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NZD/USD right on major support, time to go long
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...a9235c07ca.png
The price is testing major support at 0.7312 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, long-term ascending support, bullish price action) and a bounce could occur at this level to push the price up to at least 0.7436 resistance (major swing high resistance, Fibonacci extension). RSI (55) sees a long-term ascending support line since November 2017 hold up our bullish momentum really well. We're starting to see a possible break of this long-term support line but our major support remains at 51% and only a clean break of that level would be a precursor that a drop is coming. Buy above 0.7312. Stop loss at 0.7256. Take profit at 0.7436.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Gold forming a cup and handle reversal, prepare for a strong drop!
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...fda905b59f.png
Gold has formed a really strong reversal of a cup and handle formation. We look to sell below major resistance at 1344 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, cup and handle breakout level) where a strong drop is expected to push the price down to at least 1325 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing descending resistance hold it down really well which corresponds to the drop we're expecting.
Sell below 1344. Stop loss at 1353. Take profit at 1325.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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NZD/USD starting to show signs of a bounce, remain bullish
The price continues to test our buying area and ascending channel support. We think that it might be doing a fake breakout now because RSI has not broken below 50% yet. We remain bullish above major support at 0.7312 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, long-term ascending support, bullish price action) for the price to continue its push up to at least 0.7436 resistance (major swing high resistance, Fibonacci extension).
RSI (55) major support remains at 50% and only a clean break of that level would be a precursor that a drop is coming.
Buy above 0.7312. Stop loss at 0.7256. Take profit at 0.7436.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...1248a43e81.png
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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The buyers of the euro are ready
Despite weak performance in the manufacturing sector, the European currency continues to make attempts to grow against the US dollar. It is maintaining an upward price channel.
It was only in Italy where there was an increase in the index of production while in France and Germany, the similar index slowed slightly.
According to the report of the statics agency, the index of supply managers for the manufacturing sector in Italy for the month of January this year rose to 59.0 points, compared to 57.4 points in December last year. Economists predicted the index at the level of 57.3 points.
In France, there is a marked decrease in activity in the manufacturing sector. According to the report, the index of supply managers for the manufacturing sector in January fell to 58.4 points against the December index of 58.8 points. Economists and market participants did expect a decline to the level of 58.1 points.
In Germany, the index of supply managers also slowed its growth. According to the data, PMI for Germany's manufacturing sector in January fell to 61.1 points against 63.3 points in December 2017. Economists had expected the index to fall to the level of 61.2 points.
If we talk about the euro area as a whole, then there is also a slight decline. According to the statistics agency, the index of supply managers PMI for the production area of the eurozone in January dropped to 59.6 points, compared to 60.6 points in December. The data fully coincided with the forecasts of economists.
It is important to note that finding the index above the level of 50 points indicates an increase in activity.
The current data that's at a rather slight decline in indicators at the beginning of this year will not likely affect the data on GDP seriously in the first quarter of 2018, which is confirmed by the market reaction to the data.
As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, so far the situation is developing in favor of buyers as it managed to keep the trade in an upward price channel. The lower limit of this level is at the January 30 low. The breakthrough of resistance at the level of 1.2470 opens up good prospects for the EURUSD pair for further growth of the trading instrument in the area of annual maximums at 1.2540.
A similar index that's already in the UK, also did not put pressure on the British pound, even despite its slowdown to a 6-month low.
According to a report by research company IHS Markit Ltd., the index of supply managers for the UK manufacturing sector in January was 55.3 points compared to 56.2 points in December. The value of the index above 50 indicates an increase in activity. Economists had expected the index to be 56.5 points.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for February 05, 2018
The pair is struggling to consolidate the price action above the resistance level of 1.4280 and it seems that the 200 SMA could act, once again, as a dynamic support. If that happens, GBP/USD could resume the overall bullish bias and can skyrocket towards the 1.4393 level. MACD indicator remains in the negative territory, calling for a leg lower.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5/GBPUSDH1.png
H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.4280 / 1.4393
H1 chart's support levels: 1.4060 / 1.3937
Trading recommendations for today:
Based on the H1 chart, buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.4280, take profit is at 1.4393 and stop loss is at 1.4168.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Feb 06, 2018
When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as Retail PMI, French Gov Budget Balance, and German Factory Orders m/m. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, JOLTS Job Openings, and Trade Balance, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2444.
Strong Resistance:1.2437.
Original Resistance: 1.2425.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2413.
Target Inner Area: 1.2384.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2355.
Original Support: 1.2343.
Strong Support: 1.2331.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2324.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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The deficit of foreign trade in the US at record highs
Despite the good data for Germany, which came out in the morning, demand for the US dollar remained.
According to the report of the German Ministry of Economics, orders in the manufacturing sector of Germany in December last year grew due to strong demand from abroad. Thus, the total volume of production orders in December 2017 increased by 3.8% compared with the previous month, while economists expected that the growth in December will be 0.6%.
As I noted above, the leaders were export orders, which grew by 5.9%, while internal orders increased by only 0.7% compared to the previous month.
The US dollar has ignored the data on the next wave of growth of foreign trade deficit in the US, which peaked in nine years. This happened as a result of growth in imports due to strong consumer demand.
According to the report of the US Department of Commerce, the foreign trade deficit in December 2017 increased by 5.3% compared to the previous month and amounted to 53.12 billion US dollars. Economists had expected a deficit of $52.0 billion.
Import to the US grew by 2.5% to $ 256.5 billion. The increase in imports of goods during the holiday season had a negative impact on the indicator. There was also an increase in imports of cars and capital goods. Export grew by only 1.8% to $ 203.4 billion.
Speech by Fed official Bullard was generally ignored by the market.
Fed President St. Louis James Bullard said today that the relationship between the employment market and inflation has disrupted, and inflation expectations have risen. First of all, he was referring to the latest report of the US Department of Labor, which pointed to a serious increase in labor forces and an increase in wages, which would definitely spur inflation in early 2018, giving it a serious upward momentum along with economic growth.
Bullard also noted that the tax bill will promote investment growth, but the monetary policy is currently close to neutral and does not need to be adjusted.
It is worth paying attention to the fact that his opinion is at odds with the recent statements of his colleagues, in which it was clearly indicated that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.
The deficit of Canada's foreign trade in December grew due to the fact that imports prevailed over exports, which slowed significantly compared to the previous month.
According to the Bureau of Statistics of Canada, the foreign trade deficit in December 2018 increased by 3.19 billion Canadian dollars. Economists forecast a deficit of C$ 2.25 billion in December. Imports in December rose by 1.5%, to a record level of 49.70 billion Canadian dollars, while exports increased by 0.6%, to 46.51 billion Canadian dollars.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Daily analysis of USDX for February 08, 2018
The index managed to do a rebound above the 200 SMA and gathered momentum towards the 90.30 level. A higher continuation is expected once USDX does a break above 90.63. To the downside, the 200 SMA continues to provide dynamic support but if it gives up, the bearish side could get again another breath.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 90.63 / 91.75 H1
chart's support levels: 89.36 / 87.88
Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 89.36, take profit is at 87.88 and stop loss is at 90.81.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Feb 09, 2018
When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as Italian Industrial Production m/m and French Industrial Production m/m. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as Final Wholesale Inventories m/m, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2314.
Strong Resistance:1.2307.
Original Resistance: 1.2295.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2283.
Target Inner Area: 1.2254.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2225.
Original Support: 1.2213.
Strong Support: 1.2201.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2194.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 13, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...26ab99f60c.png
Wave summary:
The rally from 1.6854 is not yet convincing, but if support at 1.6897 is able to protect the downside for a new rally above minor resistance at 1.7023 the correction in wave ii should be complete and wave iii developing for a rally to and above resistance at 1.7479 on the way higher to 1.7777.
A break below 1.6897 will risk a new decline to 1.6853 and maybe even closer to 1.6830 before wave ii is complete.
R3: 1.7045
R2: 1.7023
R1: 1.6966
Pivot: 1.6897
S1: 1.6878
S2: 1.6853
S3: 1.6830
Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6977 with our stop placed at 1.6845.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 20, 2018
Wave summary:
A break above the minor resistance at 1.6865 will indicate that the wave ii has completed and the wave iii higher to 1.7470 and 1.7777 is developing.
As long as the minor resistance at 1.6865 is able to cap the upside as long must we allow for a final spike lower to 1.6740 before completing the wave ii.
R3: 169.78
R2: 1.6860
R1: 1.6825
Pivot: 1.6770
S1: 1.6740
S2: 1.6681
S3: 1.6630
Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6790 with stop placed at 1.6690.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis of NZD/USD for February 21, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf.../NZDUSDM30.png
Our first downside target which we predicted in yesterday's analysis has been hit. NZD/USD is still expected to trade with a bearish outlook. The pair is capped by a bearish trend line since February 16, which confirmed a negative outlook. The downward momentum is further reinforced by both declining 20-period and 50-period moving averages. The relative strength index lacks upward momentum.
To conclude, below 0.7375, look for a new drop with targets at 0.7305 and 0.7280 in extension.
The black line shows the pivot point. Currently, the price is above the pivot point, which is a signal for long positions. If it remains below the pivot point, it will indicate short positions. The red lines show the support levels, while the green line indicates the resistance levels. These levels can be used to enter and exit trades.
Resistance levels: 0.7410, 0.7440, and 0.7485.
Support levels: 0.7335, 0.7295, and 0.7330.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Weak data on the euro area is weighing on the euro
Weak data, including the preliminary, in the production and services sectors of the euro area put pressure on the European currency in the first half of the day. However, there was no significant sale of risky assets. This again indicates that most traders will focus on the Federal Reserve's protocols today.
The British pound collapsed against the US dollar after the release of a weak report on the UK labor market, where there was a significant surge in the number of unemployed.
In Germany, which is the flagship of the European economy, the growth rates of the manufacturing and services sectors have slowed. According to IHS Markit, the purchasing managers' index for the German services sector in February 2018 dropped to 55.3 points versus 57.3 points in January with economists expecting the February value to be at 57.0 points. The PMI for the manufacturing sector fell to 60.3 points from 61.1 points in January.
The preliminary index of supply managers for the manufacturing sector in France also fell in February, reaching 56.1 points compared to 58.4 points in January. Economists had expected a less significant decline, to a level of 58.1 points.
The preliminary index of supply managers for the services sector in France dropped to 57.9 points in February against 59.2 points in January this year. Economists had expected the index to remain unchanged at 59.2 points.
As a result business activity in general for the euro area slowed in February.
According to the report of IHS Markit, the composite index of supply managers of the eurozone in February fell to 57.5 points from 58.8 points in January. It is important to note that a value of above 50 in the index indicates an increase in activity. Economists also expected the decline but only to 58.5 points.
The technical picture in the EURUSD pair remained unchanged compared with the morning forecast. In the event of a decline in the euro after the publication of the Fed's protocols, opening long positions is best after the major support levels of 1.2240 and 1.2200 have been updated.
The British pound, as noted above, fell sharply against the US dollar after it became known that unemployment in the UK in the fourth quarter of 2017 increased.
According to the report of the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of unemployed in the UK increased by 46,000 from October to December 2017. The unemployment rate was at 4.4% while economists expected unemployment to remain unchanged at 4.3%.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 27, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...4e4139004a.png
Wave summary:
EUR/NZD has rallied nicely and is headed towards the first more substantial resistance near 1.7100. Once this resistance is cleared, the way higher to 1.7470 and 1.7777 is open.
Support is now seen at 1.6850, and the important support is seen at 1.6780.
R3: 1.7094
R2: 1.6990
R1: 1.6937
Pivot: 1.6887
S1: 1.6850
S2: 1.6780
S3: 1.6723
Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6790, and we will move our stop higher to 1.6775.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for March 2, 2018
Wave summary:
There is not really anything new to say here. We continue to look for a continuation higher through the resistance at 1.6960 and 1.6999 for a continuation towards 1.7094 and 1.7470 as the next upside targets.
Short-term support is seen at 1.6867 and again at 1.6809.
R3: 1.7094
R2: 1.6999
R1: 1.6960
Pivot: 1.6900
S1: 1.6867
S2: 1.6809
S3: 1.6778
Trading recommendation: We are long EUR from 1.6790 with stop placed at break-even.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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USD/JPY approaching resistance, prepare to sell
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...dfd1a39814.png
The price is seeing strong resistance at 106.47 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance, descending resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this price to push it down to 104.77 support (Fibonacci extension). We do have to watch out for intermediate support at 105.24 (horizontal swing low support) which needs to be broken to open a further drop.
RSI (89) sees descending resistance hold price down really well with its bearish momentum.
Sell below 106.47. Stop loss at 107.34. Take profit at 104.77.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Daily analysis of EUR/JPY for March 7, 2018
EUR/JPY
There is recently an upwards bounce in the market – in the context of a downtrend. The upwards bounce is yet to nullify the downtrend, but it would do so as soon as the price goes above the supply zone at 132.50, which would require a strong buying pressure. Right now, the EMA 11 is almost crossing the EMA 56 to the upside, and the RSI period 14 is above the level 50. Once the EMA 11 is above the EMA 56, the bias on the market would turn bullish.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userfiles/20180307/3.png
There is still a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, but the recent rally has become a threat to the extant bearish outlook. Nonetheless, a strong rally is in the offing, as the outlook on EUR pairs remains bullish for this week.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 09, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...309/EURUSD.jpg
When the European market opens, some economic data will be released such as the French Industrial Production m/m, the French Gov Budget Balance, the German Trade Balance, and the German Industrial Production m/m. Meanwhile, the US will also deliver some reports such as the Final Wholesale Inventories m/m, the Unemployment Rate, the Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Average Hourly Earnings m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a medium to high volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2369.
Strong Resistance:1.2362.
Original Resistance: 1.2350.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2338.
Target Inner Area: 1.2309.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2280.
Original Support: 1.2268.
Strong Support: 1.2256.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2249.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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USD/JPY has reached our profit target perfectly, prepare for further rise
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5f6bb613e3.png
The price has risen perfectly to our profit target and looks poised to rise further after breaking a strong descending resistance-turned-support line. We look to buy above 106.48 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, breakout level) for a push up to 108.51 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance). We do have to be cautious about 107.78 resistance as the price might react off that level.
RSI (89) has made a similar bullish exit signaling a change in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Buy above 106.48. Stop loss at 105.81. Take profit at 108.51
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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NZD/USD Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for for March 20, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...0b4bb007d3.png
Daily Outlook
In July 2017, an atypical Head and Shoulders pattern was expressed on the depicted chart which indicated upcoming bearish reversal.
As expected, the price level of 0.7050 failed to offer enough bullish support for the NZD/USD pair. That's why, further bearish decline was expected towards 0.6800 (Reversal pattern bearish target).
Evident signs of bullish recovery was expressed around the depicted low (0.6780). An inverted Head and Shoulders pattern was expressed around these price levels.
The price zone of 0.7140-0.7250 (prominent Supply-Zone) failed to pause the ongoing bullish momentum. Instead, a bullish breakout above 0.7250 was expressed on January 11.
That's why, a quick bullish movement was expected towards the depicted supply zone (0.7320-0.7390) where evident bearish rejection and a valid SELL entry were expected.
On February 2, a bearish engulfing daily candlestick was expressed off the price level of 0.7390. Moreover, a double-top reversal pattern was expressed around the price zone (0.7320-0.7390).
The price zone (0.7320-0.7390) stood as a significant supply zone for the NZD/USD pair. Any bullish pullback towards this price zone should be considered for a valid SELL entry.
On the other hand, bearish breakdown of 0.7300 (neckline) is needed to confirm the depicted reversal pattern. Bearish projection target would be located around 0.7050 and 0.7000.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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EUR/JPY analysis for March 21, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...2265520a5a.png
Recently, the EUR/JPY pair has been trading sideways at the price of 130.48. According to the 30M time frame, I found that price has broken the upward channel (bearish pennant) in the background, which is a sign that buying looks risky. I also found a strong downward leg in the background, which is another sign of weakness. My advice is to watch for potential selling opportunities. Downward targets are set at the price of 130.32 and at the price of 129.60.
Resistance levels:
R1: 131.30
R2: 132.20
R3: 132.65
Support levels:
S1: 129.93
S2: 129.44
S3: 128.53
Trading recommendations for today: watch for potential selling opportunities.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Technical analysis of NZD/USD for March 22, 2018
NZD/USD is expected to trade with bullish outlook. The pair is still showing upward momentum after a break-out from a resistance level at 0.7185 (now a key support). Currently, it is trading at levels above both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages while targeting the first upside target at 0.7260 (around the high of March 19). The relative strength index is well directed in the 70s, indicating strong upward momentum for the pair. Upon crossing 0.7260, the next upside target at 0.7280 would come into sight.
The black line shows the pivot point. Currently, the price is above the pivot point which is a signal for long positions. If it remains below the pivot point, it will indicate short positions. The red lines show the support levels, while the green line indicates the resistance levels. These levels can be used to enter and exit trades.
Resistance levels: 0.7260, 0.7305, and 0.7350.
Support levels: 0.7150, 0.7125, and 0.7100.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Daily analysis of EUR/JPY for March 23, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...4693f28b2a.png
EUR/JPY
The long-awaited bearish bias has already surfaced on this cross. The price plunged yesterday, breaching the supply zone at 129.50 to the downside. The demand zone at 129.00 was tested before the price bounced upwards (temporarily). The demand zone at 129.00 would be tested once again, and get broken to the downside, as the market moves further downwards.
There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and it has become clearer as price goes further downwards owing to a bearish outlook on the cross. The EMA 11 is below the EMA 56, and the RSI period 14 is below the level 50.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Daily analysis of EUR/JPY for March 26, 2018
EUR/JPY
The conditions in the market is quite choppy. Although the market is choppy, the bearish trend has been maintained.Price has been going southward since February 5, having lost almost 800 pips since then. Last week, there was a rally attempt in the context of an uptrend, which was halted once the supply zone at 131.50 had been tested.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...8695853a5d.png
Further upward movement was effectively prevented. The market shed 250 pips following that, to test the demand zone at 129.00, and closed below the supply zone at 129.50. The expected weakness in EUR, as well as the bearish outlook on the market, may enable the demand zones at 129.00, 128.50, and 128.00 to be tested this week.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for March 27, 2018
The pair stays strong in the short-term as the price action is consolidating above the support zone of 1.4136. Currently, GBP/USD is facing off the resistance level of 1.4225, which is the last hurdle ahead of the 1.4269 level and if it manages to break above such area, the bulls could strengthen in the short-term. MACD indicator remains in the positive territory, favoring to the bulls.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...943902182e.png
H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.4225 / 1.4269
H1 chart's support levels: 1.4136 / 1.4061
Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.4225, take profit is at 1.4269 and stop loss is at 1.4185.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Technical analysis: Intraday level for USD/JPY, March 28, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...b055fcf246.jpg
Today Japan will not release any Economic Data, but the US will release some Economic Data such as Crude Oil Inventories, Pending Home Sales m/m, Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m, Goods Trade Balance, Final GDP Price Index q/q, and Final GDP q/q. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Resistance. 3: 106.13.
Resistance. 2: 105.92.
Resistance. 1: 105.72.
Support. 1: 105.45.
Support. 2: 105.25.
Support. 3: 105.04.
Disclaimer: Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all Traders or Investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, April 02, 2018
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...196e7538de.jpg
When the European market opens, the US will release the Economic Data such as ISM Manufacturing Prices, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing PMI, and Final Manufacturing PMI, so amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2372.
Strong Resistance:1.2365.
Original Resistance: 1.2353.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2341.
Target Inner Area: 1.2312.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2283.
Original Support: 1.2271.
Strong Support: 1.2259.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2252.
Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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USD/CAD Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce.
USD/CAD is approaching its support at 1.2711 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where we expect a bounce, pushing price all the way up to its resistance at 1.2936 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). We do however have to take note of the intermediate resistance at 1.2830 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 5.7% where we expect to see a bounce. A bullish divergence in the price has also been identified which contributes to our bullish bias.
Buy above 1.2711. Stop loss at 1.2636. Take profit at 1.2936.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...6df2b859d4.png
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Sensation from North Korea
AUD / USD
On Friday, the Australian dollar did not give rise to the speculative sentiment of the European and American traders and was fundamentally declined by 10 points on the general unfavorable background of foreign markets. Oil lost in price slightly more than 2%, iron ore -0.08%, copper -0.7%.
This morning, investors were satisfied with the growth in the construction sector activity from AIG in the March assessment, the growth came in from 56.0 to 57.2 points. The NAB business confidence index will be release tomorrow, as the March forecast showed results of 12 against 9 in February. Also, the stock markets of the APR failed to grow badly today despite the Friday drop in the US market, with the Nikkei 225 + 0.68%, S & P / ASX 200 + 0.37%, and China A50 + 0.26%. The possible optimism is related to Kim Jong-un's statement about the readiness to test the nuclear weapons and to conduct a denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. The "Australian" currency could possibly grow in the range of 0.7760 / 75.
* The presented market analysis is informative and does not constitute a guide to the transaction.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for April 16, 2018
EUR/NZD is following the expected path and is correcting. The minimum corrective target at 1.6793 has already been tested, but we expected a little more correction closer to the 1.6835 - 1.6860 area will be seen before lower again towards the ideal target near 1.6620. The test of 1.6620 will ideally complete the corrective decline from 1.7162. That said it's possible that a larger correction is developing and if this is the case, a decline to 1.6220 should be expected before a more firm bottom is in place.
R3: 1.6860
R2: 1.6820
R1: 1.6793
Pivot: 1.6736
S1: 1.6676
S2: 1.6620
S3: 1.6580
Trading recommendation:
We are looking for an EUR-selling opportunity at 1.6845.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for April 17, 2018
EUR/USD has been quite impulsive with the bullish gains recently which engulfed the recent bearish pressure with a daily candle yesterday. The volatility in the EURUSD is still quite high and expected to have no definite trend momentum until 1.25 is broken above or 1.21 is broken below. Despite having worse economic reports EUR gained good momentum over USD recently which is expected to push higher in the coming days. Today EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment report is going to be published which is expected to decrease to -0.8 from the previous positive figure of 5.1, Italian Trade Balance report is expected to show an increase to 2.23B which previously was at -0.09B and ZEW Economic Sentiment report is expected to decrease to 7.3 from the previous figure of 13.4. On the other hand, today USD Building Permits report is going to be published which is expected to increase to 1.33M from the previous figure of 1.30M, Housing Starts is also expected to increase to 1.27M from the previous figure of 1.24M, Capacity Utilization Rate is expected to have slight decrease to 77.9% from the previous value of 78.1% and Industrial Production report is expected to decrease to 0.3% from the previous value of 1.1%. Moreover, today FOMC Member Williams and Quarles is going to speak about the nation's interest rate and monetary policy which is expected to be neutral in nature. As of the current scenario, both currencies in the pair is expected to have mixed economic results today and this week there is no further high impact economic reports or events to push the price into a definite trend but as the EUR is quite stronger in comparison to USD with the market sentiment, further bullish momentum is expected after certain retracement along the way in the coming days.
Now let us look at the technical view. The price is currently residing above 1.2350 which was recently broken below with a daily close showing good evidence of price proceeding lower. As of yesterday, after having a daily close above 1.2350 does signify previous bearish move as a false break which is currently expected to push the price much higher in the coming days with the target towards 1.2450-1.25 price area. As the price remains above 1.2350 area, the further bullish pressure is expected in this pair.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, April 19, 2018
When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as Spanish 10-y Bond Auction and Current Account. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as Natural Gas Storage, CB Leading Index m/m, Unemployment Claims, and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2438.
Strong Resistance:1.2431.
Original Resistance: 1.2419.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2407.
Target Inner Area: 1.2378.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2349.
Original Support: 1.2337.
Strong Support: 1.2325.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2318.
Disclaimer:
Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all Traders or Investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, April 23, 2018
When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as German Buba Monthly Report, Flash Services PMI, Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Services PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Services PMI, and French Flash Manufacturing PMI. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as Existing Home Sales, Flash Services PMI, and Flash Manufacturing PMI, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2333.
Strong Resistance:1.2326.
Original Resistance: 1.2314.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2302.
Target Inner Area: 1.2273.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2244.
Original Support: 1.2232.
Strong Support: 1.2220.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2213.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Daily analysis of USDX for April 24, 2018
USDX is posting fresh multi-day highs above the 200 SMA at H1 chart and the resistance zone of 91.75 could be challenged in coming days, as we're watching a possible breakout of the 90.63 level, which has been proven to be a tough resistance to crack. However, a retracement at the current stage should be limited by the moving average mentioned above.
H1 chart's resistance levels: 90.63 / 91.75
H1 chart's support levels: 89.36 / 87.88
Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bearish candlestick; the support level is at 90.63, take profit is at 91.75 and stop loss is at 89.49.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, May 02, 2018
When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as Unemployment Rate, Italian Prelim GDP q/q, Prelim Flash GDP q/q, Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate, Final Manufacturing PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, French Final Manufacturing PMI, Italian Manufacturing PMI, and Spanish Manufacturing PMI. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as Federal Funds Rate, Crude Oil Inventories, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a medium to high volatility during this day.
TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2050.
Strong Resistance:1.2043.
Original Resistance: 1.2031.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2019.
Target Inner Area: 1.1991.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1963.
Original Support: 1.1951.
Strong Support: 1.1939.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1932.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis on USDX for May 4, 2018
The Dollar index has broken out of the bullish channel. Price has been giving bearish divergence signs in the RSI for the last few days while it was making higher highs and higher lows. With Non Farm Payrolls expected today, traders should be very cautious and wait to act until after the announcement.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c207360d45.png
Blue lines - bullish channel
The Dollar index above the Ichimoku cloud. Trend remains bullish. However we have two warning signs. The break below the channel and the bearish divergence in the RSI. Short-term support is at 92.15 and next at 91.40. I expect a major trend reversal to occur today or early next week to the downside. I would not be buying the index around current levels but look for selling.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Pound and the euro continue to fall
Despite good industrial production figures in Germany for March of this year, the European currency continued its decline against the US dollar and a number of other world currencies on Tuesday morning. The speech of the chairman of the Fed was taken by traders with a certain optimism. Although, Powell did not touch on the conditions of monetary policy but instead spoke more about its impact on other developed economies of the world.
According to the report of the Federal Bureau of Statistics of Germany, industrial production in March 2018 grew by 1.0% compared with February, while economists expected an increase of 0.8%. As stated in the report, the main reason for the growth was the increase in production of capital goods. Compared with March 2017, industrial production in Germany increased by 3.2%.
Good data from Germany, after the disastrous beginning of the year, instilled some optimism in investors, but, as we see on the EURUSD chart, this is not enough.
The morning speech by the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, had a positive effect on the quotes of the US dollar. Powell said that despite the Fed's repeated increase in rates since December 2015, financial conditions in the US have become less stringent, while monetary stimulus has had only a relatively limited impact on the flow of capital in emerging economies in recent years. He also noted that the Fed, as much as possible, clearly intends to talk about the prospects of politics in order to avoid unrest in the markets.
As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, the downtrend persists and so far there are no prerequisites for a reversal. The breakdown at the support level of 1.1890 opens up new prospects for updating the lows in the areas of 1.1830 and 1.1790. The main goal now will be the level of the minimum of December 12, 2017 which is the level of 1.1717.
The British pound grew reluctantly but returned to the lower boundary of the side channel, which also indicates the continued downward trend in the trading instrument. Pressure on the pound in the first half of the day could be formed by statements of British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson. During the interview, Johnson expressed his dissatisfaction with the plan of the customs agreement, which was proposed by Prime Minister Theresa May and which should enter into force after Brexit.
According to the minister, the variant of the customs agreement contradicts everything that the UK aspired to by agreeing to Brexit and leaving the EU, since the preservation of import duties in favor of the EU will retain control over trade policy and laws.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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GBP/JPY Reversed Nicely Off Resistance, Remain Bearish
GBP/JPY reversed off its resistance at 149.20 (100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where we expect prices to drop to its support at 147.14 (horizontal swing low support)
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is reversed off its resistance at 96% where it has a lot of corresponding downside potential.
Sell 149.20. Stop loss at 150.01. Take profit at 147.14.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3c1cb41b3a.png
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Correction potential in the euro can be restrained
The upward correction in the European currency continued on Friday amid a lack of good fundamental statistics on the US economy, as well as rather restrained statements by the representatives of the Federal Reserve, in particular James Bullard, who stated that it was necessary to "slow down" with the increase in rates.
According to the University of Michigan, consumer sentiment in the US in May remained unchanged. Despite the fact that the index is preliminary, the lack of growth in consumer confidence could negatively affect the economy in the second quarter of this year.
Thus, the leading index of consumer sentiment at the University of Michigan in May this year was 98.8 points, unchanged from April. Economists had expected the index to be 98.0 points. Let me remind you that in March the mood index rose to 101.4 points, and then began its decline.
As noted above, the speech of the representative of the Fed Bullard was of a rather interesting nature. Despite the fact that the US economy is in very good condition and there are no problems with inflation growth above 2% the regulator will not, Bullard is concerned that two more rate hikes this year could lead to a coup in the yield curve of government bonds.
In his view, it is wrong to assume that a reversal of the yield curve will not lead to serious changes in the market. In this connection, the official of the Federal Reserve indicated that he will express his disagreement with the further increase of interest rates this year.
His colleague in the role, Loretta Mester, was more optimistic. In her opinion, the Fed may have to make their policies deterrent, as the neutral interest rate increases. However, improving economic prospects will be a strong argument in favor of further tightening of monetary policy, as this will prevent overheating of the economy.
Mester is sure that the prospects for the economy are positive, and the level of full employment has been reached in the labor market.
As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, buyers of risky assets have already formed a fairly large upward wave, which led the trading instrument to the resistance level area of 1.1980. Only its breakthrough will serve as a new impetus to the opening of long positions in the expectation of updating the highs of 1.2020 and 1.2070.
If the bulls are not so persistent, and in the resistance area 1.1980 there will be a drop in demand for risky assets, another attempt to return to the market of large sellers with the removal of stop orders of buyers below the support of 1.1930 is not ruled out.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
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Technical analysis of GBP/JPY for May 17, 2018
The GBP/JPY at 4-Hour Charts seem already making higher highs and higher lows after the MACD Divergence with the price but this pair now getting struggles with the Support Become Resistance level at 149.11 events now this pair already breakout above those level now the GBP/JPY must test the 149.11 level first as their new Support before they can go up, this condition already confirmed by the William %R(14) already at Overbought side. So this pair in a short time manner will be going down to test the 149.11 level.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex
