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Forecast for USD/JPY on March 31, 2020
USD/JPY
Today, the dollar is correcting up against the yen after the previous four-day fall. The closest and most powerful correction resistance is the MACD line on the daily chart on the price of 109.05. Departure of the price to support the price channel line at 107.02 opens the way to the lower channel line to the 102.60 area. Consolidating the price over the MACD line puts the dollar in a very difficult position of uncertainty of freely roaming in the 109.05-111.88 range, which in practice can mean that a certain range could form - a triangle or a flag.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2b7e1c3c50.jpg
The situation is completely decreasing on the four-hour chart: the price is below the indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator is in the negative zone. From which, however, shows the intention to leave. Growth may continue to the MACD line at 109.70, which is higher than the resistance of the MACD line on the daily scale. Even in this discrepancy, uncertainty and possibility that the price could roam around begins. But all this uncertainty is related only to growth. Leaving the price below the linear support of 107.02 opens the way to a decrease to 102.60.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2b7f518372.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 1, 2020
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro launched an attack on the strong technical support of 1.0967, formed by the point of intersection with the line of the descending price channel and the Fibonacci level of 38.2%, as can be seen on the daily scale chart. At the same time, the price tried to gain a foothold under the MACD indicator line, but it returned to this line by the time the session ended.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...40e41202ba.jpg
Today, it opened under the MACD line and under the balance line (red indicator), which indicates the market's intention to repeat the attack at 1.0967. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves parallel to the boundary with the territory of the bears, waiting for a signal from the price itself.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...40e546c3ba.jpg
Marlin is already in the negative trend zone on the four-hour chart, while the price is kept above the balance and MACD lines. An attack pattern is created for the MACD line, that is, to the target level of 1.0875, determined at the low of October 1, 2019.
So, if yesterday's high of 1.1053 is not violated, short positions in the market can be opened with the target of 1.0875. Stop loss above 1.1053.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for USD/JPY on April 1, 2020
USD/JPY
The second day, the yen is kept in the range of two lines of the price channel (107.02-107.55). Foreign markets, primarily stock indices, are falling, which continues to put pressure on the pair and increases the likelihood of a price drop to the 102.60 target, determined by the price channel on the daily chart. The Marlin oscillator is staying in the declining trend zone. The S&P 500 lost 4.41% yesterday, while the Nikkei 225 is losing 0.86% today in the Asian session.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5787a6f97c.jpg
A convergence has formed on the four-hour chart according to Marlin, but if a price reduction occurs in the next few hours, then a convergence will not form, the growth of the oscillator will take on the character of an indicator discharge before a further decrease.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5788d3574e.jpg
If the price drops below yesterday's low of 106.93, sales may be opened with a target above 102.60, s/l above 107.85.
Overcoming the price of the upper limit of the range does not lead to opening purchases, since the growth rate is uncertain, it ranges from a little above 107.85 (false puncture) to 109.70 - the MACD line on daily, or even higher - up to 109.80, to the MACD line on H4.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for GBP/USD on April 3, 2020
GBP/USD
The British pound has been moving sideways for five sessions along the 138.2% Fibonacci line. The short-term price drop on March 31 does not break the overall picture. If the price goes out of the range, it will trigger a further increase in the price to the Fibonacci levels of 123.6% and 110.0% - to the prices of 1.2540 and 1.2645, respectively. The resistance of the second target is boosted by the approaching MACD line. The targets of the downward movement are the Fibonacci levels of 161.8% and 200.0% at the price levels of 1.2235 and 1.1935.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6d0dfc9065.jpg
We will highlight the signal levels on a smaller scale chart. These are: 1.2484 - March 27 peak and 1.2329 - April 1 low. Accordingly, at the moment of overcoming the price of 1.2484, purchases with goals up to 1.2645 are possible, with overcoming the price of 1.2329, it is advised to open sales with the goal of 1.1935. The intermediate target is 1.2030, which the MACD line is aiming for. If the price reverses from this level, it is advisable to close a short position.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6d0f3b081d.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Control zones for USDCAD on 04/06/20
The pair has formed an accumulation zone over the past five days. The boundaries that will hinder further movement are the extremes of the previous week. The upper reference point is the weekly CZ 1.4350-1.4319. Support is the weekly control zones of 1.4037-1.4007. Tests of the specified zones should be perceived as an opportunity to search for deals inside the range.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a80e61aac8.jpg
Work within the framework of the flat involves inputs and outputs at its boundaries so that transactions will be limited to the range.
To exit the flat, you will need to consolidate the pair above one of the weekly control zone positions during the US session. This will allow you to change the trading style to an impulsive one. Closing trades above 1.4350 will allow you to consider medium-term purchases, while a consolidation below 1.4007 will indicate the beginning of a change in the medium-term momentum to a bearish one.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a80f900bd1.jpg
Daily CZ - daily control zone. The area formed by important data from the futures market, which changes several times a year.
Weekly CZ - weekly control zone. The zone formed by important marks of the futures market, which changes several times a year.
Monthly CZ - monthly control zone. The zone, which is a reflection of the average volatility over the past year.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for 07/04/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c16a7482fa.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has hit the technical support at the level of 1.0767 and is trying to bounce higher. The current price action acts as there is a Double Bottom pattern made around the support, so the odds for a rally are quite high. The first obstacle is the technical resistance located at the level of 1.0888, but the oversold market conditions on H4 time frame chart might be helpful to the bulls. If they manage to break through this level, then in the same time, they will break out of the descending channel, and this should accelerate the rally towards the level of 1.0951. On the other hand, a failure to break out will likely result in deepening the move down and new local lows will be made. The next technical support is seen at the bottom of the swing at 1.0654 and 1.0635.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1359
WR2 - 1.1244
WR1 - 1.0981
Weekly Pivot - 1.0872
WS1 - 1.0612
WS2 - 1.0487
WS3 - 1.0228
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. ON the EUR/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 08/04/2020:
Crypto Industry News:
A new PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) report showed that fundraising and cryptography mergers and acquisitions (M&A) fell last year, but that doesn't mean the cryptographic market is dying out.
It seems that the cryptographic industry cannot attract investment from institutional investors. The giant of professional PwC services said that the number and value of fundraising as well as mergers and acquisitions showed a sharp decline last year. Cryptography-related mergers and acquisitions dropped by 76% to $ 451 million in 2019, from over $ 1.9 billion in the previous year. The amount of funds raised decreased by 40% to USD 2.24 billion.
Cryptocurrency space could not attract mainstream investment, despite the fact that Bitcoin grew strongly in the second and third quarters of 2019. In July, the price reached a peak of over $ 13,500.
Given the current COVID pandemic, the report's authors argue that the cryptocurrency market will not attract mainstream investment in the near future. High volatility due to coronavirus panic and the economic downturn does not bode well for the space being created. It seems that the cryptographic industry is not resistant to global winds, and the number and value of fundraising and merger transactions can be affected in 2020.
Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD high located at the level of $175.00 is still an important target for bulls that are still trying to make use of the momentum behind the recent move up and move higher towards the level of $176.78, which is a technical resistance for the price. On the other hand, if the bulls fail here, (there is a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern present on H4 time frame chart), then the next taechnical support is seen at the level of $156.24 - $153.46. Please notice the increasing momentum on ETH/USD on H4 time frame chart during the last move up.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $180.45
WR2 - $163.97
WR1 - $154.32
Weekly Pivot - $137.76
WS1 - $127.39
WS2 - $112.43
WS3 - $101.19
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. So far the global investors are not so keen to invest in cryptocurrency, because they are being perceived as risky assets. The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $214.67 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d67d95da05.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for AUD/USD on April 9, 2020
AUD / USD
The Australian dollar reached its upper target of 0.6249 (February 2009 low) yesterday. Now, the question is: will it turn into a medium-term decline today, or mark the MACD line on the daily time frame (0.6354). The Marlin oscillator indicates a reversal, but it does not stop the price from rising by another hundred points.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e8ed0064e3.jpg
On the four-hour chart, there is a sign that an extended divergence on the Marlin oscillator is forming. The signal is twofold; on the one hand, it indicates the intention of the price to move downwards from the current levels, on the other, the divergence may dissolve in the continued growth of the indicator itself.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e8eea4828e.jpg
A clear signal of a trend reversal will be the price overcoming the support of the MACD line at around 0.6090.
So, with the price breaking the signal level of 0.6090, it is recommended to open short positions with a goal before 0.5820 and stop loss above 0.6115.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forecast for AUD/USD on April 10, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar rose by 109 points on Thursday, halting growth before the MACD line on the daily scale chart. The price could turn down from the current levels, maybe a little later, with preliminary testing of the embedded line of the price channel at the level of 0.6400.
The condition for a reversal is that the price goes under the price channel line at 0.6185, and the movement is aimed at the trend line of 0.5815.
The Marlin oscillator forms a downward turn on the four-hour chart. The signal level of 0.6185 of the higher timeframe coincides with the April 1 peak (tick) and with the support of the MACD line, where it can be in a day, that is, on Monday morning.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 13, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro made minor fluctuations before the resistance of the embedded line of the downward price channel on Friday, as the markets in Europe and the United States were closed. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator unfolds from the border with the growth territory. A synchronous downward reversal of the price and the indicator is possible.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3e7595c1ca.jpg
Marlin turned lower on the four-hour chart. A stable condition for the euro's fall is when the price leaves the area below the MACD line in 1.0840. In this case, the target of the movement is the lower line of the price channel at 1.0615 (daily).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3e76bb5935.jpg
But until the signal level has been overcome, the price can still make a false puncture of the upper line of the price channel by testing the November 2019 low (1.0980), or the MACD line on the daily (blue indicator) in the area of 1.0990.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 14, 2020
EUR/USD The euro fell by 22 points on Monday, rebounding from the blue line of the price channel on the daily chart. The leading indicator Marlin is in no hurry to turn around, holding on to the border with the territory of growth. This may be a sign of another small upward movement before the medium-term drop. The MACD line in the region of 1.0980 or slightly higher can be tested.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...53969ba597.jpg
On the four-hour chart, the price develops above the indicator lines of balance and MACD, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is confidently decreasing here, but has yet to leave the growth zone, which in total does not cancel the option with the final price increase. The situation will change abruptly to a downward trend with the price moving under the MACD line at 1.0860. The 1.0615 target will open – the embedded lower line of the price channel on the daily chart.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5397c493f3.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 15, 2020
EUR/USD
On Tuesday, the euro worked out an option with a push to the MACD line on the daily chart, but the market is starting to seriously try to move to the target of 1.1175 on the nested price channel line. This scenario will begin to be implemented with the release of prices above the MACD line, that is, above 1.1000. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has entered the territory of a growing trend.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6741413b37.jpg
The price is rising on a four-hour chart, and it is above the balance and MACD line, while Marlin turned up before the division of trends.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6742a4eb19.jpg
The market still has a chance of a price reversal and a medium-term fall in the euro, but for this to happen, the price needs to consolidate under the MACD line, below 1.0890.
Thus, with the price above 1.1000, purchases with a take profit below 1.1175 and stop loss below 1.0950 (under the line of the price channel) can be opened. Sales, in turn, can be opened with withdrawal prices below 1.0890.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 16, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro did not do anything unnecessary, nor did it make any false movements on Wednesday, turning down exactly from the MACD line on the daily chart. Simultaneously with the price reversal, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned down from the border of the growth territory (the exit above the zero line was insignificant, which can not even be called false). Now the euro's target is the embedded price channel line around 1.0610.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7d046aba82.jpg
This morning, the price retreated under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has consolidated on the declining trend zone. We are expecting the price to fall to the designated goal.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7d05922c57.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 17, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro continued its planned decline from a technical point of view on Thursday. Losses amounted to 70 points as investors withdrew to a safe dollar, since the latest data on new weekly applications for unemployment benefits reached 5.245 million and bookmarks of new homes fell to 2.22 million in March against the expectation of 1.31 million. In addition, the business index activity in the manufacturing sector of Philadelphia fell from -12.7 to -56.6 in April, to a record since August 1980.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...922475408b.jpg
The price is decreasing under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the daily scale chart, and the Marlin oscillator is fixed in the decline zone. We expect the euro to support the embedded price channel line around 1.0610.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...92259d055f.jpg
The price is also under the balance and MACD lines on the four-hour chart, Marlin is in the negative trend territory.
The signal level for opening sales is the April 8 low at a price of 1.0830. Stop loss at 1.0880, take profit before 1.0610. Intermediate goal of 1.0768.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 20, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro did not dare to make any noticeable decline last Friday, moreover, it even grew by 35 points by preceding to pierce the signal level for selling 1.0830. Now this signal level is moving lower - to the Friday low at the 1.0812 level, overcoming the price opens the way to support the embedded line of the price channel in the region of 1.0610.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d20dc6873d.jpg
The overall situation of a decline persists on the four-hour chart. The price is developing under both indicator lines - under the line of balance (red) and MACD (blue), the Marlin oscillator in the territory of negative values.
The price increase is limited by the resistance of the MACD line at around 1.0920.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d20eeec659.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD for April, 21, 2020
EUR/USD
Oil and US stock indices fell on Monday. Investors again felt fear and continued to buy up the dollar as a safe haven currency. And although the euro fell by only nine points yesterday, fears and uncertainty will continue to dominate the markets for several more days.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e67f7776da.jpg
The picture remained unchanged on the daily chart - the price is under the indicator lines of balance and MACD, the Marlin oscillator moves horizontally in the negative trend zone. The 1.0610 target for supporting the embedded price channel line of a higher timeframe is maintained.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e6809d999c.jpg
The situation is also unchanged on the four-hour chart, with the only difference being that the indicator lines have started to go down, which strengthened the potential for decline. The final condition for the price to move to 1.0610 will be for the price to overcome Friday's low at 1.0812. Accordingly, short positions can be opened from this level.
An alternative short-term scenario suggests another branch of price growth to the MACD line on the H4 towards the area of 1.0930.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on April 22, 2020
EUR/USD
There were no changes on the daily euro chart over the past day - the daily fluctuation was 60 points, but the day nearly closed at the opening level. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves strictly horizontally in the negative trend zone. The general trend is decreasing, we expect the euro to decline to support the embedded line of the price channel in the region of 1.0610.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...fb72845d29.jpg
The signal line of the Marlin oscillator rose to the border of the growth territory on the four-hour chart over the past day, but the price stopped by the balance indicator line. Therefore, in the current situation, the growth of Marlin is considered as the indicator continuing to discharge before a further decrease.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...fb73aac9dc.jpg
Nevertheless, the probability of the oscillator moving into a zone of positive values creates a risk of a price increase, possibly even to the MACD line, to the 1.0928 area. A signal of the euro's decisive decline is when the price drops below the low of the 17th (1.0812).
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for AUD/USD on April 23, 2020
AUD/USD The Australian dollar did not consolidate below the MACD indicator line on the daily chart on Wednesday, which delayed the start of the medium-term decline by another 1-2 days. The aussie grew by 42 points. Currently, the price lies on the MACD line, accumulating forces to break through, but growth is possible during this time of consolidation, even to the price channel line in the region of 0.6525, since the price is still above both indicator lines and the Marlin oscillator, albeit falling, remains in the growth zone. Formally, the trend is rising.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...10fcae10d6.jpg
When the price overcomes the signal level of 0.6255, this will be a reliable condition for the medium-term decline while aiming for 0.5798 and below. The setup is falling on the H4 chart - the price is below the adaptive balance line (red). The Marlin oscillator could reverse from the boundary of the growth territory. A convergence on Marlin that is not that strong can be worked out.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...10fddd154a.jpg
It is advised to skip the possible price increase, since the reversal can occur from any nearest resistance (0.6380, 0.6446), open sales when the price goes below the signal level of 0.6255.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Hot forecast and trading signals for GBP/USD pair on April 24
GBP/USD H1.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...26cba7841c.jpg
On the hourly chart, the pound/dollar pair is trading downward on April 24. The downward movement of quotes is supported by a strong downward trend line, which has at least 6 pivot points. The last time the pair's quotes rebound from it was yesterday. At the same time, there is a second trend line – an ascending one, which also has 6 pivot points at once and, accordingly, is also quite strong. Thus, the pound is currently fixed in a kind of triangle, leaving which will determine the further short-term trend of the pair. On the other hand, the statistics from the UK this week were generally as disastrous as those in other countries. The only report that could provoke the strengthening of the pound was the applications for unemployment benefits in March, which caused its fall. But all the other reports, including yesterday's business activity, most likely stop the bulls from buying pounds or close short positions on the US dollar. And if this is true, then the bears are activated either today or at the beginning of next week. As for the EUR/USD pair, we recommend that you pay attention to the report on long-term use orders in the States at the American trading session. If traders suddenly stop ignoring important statistics, then the bulls will be able to take advantage of the opportunities provided and continue to buy the pair with renewed strength. In any case, we have an ideal picture of the pound / dollar pair in terms of beauty and accuracy, which we assume two trading ideas for April 24:
1) Bears need to consolidate below the upward trend line in order to continue the downward movement. This will break the short-term bullish trend and keep the longer-term bearish current. In this case, we recommend selling the pound in order to support the 4-hour timeframe 1.2276. Thus, Take Profit can be around 72 points.
2) As long as the bulls are located above the upward trend line,the bullish trend persists in terms of intraday. Thus, the GBP/USD pair has even a growth potential to the level of 1.2395. However, no one knows how many more times the pair will push off from the upward trend line, so it is quite dangerous to trade for an increase right now. We believe that it is better to wait for the downward trend line to be broken, which will definitely be a strong signal to buy with the goal of the Senkou span B line of the 4-hour timeframe, which runs approximately at the level of 1.2467. Thus, the possible Take Profit for long positions is 68 points.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 28/04/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...669f86b838.jpg
Crypto Industry News:
EthereumPrice.org has released a new tool to calculate how much ETH can be earned by stacking coins under the new network consensus model. The Ethereum 2.0 calculator has many configurable settings that simulate different conditions and stacking variables. Users can customize many network (variable) settings that have a big impact on how the reward is calculated.
For example, a change in the size of ETHs stacked in the network from 1% to 10% means a difference in earnings between 5% or 15% (each year). Another factor that will affect the award on an annual basis is, for example, the lifetime of the node (validator) itself.
The tool calculates potential profits from 10 years of ETH stacking as well as each year. It will also calculate ROI (return on investment) in a given time. To view the value of their bid, users can choose from many fiat functional currencies, ETH in USD, EUR, GBP, JPY and others.
The calculator is currently in public beta. The current interface should be treated more as an educational device than a means for practical calculations. However, this gives an idea of how important staking will become part of the 'new Ethereum' ecosystem. Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD bears has pushed the price out of the Falling Wedge pattern and Ethereum made a new local low at the level of $188.86. There is a clear bearish divergence between the price and momentum indicator that supports the short-term bearish outlook, so the level of $188.86 might not be the target level and the ETH/USD rate can drop even further towards the next target at $178.25. The key short-term technical resistance is still located at the level of $198.72 and only a clear breakout above this level will open the road towards the $209.09 target.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $243.80
WR2 - $220.39
WR1 - $211.16
Weekly Pivot - $187.55
WS1 - $172.98
WS2 - $155.34
WS3 - $144.09
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. So far the global investors are not so keen to invest in cryptocurrency, because they are being perceived as risky assets. The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $214.67 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for 29/04/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9173c7b477.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has hit the key short-term resistance located at the level of 1.0878. So far the bulls were able to make a new local high at the level of 1.0849 and they are under the bearish pressure again. The price was rejected from the level of 1.0878 and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern was made at the end of the move. The momentum is still strong and positive, but the market conditions are overbought, so the odds for another dynamic wave up are decreasing. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of 1.0809.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1057
WR2 - 1.0976
WR1 - 1.0895
Weekly Pivot - 1.0809
WS1 - 1.0731
WS2 - 1.0641
WS3 - 1.0563
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. ON the EUR/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for GBP/USD on May 4, 2020
GBP/USD
The British pound lost 100 points on Friday, which strengthened the reversal potential and the convergence power of the Marlin oscillator on the daily chart.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...f8e901362a.jpg
To completely form conditions for the price to go down, it is necessary to gain a foothold under the MACD line (1.2365), while the Marlin signal line must go into the zone of negative values.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...f8ea3f3b98.jpg
Marlin is already in the decreasing trend zone on the four-hour chart, the price should overcome the support of the MACD line (1.2405). The support of the MACD line of the daily scope runs a little lower, in the region of 1.2365, therefore, the 1.2365-1.2405 range is transitional, it is possible to consolidate in this range.
An attempt to move the price under technical support may occur after a preliminary increase to 1.2540 or slightly lower without breaking convergence on a daily basis. The current situation is not defined under any scenario, the price can freely wander in the range of 1.2365-1.2540.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for 05/05/2020:
Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has made a local low at the level of 1.2406, just above the 61% Fibonacci retracement located at 1.2397. Any violation of this level will open the road towards the next target for bears seen at 1.2310. There is a short-term ascending trend line close to this level, so it might get tough for bears to violate it in one go. Please notice, the market is coming off the overbought levels and the momentum indicator is neutral, but when it turn south, then the sell-off might accelerate towards 1.2246 level.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2909
WR2 - 1.2757
WR1 - 1.2605
Weekly Pivot - 1.2476
WS1 - 1.2324
WS2 - 1.2200
WS3 - 1.2054
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the corona virus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new one is seen at the level of 1.1404. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518) or accelerate (1.1404). The market might have done a Double Top pattern at the level of 1.2645, so the price might move lower in the longer-term.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for 06/05/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...244fff3ec7.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD bears have manage to push the prices through the short-term support located at the level of 1.0893 and through the trend line support as well. The momentum is now negative, so the odds for another dynamic wave up are decreasing. If the 61% Fibonacci retracement gets clearly violated, then the next technical support is seen at the level of 1.0779 and if broken, the sell-off might accelerate towards 1.0727.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1279
WR2 - 1.1141
WR1 - 1.1073
Weekly Pivot - 1.0940
WS1 - 1.0861
WS2 - 1.0728
WS3 - 1.0662
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and this fear still rules on the financial markets. On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for 07/05/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...39f51932e3.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has broken below the short-term trend line support and below the technical support from the level of 1.2406. Please notice, the momentum indicator is now negative, so the sell-off might accelerate towards 1.2246 level. It looks like bulls are not strong enough to push the price above the level of 1.2485 again and the price is consolidating in a narrow zone before the plunge.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2909
WR2 - 1.2757
WR1 - 1.2605
Weekly Pivot - 1.2476
WS1 - 1.2324
WS2 - 1.2200
WS3 - 1.2054
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the corona virus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new one is seen at the level of 1.1404. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518) or accelerate (1.1404). The market might have done a Double Top pattern at the level of 1.2645, so the price might move lower in the longer-term.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 08/05/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...4ec047b913.jpg
Crypto Industry News:
The Commodity and Futures Commission (CFTC) has charged US and Israeli companies with alleged fraud of $ 15 million, including cryptocurrencies and binary options. Court documents mention two major frauds, the first of which occurred between October 2013 and November 2016 and concerns binary options. The second concerns digital resources such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, which took place from November 2013 to August 2018.
CFTC charged Tal Valariola and Itayea Baraka of Digital Platinum Limited for helping the American company All In Publishing (AIP) to create and promote numerous misleading investment programs among US and foreign investors.
During the allegedly misleading marketing campaign, as many as 51.917 users opened a binary options account and deposited a total of almost $ 13 million. In addition, 8,043 users opened a digital asset trading account, depositing a total of over $ 2 million.
Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD pair has again bounced from 38% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of $195.94 and violated the short-term trend line resistance around the level of $205.23. The bulls are continuing the rally towards the level of $214.67, but so far were rejected from this level. There is a Bearish Engulfing pattern made around this level, so the rally might be temporary postponed. The nearest technical support is now seen at the level of $209.89.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $296.61
WR2 - $243.36
WR1 - $224.05
Weekly Pivot - $205.69
WS1 - $188.49
WS2 - $168.64
WS3 - $150.80
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. So far the global investors are not so keen to invest in cryptocurrency, because they are being perceived as risky assets. The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $288 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 11/05/2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...8e51c91aed.jpg
Crypto Industry News:
Vitalik Buterin believes that Ethereum can play a role in the future global crisis as a glue that helps unite nations.
Ethereum co-founder was interviewed at Ethereal Summit 2020. Describing the current global crisis as more than financial, Buterin said that levels of political discord and distrust between countries highlighted the need for a network like Ethereum.
"I strongly believe that the role of Blockchain chains - in particular Ethereum - is to play the role of a neutral global player for systems, currencies and applications for interaction. I think that anything created and maintained by nation states cannot play this role" - he said
Describing the current situation as financial only "one-third", co-founder Ethereum also discussed the current situation compared to the global financial crisis in 2008 and whether the event could help fuel a new wave of cryptocurrency. Buterin said that cryptocurrencies like Ethereum could grow this time, solving "non-financial problems" in the world.
Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD pair has dropped significantly towards the level of $177.50, which is a 61% Fibonacci retracement for the price and is currently hovering around this level. The momentum remains weak and negative, so the next target for bears is seen at the level of $164.45. The immediate technical resistance is seen at the level of $188.86 and $193.78. Please bear in mind, that there is only 13 hours left to the halving, which is highly anticipated event for all cryptoenthusiasts.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $241.59
WR2 - $228.78
WR1 - $204.66
Weekly Pivot - $191.03
WS1 - $168.45
WS2 - $154.83
WS3 - $130.49
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets, nevertheless the global investors are not so keen to invest in cryptocurrency, because they are being perceived as risky assets. The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $288 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for May 13, 2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...b8e13e2cec.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD was rejected for the second time at the level of 38% Fibonacci located at 1.0862 after a Shooting Star candlestick pattern was mad around the level of 1.0878. The bears are pushing the price towards the level of 1.0767 again. The bulls hasn't made a new local high yet, so the next target for them is still seen at the level of 38% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0862 and 1.0878. This level must be clearly violated in order to rally towards higher levels. The momentum remains neutral, but might turn negative any time now.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1136
WR2 - 1.1058
WR1 - 1.0936
Weekly Pivot - 1.0853
WS1 - 1.0718
WS2 - 1.0627
WS3 - 1.0520
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets. On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for May 14, 2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...cdda75f208.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD was rejected at the level of 50% Fibonacci located at 1.0892 after a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern was made at the end of the wave up. The bears are pushing the price towards the level of 1.0767 again. The bulls hasn't made a new local high yet, so the next target for them is still seen at the level of 61% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0921. This level must be clearly violated in order to rally towards the swing high at 1.1017. The momentum remains neutral, but might turn negative any time now.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1136
WR2 - 1.1058
WR1 - 1.0936
Weekly Pivot - 1.0853
WS1 - 1.0718
WS2 - 1.0627
WS3 - 1.0520
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets. On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for May 15, 2020:
Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has broken below another technical support located at the level of 1.2246 and made a new local low at the level of 1.2165. Despite the oversold market conditions the momentum remains negative well and the odds for another wave down might be higher. The nearest technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.2246 and 1.2297 and the nearest technical support is located at the level of 1.2165. If the level of 1.2165 is clearly violated, then the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.2012.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2730
WR2 - 1.2608
WR1 - 1.2508
Weekly Pivot - 1.2380
WS1 - 1.2283
WS2 - 1.2157
WS3 - 1.2054
Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets. On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal will be possible when the coronavirus pandemic is tamed. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new one is seen at the level of 1.1404. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of these levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518) or accelerate (1.1404). The market might have done a Double Top pattern at the level of 1.2645, so the price might move lower in the longer-term.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forecast for EUR/USD on May 19, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro grew by 94 points on several controversial factors yesterday - on the one hand, oil rose by 10.5% to 32.83 dollars and overall risk appetites increased, on the other hand, the EU summit considered a package of assistance to the affected sectors and regions, which is half as much, than expected - 500 billion against the expected 1 trillion. Moreover, it will be a fund, and not direct help, which creates additional bureaucratic difficulties. As often happens, the expected but not realized optimism worked on the market, that is, the euro's growth as a result occurred on speculation. The growth occurred on volumes equal to Friday, which indirectly confirms the speculative nature of yesterday's growth in the thin market.
The price reached the price channel line just above the MACD line on the daily chart. The Marlin Oscillator is growing in the zone of positive values, so there is still a growth potential. Overcoming yesterday's high may send the euro to the upper border of the 1.5-month trading range of 1.0767-1.0995.
It is possible to turn down prices directly from current levels, indicators will quickly return to the downward trend, the euro will go to the lower border of the range of 1.0767.
The situation is not clarified on the four-hour chart. The price is above the indicator lines, Marlin is in the growth zone. All that remains is to wait for speculation to cool and then it will become clear what the market really intended.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for May 20, 2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...4ce40d5f03.jpg
Crypto Industry News:
Robert Kiyosaki, businessman and author of the book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, again visited Twitter to announce his bullish position to Bitcoin. In a published tweet, Kiyosaki states that fear of a dying economy led him to buy more three assets, which he considers valuable outside of the traditional financial system: gold, silver and Bitcoin. The author's tweet describes how valuable he thinks every resource will be in the coming years.
"I bought more silver and Bitcoin gold. GOLD [currently] at $ 1,700. I forecast $ 3,000 in 1 year. Silver [currently] at $ 17. I predict $ 40 for 5 years. Bitcoin [currently] at $ 9,800. I anticipate $ 75,000 in three years. "
In numerical terms, this forecast reflects the expected annual increase of around 76%, 19% and 97% for gold, silver and Bitcoin, respectively. This indicates, at least according to Kiyosaki's calculations, that Bitcoin has the most favorable profit potential out of three.
This is not the first time Robert Kiyosaki has used his platform to explain the benefits of Bitcoin and Blockchain. In recent months, the businessman has repeatedly talked about his faith in the future of these technologies.
Technical Market Outlook:
The BTC/USD pair has been seen hovering around the level of $10,000, which is the key short-term technical resistance for the bulls. The recent local high was made at the level of $9,884, so any violation of this level will lead to the local up trend extension towards the level of $10,227 - $10,430. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,381. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,382. Please notice, the market conditions on daily time frame chart are extremely overbought.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $12,194
WR2 - $10,994
WR1 - $10,553
Weekly Pivot - $9,337
WS1 - $8,765
WS2 - $7,555
WS3 - 7,013
Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend remains down and as long as the level of $10,791 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred until the level of $10,791 is clearly violated.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for AUD/USD on May 21, 2020
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar grew by 60 points on Wednesday, and it almost returned to yesterday's opening today in the Asian session. This is a sign that the price will not reach the target level of 0.6677, the aussie aimed to overcome the price channel line in the region of 0.6492, which will be a good reason for continuing the fall to 0.6338. A slightly veiled double divergence is formed on the Marlin oscillator.
The price returned to the signal level of 0.6562 on the four-hour chart - yesterday's exit above it turned out to be false. The MACD indicator line is located at the 0.6492 level taken from the daily time, which strengthens this level. Accordingly, overcoming it will become a significant condition for opening short positions with a target above 0.6338.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forecast for EUR/USD on May 22, 2020
EUR/USD
The euro grew during the first half of Thursday due to optimistic rates of European business activity for the current month: Manufacturing PMI of the euro area grew from 33.4 to 39.5, Services PMI showed even greater dynamics - an increase from 12.0 to 28.7. The euro has decisively reversed since the US session opened. US PMIs came out better than expected, but not as much as we expected: Manufacturing PMI grew from 36.1 to 39.8 against 39.3, Services PMI grew from 26.7 to 36.9 with 32.6 expected. Nevertheless, the trading volumes were comparable to those observed on May 18, which indicates a massive closure of purchases and even the opening of sales. A more interesting story awaits us next week, when sales of new housing, orders for durable goods, incomes and expenses of consumers will be published in the US.
The price was re-marked at the upper border of the price range and with the turn of the oscillator, Marlin headed down on the daily chart. The closest support for the price is the price channel line at 1.0918, below it is the MACD indicator line at 1.0888, overcoming it will confirm the euro's intention to go much deeper down to 1.0767 and 1.0578.
The signal line of the Marlin oscillator penetrated into the downward trend zone after forming a double divergence on the four-hour chart. The closest target is the 1.0888 level, at which the MACD lines coincide on both scopes. Consolidation under the level opens the way to the lower border of the range 1.0767.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/GBP for May 27, 2020
EUR/GBP is finally back to test the neckline support at 0.8866. This former resistance which now acts as support should be able to protect the downside for renewed upside pressure through minor resistance at 0.8930 indicating the next impulsive rally towards 0.9065 on the way higher to and above the peak at 0.9495.
In the short-term, we should see a final dip to test the key-support at 0.8866 before EUR/GBP will be ready to turn higher again.
R3: 0.9000
R2: 0.8955
R1: 0.8930
Pivot: 0.8910
S1: 0.8880
S2: 0.8866
S3: 0.8844
Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 0.8760 and our stop is placed at 0.8815.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Forecast for EUR/USD on May 29, 2020
EUR/USD
Yesterday, investors' expectations for positive US data did not materialize. The volume of orders for durable goods fell by 17.2% in April after a previous drop of 14.7%. The forecast was -19.0%, but of -17.2% optimism, of course, does not cause. The second estimate of GDP for the first quarter was revised down from -4.8% to -5.0% against the forecast without change (i.e. -4.8%). As a result, the dollar index lost -0.47%, the euro grew by 68 points, the S&P 500 fell by 0.21%. Macro statistics do not have to wait for optimism to an even greater extent today. The forecast for personal incomes of consumers for April is -7.0%, for personal expenses -12.6% versus the March contraction of -7.5%. The index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of the Chicago region in May is expected to increase from 35.4 to 40.1, but here (in the spirit of the times) there is a great emotional component, so the data may turn out to be worse.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...083b471dc3.jpg
The euro is moving towards its first target of 1.1140 on the daily chart. Whether there will be a price reversal from this level or the euro will continue to grow higher is currently not clear, since there are no prerequisites for technical signs in any direction. Price in a local situation is a leading factor, indicators in a guided position.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...083c771609.jpg
The price and indicators are growing on the H4 chart, there are no signs of a reversal. We are waiting for the price on the embedded line of the price channel of 1.1140.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 2, 2020:
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5ef05a22d0.jpg
Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has been consolidating the recent gains in a narrow zone located between the levels of 1.1148 - 1.1100. The bulls are hovering just below the lower supply zone boundary located between the levels of 1.1148 - 1.1190. Please notice, the market conditions are now overbought and despite the positive and strong momentum the price might start a corrective pull-back towards the nearest technical support located at the level of 1.1050.
Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1499
WR2 - 1.1307
WR1 - 1.1241
Weekly Pivot - 1.1045
WS1 - 1.0959
WS2 - 1.0772
WS3 - 1.0680
Trading Recommendations:
On the EUR/USD pair the main long term trend is down, but the local up trend continues. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).
Company does not offer investment advice and the analysis performed does not guarantee results. The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on June 3, 2020
EUR/USD
Risk appetites continue to grow despite protests and riots in the US: S&P 500 gained 0.82% yesterday, gold fell 0.69%, yield on 5-year US government bonds rose from 0.31% to 0, 32% The euro grew by 35 points, gaining a foothold on the daily chart over the trend line of the price channel. Target of 1.1250/65 is open.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...7179e06f06.jpg
The price is growing in a stable trend on the four-hour chart, but the Marlin oscillator has formed a divergence. With an increase in the price of another 15 points, the divergence can be reorganized into a regular pullback of the indicator (indicator discharge) with the resumption of growth. We are waiting for the price in the specified target range, where it is possible to form a more stable reversal pattern.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...717b0ab50a.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for EUR/USD on June 4, 2020
EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro reached the target range of 1.1250/65 and today, with the support of the Marlin oscillator turning down, it is ready to head for a correction. The purpose of the correction is the embedded line of the price channel in the region of 1.1133. Consolidating the price below it opens a deeper target 1.1019 (May 1 high). If the price goes above the upper boundary of the target range of 1.1265, the second bullish target at 1.1342 will open.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...872a18c431.jpg
The divergence on the Marlin oscillator still formed on the four-hour chart (yesterday we questioned the formation of this reversal pattern). Target level at 1.1133 coincides with the MACD line, which it is aiming for. Working out this correction level is our main scenario.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...872b46d5ce.jpg
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Forecast for USD/JPY on June 5, 2020
USD/JPY The dollar continued to grow against the yen yesterday (23 percentage points) despite the decline in stock indices: the S&P 500 was down -0.34%, while the Nikkei 225 is losing -0.32% in the Asian session today. It seems that investors are counting on good US employment data today and continued growth in related markets. If such expectations are met, then with the price overcoming the first target level of 109.50, growth will continue to the second target level of 110.83 (November 2017 low).
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9ba3cadeb8.jpg
A weak divergence has formed on the Marlin oscillator on the four-hour chart, the structure is more similar to the indicator discharging before further growth. But this pattern is also a harbinger of increased intraday volatility, which is quite consistent with today's release of important US data.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...9ba4fee1a2.jpg
We are waiting for a clarification of the situation - whether investors will change their minds to buy risk.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.