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  1. #1581
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    SINGAPORE PRODUCER PRICES DECLINE AT FASTER PACE

    Singapore producer prices declined at a faster pace in August on a sharp fall in oil cost, data from the Department of Statistics showed Tuesday.

    Producer prices decreased 9.3 percent on a yearly basis in August, following a 6.4 percent drop in July. Oil and non-oil indices were down 35.6 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively.

    Month-on-month, producer prices dropped 1.2 percent versus a 0.1 percent fall in July.

    Another report from the statistical office showed that import prices slid 6.8 percent annually, extending the 7.3 percent fall in July. The oil index dropped 25.3 percent and non-oil prices slid 1.1 percent.

    On a monthly basis, import prices fell 0.1 percent, in contrast to the 1.9 percent rise in July.

    Data showed that export prices decreased 0.6 percent on month taking the annual fall to 8.2 percent in August.

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  2. #1582
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    UK SHOP PRICES CONTINUE TO FALL IN SEPTEMBER:

    UK shop prices continued to decrease in September on falling non-food prices, data from the British Retail Consortium, or BRC, revealed Wednesday.

    The shop price index dropped 1.6 percent year-on-year, the same pace of decrease as seen in August. Non-food prices decreased 3.2 percent in September compared to a decline of 3.4 percent in August. At the same time, food inflation eased to 1.2 percent from 1.3 percent in August. Fresh food inflation held steady at 0.2 percent.

    Retailers are cutting prices in order to encourage further spending where sales are yet to pick up, Helen Dickinson, chief executive at BRC, said. In addition, September saw the lowest rate of fresh food inflation since 2017, which has been mostly driven by the continued availability of fresh, local food produce.

    Mike Watkins, Head of Retailer and Business Insight, Nielsen, said "Looking ahead we can expect shop price inflation to remain at current low levels for the next quarter."

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  3. #1583
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    PHILIPPINES MANUFACTURING PMI MOVES TO 50.1 IN SEPTEMBER - IHS MARKIT

    The manufacturing sector in the Philippines moved into expansion in September, the latest survey from IHS Markit showed on Thursday with a manufacturing PMI score of 50.1.

    That's up from 47.3 in August, and it moves above the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates from expansion.

    Individually, new orders expanded for the first time since February, while production declined only marginally. Business sentiment improved to a seven-month high.

    Production volumes fell for the third month running in September, with firms often indicating that ongoing COVID-19 restrictions continued to hamper activity.

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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: EUROZONE CONSUMER PRICE DATA DUE

    Flash consumer price data from euro area is due on Friday, headlining a light day for the European economic news. At 3.00 am ET, Spain's unemployment data for September is due from the Ministry of Labor, Migration and Social Security. The number of unemployed rose by 29,780, or 0.79 percent, in August.

    At 4.00 am ET, Norway's unemployment data is due. The jobless rate is expected to fall to 4 percent in September from 4.3 percent in August.

    At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat is slated to release euro area consumer prices for September. Economists forecast consumer prices to fall 0.2 percent annually, the same pace of fall as seen in August.

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  5. #1585
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: EUROZONE FINAL PMI, INVESTOR CONFIDENCE DATA DUE

    Final Purchasing Managers' survey results, investor confidence and retail sales from euro area are due on Monday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

    At 3.00 am ET, consumer and producer prices from Turkey and retail sales from Hungary are due. Turkish inflation is forecast to rise to 12.13 percent in September from 11.77 percent in August.

    At 3.15 am ET, Spain's services PMI data is due. The index is expected to fall to 46.3 in September from 47.7 in August.

    At 3.45 am ET, composite PMI figures from Italy are due. Economists forecast the services indicator to drop to 46.6 from 47.1 in August.

    Thereafter, final PMI reports are due from France and Germany at 3.50 and 3.55 am ET, respectively.

    At 4.00 am ET, IHS Markit releases euro area composite PMI survey data. The score is seen at 50.1 in September, unchanged from the flash estimate.

    Half an hour later, UK IHS Markit/CIPS composite PMI data is due. The UK composite output index is forecast to fall to 55.7 in September, as initially estimated, from 59.1 in August.

    In the meantime, Eurozone Sentix investor confidence survey results are due. Economists expect the index to fall to -9.5 in October from -8.0 in September. At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat is scheduled to issue euro area retail sales data for August. Sales are forecast to climb 2.4 percent on month, in contrast to a 1.3 percent drop in July.

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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: GERMANY FACTORY ORDERS DATA DUE

    Factory orders and construction Purchasing mangers' survey data from Germany are due on Tuesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is scheduled to issue Germany's factory orders data for August. Economists forecast orders to grow 2.6 percent on month, following a 2.8 percent rise in July.

    At 3.00 am ET, industrial output figures are due from Hungary. Output is expected to fall 3.3 percent on year in August, after easing 8.1 percent in July.

    At 3.30 am ET, Statistics Sweden releases industrial production and new orders for August. In the meantime, Germany's IHS Markit construction PMI data is due.

    At 4.30 am ET, IHS Markit is set to issue UK construction PMI data for September. The index is seen at 54.0 versus 54.6 in August.

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  7. #1587
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    HONG KONG PRIVATE SECTOR PMI CLIMBS TO 47.7 IN SEPTEMBER - IHS MARKIT

    The private sector in Hong Kong continued to contract in September, albeit at a slower pace, the latest survey from IHS Markit showed on Wednesday with a PMI score of 47.7.

    That's up from 44.0, although it remains beneath the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.

    Individually, output and new orders fell at slower rates, while the was job growth for the first time in three months. Business sentiment was at its least negative since June 2019.

    Supply chains remained under pressure as limited freight capacity reportedly contributed to delivery delays.

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    JAPAN HAS Y2,102.8 BILLION CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS IN AUGUST

    Japan posted a current account surplus of 2,102.8 billion yen in August, the Ministry of Finance said on Thursday - down 1.5 percent on year.

    That exceeded expectations for a surplus of 1,983.7 billion yen following the 1,468.3 billion yen surplus in July.

    Exports were down 15.5 percent on year at 5.124 trillion yen, while imports sank an annual 22.0 percent to 4.711 trillion yen.

    The trade surplus was 413 billion yen, up from 137.3 billion yen in the previous month.

    The capital account saw a deficit of 9.3 billion yen and the financial account had a surplus of 560.0 billion yen.

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  9. #1589
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: UK GDP DATA DUE

    Monthly GDP estimate, industrial production and foreign trade figures are due from the UK on Friday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics is scheduled to issue UK monthly GDP data. The economy is forecast to grow 4.6 percent on month in August, slower than the 6.6 percent increase in July. Industrial production and foreign trade figures are also due from the UK.

    Industrial output is expected to climb 2.5 percent on month in August. The visible trade deficit is seen widening to GBP 9 billion from GBP 8.65 billion in July.

    In the meantime, consumer prices from Norway and foreign trade from Denmark are due. At 2.45 am ET, the French statistical office Insee releases industrial production data for August. Economists forecast production to advance 1.7 percent on month, slower than the 3.8 percent increase posted in July.

    At 3.00 am ET, foreign trade figures from Hungary and Austria are due.

    At 4.00 am ET, Italy's Istat publishes industrial production for August. Economists forecast output to grow 1.3 percent on month, following a 7.4 percent rise in July. At 5.00 am ET, consumer prices and industrial production reports are due from Greece.

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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: UK UNEMPLOYMENT DATA DUE

    Labor market statistics from the UK and economic confidence from Germany are due on Tuesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics releases UK unemployment data for August. The jobless rate is forecast to rise to 4.3 percent in three months to August from 4.1 percent in the preceding period.

    In the meantime, final consumer price data is due from Germany. According to preliminary estimate, consumer prices decreased 0.2 percent on year in September after staying flat in August.

    At 3.00 am ET, industrial production from Turkey and Hungary are due. Turkey's industrial output is seen rising 3 percent in August after climbing 4.4 percent in July.

    Half an hour later, Statistics Sweden publishes consumer price figures for September. Inflation is seen at 0.6 percent versus 0.8 percent in August.

    At 5.00 am ET, Germany's ZEW economic confidence survey results are due. Economists forecast the economic sentiment index to fall to 73.0 in October from 77.4 in September.

    At 8.30 am ET, the International Monetary Fund is set to publish the World Economic Outlook report.

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  11. #1591
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    CHINA'S INFLATION SLOWS IN SEPTEMBER; PPI CONTINUES TO FALL

    China's consumer price growth slowed in September on easing food price inflation and producer prices continued to ease, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday.

    Consumer prices advanced 1.7 percent on a yearly basis in September, slower than the 2.4 percent increase seen in August. This was also slower than the economists' forecast of 1.8 percent.

    At the same time, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady at 0.5 percent in September.

    Driven by a slowdown in pork price inflation, food prices grew 7.9 percent following 11.2 percent rise in August. Pork prices grew 25.5 percent but much slower than the 52.6 percent increase logged in the previous month.

    On a monthly basis, consumer prices gained 0.2 percent versus a 0.4 percent rise a month ago. Another report from NBS showed that producer prices were down 2.1 percent annually after easing 2 percent in August. Economists had forecast an annual decrease of 1.8 percent.

    With infrastructure-led stimulus still being ramped up and consumption rebounding, demand-side pressures on prices will probably strengthen in the coming months, pushing up underlying inflation, Julian Evans-Pritchard and Sheana Yue, economists at Capital Economics, said.

    However, the economists noted that the rebound in core consumer price inflation will still leave it relatively subdued and food price inflation looks set to drop back further in the near-term as pork supply continues to recover from last year's African swine fever outbreak.

    The benign outlook for inflation means it is unlikely to be a major driver of policy decisions in the coming quarters, the economists added.

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  12. #1592
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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: EUROZONE CONSUMER PRICES, FOREIGN TRADE DATA DUE

    Final consumer prices and foreign trade figures from euro area are due on Friday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, the European Automobile Manufacturers Association is set to issue Europe's new car registrations data. Sales had declined 18.9 percent annually in August.

    At 3.00 am ET, the Czech Statistical Office releases producer prices for September. Prices are forecast to drop 0.7 percent annually after falling 0.5 percent in August.

    At 4.00 am ET, Italy's final consumer price data is due. Prices are forecast to fall 0.5 percent annually, as initially estimated in September.

    At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat is scheduled to publish euro area final consumer prices and foreign trade data. According to flash estimate, consumer prices dropped 0.3 percent on year in September, following a 0.2 percent decrease in August.

    The euro area trade surplus is forecast to fall to EUR 15.1 billion in August from EUR 27.9 billion in July.

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  13. #1593
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    CHINA GDP EXPANDS 4.9% ON YEAR IN Q3

    China's gross domestic product was up 4.9 percent on year in the third quarter of 2020, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday - missing forecasts for a gain of 5.2 percent but still up from 3.2 percent in the three months prior.

    On a quarterly basis, GDP rose 2.7 percent - again shy of expectations for 3.2 percent and down sharply from the 11.5 percent gain in the previous three months.

    The bureau also said that industrial production jumped 6.9 percent on year in September - beating forecasts for a gain of 5.8 percent and up from 5.6 percent in August.

    Retail sales climbed an annual 3.3 percent, exceeding expectations for a rise of 1.8 percent following the 0.5 percent gain in the previous month.

    Fixed asset investment was up 0.8 percent year to date in September, matching forecasts following the 0.3 percent fall a month earlier.

    The jobless rate came in at 5.4 percent in September, down from 5.6 percent in August.

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    AUSTRALIA'S LEADING INDEX SIGNALS ROBUST GROWTH MOMENTUM

    Australia's leading index improved in September suggesting that momentum continued to show a significant improvement consistent with the economy moving out of recession, data from Westpac showed Wednesday.

    The six-month annualized growth rate in the Westpac Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, rose to -0.48 percent in September from -2.28 percent in August.

    The leading index growth rate has lifted a whopping 5.11 percentage points since April, data showed.

    The main components driving the improvement have been US industrial production, the S&P/ASX 200, aggregate monthly hours worked, the Westpac-MI Consumer Expectations index, and the Westpac-MI "Unemployment Expectations index.

    However, these gains have been partially offset by a bigger drag from commodity prices and the dwelling approvals.

    Westpac upgraded its growth outlook for 2021 to 2.8 percent and that for 2022 to 3.5 percent.

    Key factors behind the improvement are a boost to consumer demand, as households spend around 50 percent of the personal tax cuts, and a lift in business investment in response to the accelerated depreciation allowances.

    Bill Evans, chief economist at Westpac expects the cash rate, the three year bond target rate and the rate on the Term Funding Facility to be reduced from 0.25 percent to 0.10 percent at the upcoming meeting on November 3.

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    EUROPEAN ECONOMICS PREVIEW: GERMANY IFO BUSINESS CONFIDENCE DATA DUE

    Flash Purchasing Managers' survey data from euro area and the UK are due on Friday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

    usiness sentiment survey data from Germany is due on Monday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

    At 2.00 am ET, Statistics Finland releases producer and import prices for September.

    At 4.00 am ET, the Turkish Statistical Institute is slated to issue manufacturing sentiment data for October.

    In the meantime, Spain's INE issues producer prices and unemployment data. The jobless rate is forecast to rise to 16.7 percent in the third quarter from 15.33 percent in the second quarter.

    At 5.00 am ET, Germany's ifo business confidence survey results are due. Economists forecast the business sentiment index to drop to 93.0 in October from 93.4 in the previous month.

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    CHINA'S INDUSTRIAL PROFITS RISE FOR FIFTH MONTH

    China's industrial profits increased for the fifth straight month in September, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Tuesday.

    Industrial profits grew 10.1 percent on a yearly basis but slower than the 19.1 percent increase posted in August. This was the fifth consecutive rise.

    The statistical office cited falling factory gate prices and rising raw material prices as major reason for the slowdown in industrial profits.

    During January to September period, industrial profits declined 2.4 percent from the same period last year.

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    UK CAR PRODUCTION FOR SEPTEMBER LOWEST IN 25 YEARS: SMMT

    UK car production for the month of September reached its lowest for 25 years as demand from foreign markets remained negative, data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders showed Thursday.

    Car manufacturing output slid 5 percent on a yearly basis to 114,732 units in September, the weakest level since 1995.

    Production for foreign markets decreased 9.7 percent to 87,533 units as shipments to key overseas destinations namely China, the EU and US decreased from last year.

    Meanwhile, output for domestic market advanced 14.5 percent in September.

    The latest independent outlook forecasts factories to make fewer than 885,000 cars this year, the first time volumes will have dipped below one million since 2009.

    With countries across Europe experiencing a surge in Covid-19 cases, and with local lockdowns already in place across many parts of the UK and beyond, the final quarter of 2020 looks increasingly challenging, the lobby said.

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    NEW ZEALAND CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IMPROVES IN OCTOBER

    New Zealand consumer sentiment improved in October after easing for three straight months, survey data from ANZ showed on Friday.

    The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence index rose to 108.7 in October from 100.0 in September.

    After three consecutive falls, consumers' perceptions of their current financial situation advanced 5 points to +3.

    A net 28 percent of consumers expect to be better off financially this time next year, which was up 6 points. A net 11 percent think it was a good time to buy a major household item, which was up 12 points.

    Perceptions regarding the next year's economic outlook climbed 14 points to -21 percent in October. The five-year outlook rose 7 points to +22 percent.

    House price inflation expectations increased to 4.6 percent. Likewise, general inflation expectations rose 0.6 percentage points to 3.8 percent, the highest since February.

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    AUSTRALIA BUILDING PERMITS SPIKE IN SEPTEMBER

    The total number of building permits issued in Australia jumped a seasonally adjusted 15.4 percent on month in September, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Monday - coming in at 15,827.

    That beat forecasts for an increase of 1.3 percent following the 2.2 percent decline in August. Consents were up 8.8 percent on year.

    The rise was driven by private sector dwellings excluding houses, which increased by 23.4 percent in September, but remains 12.1 percent lower than at the same time last year. Private sector houses rose 9.7 percent, driven by strength across all states and territories, to be 20.7 percent higher than at the same time last year.

    The value of total building approved fell 17.0 percent in September, in seasonally adjusted terms. The value of non-residential building fell 36.7 percent, after rising 40.0 percent in August.

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    PHILIPPINES POST $1.707 BILLION TRADE DEFICIT IN SEPTEMBER

    The Philippines saw a merchandise trade deficit of $1.707 billion in September, the Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

    That follows the $2.075 billion shortfall in the previous month.

    Imports were down 16.5 percent in year after tumbling an annual 22.6 percent in August.

    Exports picked up 2.2 percent on year after sinking 18.6 percent a month earlier.

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