on Monday on Safe-Haven Metal Demand

Spot gold was firm at $1,278.21 an ounce by 0046 GMT, near a four-month high of $1,281.50 reached on Friday. The metal gained nearly 5 percent last week after Switzerland unexpectedly abandoned a cap on the franc. Dealers assumed that the Swiss National Bank had moved with the knowledge that the European Central Bank would take the plunge into full scale quantitative easing at its policy meeting on Jan. 22. The euro flirted with 11-year lows early on Monday as investors braced for the ECB to take its boldest steps yet to combat deflation and revive the euro zone economy.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 20-01-15, 05:14

US. Dollar Rises Against Majors

The U.S. dollar strengthened against the other major currencies in the Asian session on Tuesday. The greenback rose to near a 2-week high of 1.5056 against the pound, a 1-week high of 118.30 against the yen and a 5-day high of 0.8797 against the Swiss franc, from yesterday's closing quotes of 1.5109, 117.53 and 0.8786, respectively. Moving away from an early 5-day low of 1.1931 against the Canadian dollar, the greenback edged up to 1.1971. Against the euro, the greenback edged up to 1.1572 from yesterday's closing value of 1.1600. If the greenback extends its uptrend, it is likely to find resistance around 1.49 against the pound, 120.08 against the yen, 1.02 against the Swiss franc, 1.20 against the loonie and 1.14 against the euro.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 21-01-15, 02:34

Consumer confidence in Australia bounced back in January, the latest sentiment index from Westpac Bank showed on Wednesday - rising a seasonally adjusted 2.4 percent to a score of 93.2. That follows the 5.7 percent plunge to 91.1 in December. The six-month index average remains at its lowest level since July 2009. In the release, the bank noted that the better than expected December employment numbers gave the index a boost, while declining oil prices also were a factor. That said, the bank still expects a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia next month.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 22-01-15, 03:50

Gold slips from $1,300 on Profit-Taking ahead of Ecb

Spot gold fell 0.2 percent to $1,291 an ounce by 0027 GMT. The metal reached $1,305, its highest since August, on Wednesday. After a quick climb of about 9 percent this month, traders are adjusting positions ahead of the ECB policy meet. The metal has rallied on safe-haven bids from political and economic uncertainties in Europe, along with concerns over the health of the global economy. The ECB is poised to announce a plan on Thursday to buy government bonds, resorting to its last big policy tool for breathing life into the flagging euro zone economy and fending off deflation.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 23-01-15, 02:10

Usd/myr Heavy Below 3.6030, to Open Lower

USD/MYR trade previous high/breakout, 3.5850-3.62 range Pair could see fresh buying due to economic woes, extended selling in oil/commodities FX reserves as at 15 Jan at USD111.2bln vs 116.0 bln as at end Dec 2014 NDFs traded 3.5940-3.61 range overnight, closed 3.5965-3.6015 in NY

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 26-01-15, 03:19

Usd/idr mixed Around the 12500 Pivot

Fall in commodities/ minerals ps to impact exports, IDR BI said no adjustment to policy rate likely till inflation stables Govt sees Jan CPI 7.5%y/y vs 8.36% in Dec, sees trade balance +USD100mln IDR NDFs traded 12520-12500 range overnight, closed 12490-12515 in NY

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 27-01-15, 03:29

Usd/idr propped Higher on Risk Aversion, Resistance Around 12550 Yesterday

Approaching month end demand from corporates added to bidding interests Foreign selling on bond related inflows to cont to cap rallies USD/IDR likely to trade 12480-12520 range intraday - flows to remain mixed NDFs ranged between 12545-12560 overnight, closed 12525-12555 in NY

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 28-01-15, 03:08

Australia Inflation Slows To 1.7% In Q4

Consumer prices in Australia were up just 1.7 percent on year in the fourth quarter of 2014, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday. That was below forecasts for 1.8 percent, and down from 2.3 percent in the third quarter. On a quarterly basis, inflation added just 0.2 percent versus forecasts for 0.3 percent and down from 0.5 percent in the previous three months. The Reserve Bank of Australia's trimmed mean was up 0.7 percent on quarter and 2.2 percent on year in Q4, while the weighted median added 0.7 percent on quarter and 2.3 percent on year.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 29-01-15, 03:26

Foreign Investors Re-Invest in Japan Stocks - Mof

Foreign investors bought Net Y466.9 bln in Japan stocks. Volume: trln buys vs trln sales Foreign investors also buy net Y237.5 bln Japan bonds, Y476.1 bln bills. Japanese buy net Y45.6 bln foreign bonds Jan 24 week, sold Y397.2 bln last. Volume: net Y382.1 bln foreign stocks, Y285.9 bln bills.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 02-02-15, 01:37

Usd/myr Looks to Rally Towards 3.65, Weak China Pmi to Add to Myr Woes

MYR NDFs surged to new high at 3.66 on Friday night

China Jan PMI at 49.8 vs expected 50.2 - add to Malaysia exports worries

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 03-02-15, 02:44

Japan Monetary Base Climbs 37.4% In January

The monetary base in Japan jumped 37.4 percent on year in January, the Bank of Japan said on Tuesday, coming in at 275.385 trillion yen. That follows the 38.2 percent spike in December. Banknotes in circulation added 3.5 percent on year, while coins in circulation gained 0.7 percent. Current account balances surged an annual 66.2 percent, including a 66.7 percent spike in reserve balances. The adjusted monetary base climbed 50.2 percent to 277.267 trillion yen.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 04-02-15, 02:18

Gas Prices Have Bottomed For Now

After declining a record 123 consecutive days, U.S. gas prices seem to have bottomed out. According to this week's Energy Information Administration "Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update", average US gas prices edged up from $2.044 per gallon on January 26 to $2.068 per gallon on February 2. However, US gas prices are still well below the $3.292 per gallon they were a year earlier. Average gas prices had dropped to nearly $2 per gallon due to the steep decline in the cost of crude oil during the previous six months. Gas prices generally are at or near seasonal lows in January due to relatively weak demand. Many Americans cut back on driving and travel during the cold winter months, which can allow gasoline supplies to build. "Many drivers are noticing an uptick in gas prices for the first time in months," said Avery Ash, AAA spokesman. "It is typical to see gas prices increase this time of year due to refinery issues, yet hopefully the consumer impact will be less problematic given how low prices are today." AAA expects gas prices to increase this month due to refinery maintenance and decreased production. Gas prices in February have increased during the previous five years by an average of 22 cents per gallon, according to AAA.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 06-02-15, 02:47

Oil Back Up, Usd Back Down

Another day, another >5% swing in oil prices-this time higher overall. That helped CAD and NOK, but no more so than most other majors, as the biggest theme in FX was broad USD weakness. EUR managed to be the marginal top performer alongside DKK. At least part of that support may have come from central bank flows as the Danish Central Bank cut its deposit rate to -0.75% in defense of pressure on the EURDKK peg. That's the fourth cut this year.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 09-02-15, 06:57

Ireland Construction Sector Growth Slows In January

The growth in the Irish construction sector eased at the beginning of the the year to mark its lowest level in almost one year, as activity and new orders rose at a slower pace, data from a survey by Markit Economics showed Monday. The Ulster Bank Construction Purchasing Mangers' index dropped to 57.1 in January from 63.1 in the previous month. However any reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector. This signaled a sharp overall increase in total activity during the month, albeit the weakest since February 2014. Among the three sub categories of construction, commercial activity remained sharp during January despite easing for the third month running. At the same time. housing activity increased at a slowest pace and logged its weakest rise since August 2013. Civil engineering activity rose for the fourth straight month in January. The rate of growth in new orders slowed to the weakest level since August 2013, but remained solid during the month. In contrast to the slowdown of growth in activity and new orders, employment level in the construction sector remained strong and was only slightly weaker than in December, underpinned by Positive expectations regarding workloads in coming months. "The pace of jobs growth eased only slightly and remained strong. Moreover, sentiment ticked up from December levels and was the second-highest in the series history behind the record reached last November, suggesting that firms retain a very positive view of the year-ahead outlook despite an apparent easing in the pace of activity in January," Simon Barry, Chief Economist Republic of Ireland at Ulster Bank, said. On the price front, input prices climbed sharply in January due to the relative weakness of the euro. But this factor outweighed falls in the cost of fuel, thereby preventing a slowdown in the rate of input price inflation.

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**InstaForex Gertrude** · 10-02-15, 03:20

Malaysia Expects Q4 Gdp to have slowed Versus Previous Quarters: Standard Chartered

Quotes from Standard Chartered Malaysia is due to release Q4-2014 GDP and current account data on 12 February. We expect GDP growth to have slowed to 5.0% y/y from an average 6.1% in the first nine months of the year. This would translate into full-year growth of 5.8%, the fastest since 2010, despite the slowdown towards end-2014. We expect net external demand to have contributed positively to growth, unlike in recent years. Malaysia forecast challenges to growth, particularly in Q1-2015, on lower global oil prices. We expect the current account balance to have narrowed to MYR 6.2bn in Q4 from MYR 7.6bn in Q3.

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