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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 19, 2021
EUR/USD
Last Friday, the euro hit the resistance level of 1.1990 at the point where it coincides with the MACD indicator line on the daily chart and is declining this morning, reaching Friday's low. The Marlin oscillator is turning down. Perhaps this is a reversal to the 1.1810 target and to subsequent, lower target levels.
The technical complexity of the current moment on the H4 chart; the gap remains open and the divergence with the oscillator risks becoming double, and the double divergence will create a cross with an undefined target. You can even allow 1.2023 - the low on February 17.
But Marlin is still in the negative zone, so it may continue to fall, and the closing of the gap will be postponed indefinitely. But the price needs to settle below the MACD line for such a scenario, below 1.1930. In this case, the 1.1810 target will become relevant.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on April 20, 2021
GBP/USD
The pound soared 150 points yesterday, without any media reports about what happened. The optimism regarding the partial lifting of restrictions in England can hardly be taken as the main one. Nevertheless, the pound is determined, it has already crossed the MACD line, and after the price consolidates above the 1.4016 level (high on March 4 (checkmark), conditions are created for a prolonged attack on the February 24 high, to approximately the level of 1.4260.
The price has consolidated above the target level of 1.3955 on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is slightly decreasing, removing tension, it seems, before the previous rally. But to confirm the signal, the price should settle above the reference level of 1.4016.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 21, 2021
EUR/USD The euro traded in a 60-point range yesterday, closing the day at the opening level. The price settled above the 50.0% Fibonacci level (daily). Now the price is ready to continue rising to the next Fibonacci level of 61.8% at the price of 1.2105. Consolidating above it will entail another wave of growth to the Fibonacci level of 76.4% at the price of 1.2200. The trend breakdown will occur after the price settles below the MACD line, which is now just above the 38.2% Fibonacci level.
At the moment, there is no reversal situation on the four-hour chart. The growth is confident and rhythmic.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 22, 2021
EUR/USD Yesterday, the euro mirrored the situation on Tuesday: the day closed at the opening level, only the pronounced shadow was lower this time. The opening and closing of the days occurs above the Fibonacci level of 50.0%, which speaks in favor of further growth. The nearest target is the Fibonacci level of 61.8% at 1.2105. It is followed by 1.2200 at the Fibonacci level of 76.4%. The Marlin oscillator is directed to the downside, but it is not in the overbought zone, so this short decline is only a discharge of the oscillator before it grows further.
The price continues to rise on the four-hour chart. Marlin returned to the positive area. The two-day consolidation seems to be over, now we are waiting for it to move towards the specified goals.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Short-term analysis on USDJPY
USDJPY has declined from 111 to 108 as expected after breaking out of the bullish channel. Price has stopped the decline right at the 38% Fibonacci retracement and key short-term support. A bounce towards 109-110 is justified at this point in time. Price might make a new lower low towards 107.70 before bouncing higher.
Red line - support
Green lines - Fibonacci retracement
Yellow rectangle -pull back target
USDJPY has a lot of chances of a move higher back inside the yellow rectangle. Price is at the 38% Fibonacci retracement and very close to the red trend line resistance. If price breaks below 107.70-107.50 then we should expect a deeper correction towards the next major Fibonacci retracement at 106 (61.8% retracement).
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 26, 2021
EUR/USD This morning the euro reached its first target of 1.2105 at the 61.8% Fibonacci level. The correction from the movement on January 6-March 31 is already quite deep, but the price does not even intend to stop. In any case, the Marlin oscillator, being a leading indicator, continues to move up on the daily chart. The growth target is now the Fibonacci level of 76.4% at the price of 1.2200.
There is a sign of an impending divergence on the four-hour chart. To secure this, the price will need to settle below 1.2105.
Data on March orders for durable goods in the United States will be published in the evening. The forecast is 2.5%. The report will probably determine the price's further action. But even if the euro does not go to the second target at 1.2200, it will not be easy to form a reversal, since there is another 60 points (1.2050) before the MACD line, a departure under which will become a condition for a bearish reversal.
So, the main scenario is the upward price movement. The risk of a reversal involves working with reduced volumes of open positions.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 27, 2021
EUR/USD Yesterday, the euro marked a downward turn after a correctional growth of 61.8% of the movement from January 6 to March 31. The first sign of it was when the divergence formed on the four-hour chart. The reversal should take place in two stages: consolidating under the MACD indicator line at H4 and settling under the same indicator line on the daily (1.1980).
The growth will likely recover after the price goes over yesterday's high at 1.2117. In this case, the target will be the 76.4% correction level at the price of 1.2200. We choose a price reversal and a further medium-term decline as the main scenario, since the price still develops in the global descending channel, which originates from July 2008.
So, we are waiting for the price to settle below 1.2060 and fall to 1.1980.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on April 28, 2021
EUR/USD The euro's situation has not changed over the past day. After an attempt to decline, this morning the price is found at the opening levels of Tuesday. Obviously, investors were waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting, which will happen today. The Marlin oscillator dropped a little more on the daily chart, the target along the MACD line at 1.1980 began to stand out more visually.
The price could not settle under the MACD line on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator got stuck on the border of the bears' territory. Pushing the price to settle below 1.2070 opens the target at 1.1980.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for April 29, 2021
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has been seen moving higher despite the several candlestick patterns warning about the potential local trend termination. The recent rally made the approach towards the level of 1.2149, just below the lower level of the supply zone located between the levels of 1.2154 - 1.2178. Please notice, the market conditions on the daily time frame chart are now overbought, so the chances for another wave up are decreasing and the pull-back or correction might start to develop soon. The next key technical support is seen at the level of 1.2011 and 1.1953.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2320
WR2 - 1.2206
WR1 - 1.2167
Weekly Pivot - 1.2057
WS1 - 1.2010
WS2 - 1.1890
WS3 - 1.1850
Trading Recommendations:
The weekly time frame chart show the counter-trend corrective cycle is still in progress, but if the trend line on the daily time frame chart is violated, then the up trend might be considered done. The corrective cycle has not been completed yet, because the key level for bulls is located at 1.1608. As long as the market trades above this level the up trend is valid and all of the down waves should be used to open long positions.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for April 30, 2021
Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has been rejected from the supply zone located between the levels of 1.3965 - 1.4000. The local high was made at the level of 1.3975, but then the bearish pressure started to intensify. The momentum is strong and positive, so another wave up above the level of 1.4000 is still on table. The local technical support is located at the level of 1.3923. Any violation of the swing high at the level of 1.4007 will open the road towards the level of 1.4080 as a next target for bulls.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.4166
WR2 - 1.4086
WR1 - 1.3971
Weekly Pivot - 1.3890
WS1 - 1.3768
WS2 - 1.3692
WS3 - 1.3573
Trading Recommendations:
The GBP/USD pair keeps developing the up trend and bulls are back inside the main ascending channel. The recent top was made at the level of 1.4224 and this was the higher high in over two years. All the local corrections should be used to open a buy orders as long as the level of 1.2674 is not broken. The long-term target for bulls is seen at the level of 1.4374.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 3, 2021
EUR/USD
Last Friday, the euro plummeted 100 points, dropping one point below its opening on April 20th. Our bewilderment regarding the euro's growth in the last ten days has been resolved - it turned out to be speculative. Investors definitely didn't believe Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's vague explanation of the stability (absence) of inflation.
The price fell below the 50.0% Fibonacci level on the daily chart. Falling below the 38.2% level (1.1952) opens the way to the lower embedded line of the price channel in the 1.1675 area.
A downward situation has developed on the four-hour chart: the price is below the balance and MACD indicator lines, the MACD line itself is turning down, while the Marlin oscillator is in the negative trend area. We anticipate the euro's decline. The first target is 1.1952.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 4, 2021
EUR/USD
In a relatively thin market on Monday (it was a holiday in Japan, China and the UK), the dollar did not dare to continue its Friday offensive. PMI indices showed deterioration in both Europe and the United States. The manufacturing PMI of the eurozone for April in the final assessment was lowered from 63.3 to 62.9, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI showed 60.7 points instead of the expected 65.0. Today, industrial orders in the US for March are expected to grow by 1.3%.
In today's Asian session, the price is making a second attempt to overcome the support of the 50.0% Fibonacci level (1.2025). It could be successful if the quote reaches 1.1952 in the coming days (Fibonacci level 38.2% per daily).
The balance indicator line stopped yesterday's corrective growth on the four-hour chart. The Marlin oscillator is turning to the downside without leaving the downward trend area. We are waiting for the price to settle under 1.2025 and further downward movement.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 5, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro fell by 50 points on Tuesday, breaching the 50.0% Fibonacci level. Today's task is to settle below this level (1.2025). The price still needs some time to reach the 1.1952 target level, perhaps two days, since the price is still above the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator is in the zone of positive values.
The price did not form a strong convergence with Marlin on the H4 chart. It is possible for it to settle below the 1.2025 level (the goal for today) before it falls even deeper.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on May 6, 2021
USD/JPY
The Japanese yen is in an interesting position: the current price on the daily chart is between the balance and MACD indicator lines, between the target levels of 109.26 and 109.60, it does not go beyond Tuesday's range, while the Marlin oscillator is sideways on the zero line. The price is clearly waiting for "an event" with which it will go on a medium-term track. Probably, such an event will be the release of the US employment report on Friday. And since the data is forecast to be strong, the price might reach the 110.43 target level by tomorrow, by the end of the week.
The price is supported by the balance indicator line on the H4 chart, Marlin is in the negative zone, but since its peak on April 28 it has already unloaded against the price growth and is now ready to follow it, that is, assuming the role of a trailing instrument. We are waiting for the development of events.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 7, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro did not wait for the US employment report to be released today and, bouncing off the MACD indicator line, rose by 60 points yesterday. We underestimated the impact of this technical instrument, relying on the idea of market consolidation ahead of Friday's report. Nevertheless, the market is still in a position for growth, the bulls realized the remaining potential, but now, after testing the MACD line, the next branch of the price decline can overcome it without delay. The technical task of the price remains the same - to overcome 1.2025, then move to 1.1952. Targets are determined at 50.0% and 38.2% Fibonacci levels on the daily chart. The third target is 1.1856.
The MACD line at 1.2080 is an obstacle to price growth on the four-hour chart. Today's US employment report is expected to be strong: for new jobs in the nonfarm sector, the consensus forecast is 978,000, the overall unemployment rate is 5.8% against 6.0% in March. We are waiting for the euro to fall.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of Ripple for May 10, 2021
Ripple is on the move higher again after a correction to 1.3210. The rally following this low is clearly a five wave rally indicating that the impulsive rally higher to 1.9670 and above is in motion. Short-term we are looking for a break above minor resistance at 1.6957 and 1.7636 to confirm the rally higher to 1.9670 and ultimately above here to for a continuation towards 3.31 as the next long term target.
Support is now seen at 1.5100 which ideally will be able to act as a floor for the expected rally higher.
Trading recommendation:
Buy Ripple for more upside pressure towards 1.9665 and ultimately higher to 3.31.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on May 11, 2021
USD/JPY
The US dollar, despite losses against the European currencies, manages to hold out against the yen. Yesterday it grew by 14 points. There are about 40 points left before the price reaches the most important level of 109.26, and after that the 110.44 level is just ahead of us. The Marlin oscillator is once again trying to attack the border of the growing trend zone.
The price lingered for a bit on the MACD indicator line on the four-hour chart. Marlin is also not in the growth area, the price is expected to simultaneously exit above the MACD line and Marlin to enter the zone of positive values. We are waiting for growth.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBPJPY reacting below descending trendline resistance! Drop incoming!
GBPJPY reacting below descending trendline resistance. A drop below 1st resistance at 153.752 towards 1st support at 153.347 could be possible. Stochastic is testing resistance where price reacted in the past as well.
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 153.752
Reason for Entry:
78.6% Fibonacci retracement, descending trendline resistance
Take Profit: 153.347
Reason for Take Profit:
-61.8% and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop Loss: 154.024
Reason for Stop Loss:
Graphical swing high
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for May 13, 2021
Crypto Industry News:
During the first 7 days from the introduction of Ethereum Futures to the market by CME, the value of concluded contracts exceeded USD 23 million. According to a recent OKEx Insights report, "partial data for the week ending April 25 shows weekly volumes hit an all-time high of $ 353 million - over 166% more than the previous week's $ 132.57 million.
"Moreover, the number of contracts opened in the CME Ether Futures market also increased at a similar pace. The aforementioned report showed in this respect that:
"During the first month of trading, ETH Futures had an average Open Interest of $ 61.17 million. March data showed a significant spike in activity with average Open Interest peaked at $ 101.67 million.
In fact, since April 21, OI figures have risen to $ 205.6 million, reflecting the size of institutional measures that hit the Ethereum market in the last few months.
According to OKEx Insights, one of the main factors behind this was the normalization of mainstream cryptocurrency investing. The authors of the report argue that it was a byproduct of MicroStrategy, MassMutual and Tesla's entry into the cryptocurrency space, and each of these companies' actions legitimized a sector that had long struggled for Wall Street's attention.
Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD pair has tested the key short-term technical support located at the level of $3,596 and bounced more than 50% already. The next local target for bulls is the 61% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of $4,074. If this retracement level is clearly violated, then bulls will likely test the ATH again (located at $4,369). The momentum is strong and positive, so it supports the bullish outlook for ETH.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $4,545
WR2 - $4,714
WR1 - $4,394
Weekly Pivot - $3,656
WS1 - $3,369
WS2 - $2,577
WS3 - $2,290
Trading Recommendations:
The longer term up trend on the Ethereum continues despite the local counter-trend corrections. The next long term target for ETH/USD is seen at the level of $5,000. The key long term technical support is seen at the level of $3,881, so only a weekly candle close below this level will invalidate the bullish scenario.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 14, 2021
EUR/USD Over the past day, nothing significant has happened to the euro. The price traded with a range of 27 points, closing the day with a symbolic rise. The Marlin oscillator approached the zero line even more on the daily, lowering the chances of a double divergence. The target for the decline is still the same - 1.1986.
The price settled below the MACD indicator line on the four-hour chart, Marlin conducted its own sideways consolidation. The similarity of the price and the oscillator enhances the technical sign of further downward price movement. Overcoming yesterday's low (1.2051) opens the way to the target at 1.1986.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for May 17, 2021
EUR/JPY is in the final leg higher to the 133.66 target from where we should expect a correction in wave 4/ towards at least 130.82 and likely even closer to the 38.2% corrective target seen at 129.06. In the short term, a break below minor support at 132.00 will indicate that wave 3/ is complete and wave 4/ lower to support in the 129.06 - 130.82 area is in motion before rising higher again in wave 5/ towards 137.19.
Trading recommendation:
Sell long positions in EUR/JPY near 133.66 or upon a break below 132.00 and look for a new buying opportunity near 129.06
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 18, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro is still hesitant to turn around. Now it clearly shows an intention to form a double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. The upward potential is up to the upper border of the price channel around 1.2238. The level may not be reached.
The current situation is completely upward on the four-hour scale - the price is rising above the balance and MACD indicator lines, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned upward from the zero line (arrow). Exit of the price above 1.2177 will mark the beginning of the formation of a double divergence, moving under the MACD line (1.2102) will indicate a downward trend reversal.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on May 19, 2021
GBP/USD
The pound gained 54 points on Tuesday. Trading volumes were at the level of the last two days and were generally average for the month. The growth probably occurred mainly due to the closing of moderate positions in terms of volume. On the daily chart, a price divergence is formed with the Marlin oscillator. The oscillator is probably preparing to leave the area from its own rising channel.
The divergence looks stronger and almost complete on the four-hour chart. With the price moving below the MACD line, around the level of 1.4103 (May 11 low), the price will move to 1.4004, to the May 13 low.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBPUSD holding above ascending trendline support! Bounce incoming!
GBPUSD holding above ascending trendline support. A short term bounce above 1st support at 1.40881 towards 1st resistance at 1.42117could be possible. RSI is testing support where price bounced in the past as well. Trading Recommendation Entry: 1.40881 Reason for Entry: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, ascending trendline support
Take Profit: 1.42117
Reason for Take Profit:
Graphical swing high
Stop Loss: 1.40056
Reason for Stop Loss:
Horizontal swing low
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on May 21, 2021
USD/JPY
Yesterday, the dollar lost 44 points against the yen, but this day may be the last in the current stage of suppressing the pair's growth. Equity markets rose well yesterday (S& P 500 1.06%), this morning, the dollar shows a technical recovery to strengthen.
On the daily chart of the USD/JPY pair, the Marlin oscillator turns to the upside from the zero (neutral) line. Sure. These are only signs that the pair would rise. First of all, the price should rise above the strong resistance at 109.37. In this case, the 109.97 target is open, to which the MACD line is aiming for, then it may continue to rise to the area where two lines of price channels at 110.50 intersect.
On the four-hour chart, the only weak sign of growth is the Marlin Oscillator, which is turning up, but is still in the negative area. The MACD line coincides with the technical price level of 109.37, this increases the level's significance and at the same time its strength. We are waiting for the development of events.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 24, 2021
EUR/USD The euro decided to make a reversal. So far, this reversal consists of an attack on support at 1.2170 that is not very confident. But the level is strong, it has acted as support and resistance several times since December last year.
The Marlin oscillator is decreasing on a daily basis, bracing for an attack on the border of the bears' territory, and according to its indication, the probability of the price successfully breaking through the indicated level is high. The target of the subsequent movement is the 1.1985-1.2040 range, defined by the May low and the MACD line.
Marlin is in the negative area on the H4 chart, the price is consolidating before the support of the actual price level at 1.2170 as well as the MACD line. Today is a holiday in Germany, Canada and Switzerland, and the US will not report any important reports, so we are waiting for the continuation of consolidation. Tomorrow, IFO indices will be released in Germany, as well as reports on US home prices, new home sales, and consumer confidence. We are waiting for the increased dynamics of the euro.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 25, 2021
EUR/USD
The consolidation we expected yesterday acquires an increased range, the price returns to the peaks on May 19 and 21. Most likely, the price will not be allowed to rise above these highs by the price channel line and double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. Until this exit has taken place, the main scenario is the euro reversal towards the departure under the May low of 1.1985.
The price is above the balance indicator lines and the MACD on the four-hour chart, while the Marlin oscillator has moved into the growth area. We don't expect Tuesday to be an easy day for the dollar, the euro, most likely, will stay above 1.2170 for another day.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of Silver for May 26, 2021
Silver is ready to test key resistance at 29.86. When it breaks this level, silver will move higher to the all-time high at 49.83. Ultimately silver should break above here too for a rally closer to 100.
Support is now seen at 27.46 that ideally should be able to protect the downside.
Trading recommendation:
Buy silver for a test of 29.86 and ultimately a break above here too for a continuation towards 49.83
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 27, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro began to decline. Yesterday the price expectedly left the wedge-shaped formation downwards, this morning the Marlin oscillator attacks the border of the downward trend. Double divergence is gaining strength. The first target for the decline is the MACD line in the area of 1.2055, which is near the low on May 13.
The price settled under the MACD line on the four-hour chart, and the Marlin oscillator was deeply embedded in negative territory. We are waiting for the price at the designated target.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: US stocks rise after unemployment data
As a result of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 139 points, or 0.4%, to 34462. The S&P 500 index rose 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite was down less than 0.1%.
This week, stock indices are hovering amid easing concerns about a spike in inflation and after Fed officials said they could start discussing adjustments to asset purchase programs in the near future. Investors are closely monitoring indicators of economic activity to assess the likely timing of the withdrawal of monetary stimulus.
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits last week was 406,000, a week earlier it was 444,000. It fell to a new low since the start of the pandemic due to further improvement in the labor market situation, and was even lower than analysts expected.
Durable goods orders fell 1.3% in April, while economists were mostly forecasting an upturn. US GDP for the 1st quarter, according to the second estimate, grew by 6.4%.
Investors are closely watching the stocks of companies that have become popular among online traders. AMC Entertainment shares up 50%. Stocks and GameStop hovered around the flat line.
Ford Motor shares added 5.7%. They are rising for the second day in a row after the company announced that 40% of its global car fleet should be fully electric by 2030. Dollar Tree shares fell 6.9%.
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries rose to 1.609% from 1.572% on Wednesday.
The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.3%.
In Asia, trading in shares ended with multidirectional dynamics. Shanghai Composite added 0.4%, Hang Seng dropped 0.2%.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on May 31, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro fell by 60 points last Friday, and with the release of positive US data, it returned to the opening of the day. Investors probably closed against the data ahead of the long weekend in the US and UK until June 1. Consumer personal spending for April increased by the expected 0.5%, the US trade balance for April improved from -92.0 billion dollars to -85.2 billion.
Technically, nothing has changed for the euro, even the indicators at the end of the day did not move from their values. As a result, we are still waiting for the price to support the MACD line on the daily chart near the 1.2052 mark. The level coincides with the low on May 13.
On the four-hour chart, the price did not go over the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator did not cross the zero line, that is, did not leave the negative territory. The EUR/USD pair is likely to resume its decline.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 1, 2021
EUR/USD
On Monday, the euro strengthened in a trading range of May 19-27 in the thin market, still creating a technical risk for growth to the target levels of 1.2272 and 1.2310 (peaks on December 17 and 31, 2020). A decline from yesterday's opening removes such a risk and will set the euro to exit the range down.
This moment looks more detailed on the four-hour scale: consolidating under the MACD line (1.2220) with a departure under 1.2200 creates a signal for movement towards the MACD line on the daily chart, in the area of 1.2068.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 2, 2021
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair rally towards the swing high had been capped at the level of 1.2254 after the Pin Bar candlestick was made. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of 1.2266, which is a swing high. If there is no sustained and coordinated up wave continuation above the level of 1.2266, the bears might strike again and push the prices towards the main channel lower line seen around the level of 1.2160 or the local low made at 1.2131. So fat the momentum is strong and positive, which support the short-term bullish outlook.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2356
WR2 - 1.2298
WR1 - 1.2235
Weekly Pivot - 1.2173
WS1 - 1.2117
WS2 - 1.2059
WS3 - 1.1997
Trading Recommendations:
The daily time frame chart show the breakout above the trend line resistance and a new swing high above the recent Doji candlestick high. The momentum is strong and positive, so the up trend can be continued towards the next long-term target located at the level of 1.2241 (25.02.2021) and 1.2350 (06/01/2021).
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 3, 2021
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair had tested the lower channel line again, just around the level of 1.2200 and made a new local low at the level of 1.2164. If there is no sustained and coordinated up wave continuation above the level of 1.2266, the bears might strike again and push the prices towards the main channel lower line seen around the level of 1.2160 or the local low made at 1.2131. The momentum is neutral and the market conditions are now overbought.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2356
WR2 - 1.2298
WR1 - 1.2235
Weekly Pivot - 1.2173
WS1 - 1.2117
WS2 - 1.2059
WS3 - 1.1997
Trading Recommendations:
The daily time frame chart show the breakout above the trend line resistance and a new swing high above the recent Doji candlestick high. The momentum is strong and positive, so the up trend can be continued towards the next long-term target located at the level of 1.2241 (25.02.2021) and 1.2350 (06/01/2021).
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for June 4, 2021
We are looking for a correction in wave 4/ towards 130.86 as a minimum from where we could see the next impulsive rally higher towards 135.42 and possibly even higher. As wave 2/ was a simple deep zig-zag correction, we should expect a complex and hard to trade wave 4/ towards the ideal target at 130.86. It's possible that wave 4/ continues lower towards the 38.2% correction at 129.06 but only time will tell.
Trading recommendation:
As a complex and hard to trade wave 4 correction is unfolding, we recommend stay on the sideline and wait to buy EUR near 130.86 for the next rally towards 135.42
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on June 7, 2021
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair returned to support at 109.37 last Friday. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has reached the lower border of its own rising channel on the daily chart. Growth recovery in case of price reversal from technical support in this situation looks like a "traditional" scenario, as the growing Marlin channel has acquired the third touchpoint and, thus, the 110.47 target remains relevant and important.
But the pair's recent development is directly related to the dollar index, and today it is in a situation of uncertainty. Therefore, the option of continuing the decline when the price settles below the 109.37 level is quite probable. The target of this movement will be the 108.35 level.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 8, 2021
EUR/USD
The euro gained 23 points on Monday, going deeper into the accumulation range of May 18. The intention to form a triple divergence with the Marlin oscillator has intensified. Also, the price may turn down within the accumulation range, since the Marlin oscillator is still in the negative zone and is in no hurry to get out of it. The probability of the price reaching the level of 1.2272 is about 40%.
On the four-hour scale, the situation is similar in terms of uncertainty, here the oscillator is in the growth area, but the price is below the indicator lines. A breakthrough above the MACD line, above 1.2214, will increase the probability that the price will reach the 1.2272 level to 50%.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 10, 2021
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro was growing at the moment by 46 points, but the final daily growth was 8 points - investors were waiting for today's decision of the ECB on monetary policy and the US CPI indicators for May. The forecast for the general CPI is 4.7% y/y against 4.2% y/y in April, the core CPI is expected to be 3.4% y/y against 3.0% y/y a month earlier. Investors, of course, are waiting for an increase in inflation indicators, so the EUR/USD pair is visually preparing to move out of the accumulation range to the downside. The likelihood of a triple divergence is still there, as news from the ECB will be released first.
But in general, whether another price surge will take place or not, we are waiting for the euro to reach the target level of 1.2051. Surpassing the level makes way for the 1.1925 target - the lower border of the rising price channel.
On the four-hour scale, the price turned downward from the MACD line yesterday, piercing it. This is still a sign of a further decline in prices from current levels. The Marlin oscillator is breaking into a downward trend zone.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on June 11, 2021
GBP/USD
The British pound took advantage of the euro's uncertain state after the ECB meeting and gained 59 points. On the daily chart, it looks like a rebound from the balance indicator line.
But all is not lost for the bears: the Marlin oscillator is not growing, as it remains in the zone of negative values, and in the afternoon, as expected, weak data on the UK will be released. GDP for the first quarter is forecasted at -1.5% (-6.1% y/y), trade balance for April at 12.1 billion pounds against 11.7 billion in March, industrial production growth in April 1.2% against 1.6% a month earlier. Perhaps the price will return to the MACD line (1.4105), that is, to yesterday's opening. Growth, in case of good indicators, is possible, and it could reach a target level like 1.4244 and even further to 1.4277.
The price settled above both indicator lines on the H4 chart, Marlin is in a growing position. The short-term trend is on the rise. If the price returns below the MACD line (1.4150), then the movement will continue to 1.4105.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on June 11, 2021
GBP/USD
The British pound took advantage of the euro's uncertain state after the ECB meeting and gained 59 points. On the daily chart, it looks like a rebound from the balance indicator line.
But all is not lost for the bears: the Marlin oscillator is not growing, as it remains in the zone of negative values, and in the afternoon, as expected, weak data on the UK will be released. GDP for the first quarter is forecasted at -1.5% (-6.1% y/y), trade balance for April at 12.1 billion pounds against 11.7 billion in March, industrial production growth in April 1.2% against 1.6% a month earlier. Perhaps the price will return to the MACD line (1.4105), that is, to yesterday's opening. Growth, in case of good indicators, is possible, and it could reach a target level like 1.4244 and even further to 1.4277.
The price settled above both indicator lines on the H4 chart, Marlin is in a growing position. The short-term trend is on the rise. If the price returns below the MACD line (1.4150), then the movement will continue to 1.4105.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
