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  1. #1521
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    New Zealand Producer Price Outputs Add 0.1% In Q1

    Producer price outputs in New Zealand were up 0.1 percent on quarter in the first quarter of 2020, Statistics New Zealand said on Tuesday - slowing from 0.4 percent in the three month prior.

    Producer price inputs fell 0.3 percent on quarter after rising 0.1 percent in the previous three months.

    On a yearly basis, outputs gained 2.2 percent and inputs were up 1.2 percent. Farm expenses price index (FEPI) were flat on quarter and up 1.0 percent on year, while capital goods price index (CGPI) rose 0.6 percent on quarter and 2.9 percent on year.

    Salaries and wages rose 0.3 percent on quarter and 2.5 percent on year.

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  2. #1522
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    Japan March Core Machine Orders Ease 0.4%



    Core machine orders in Japan slid a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent on month in March, the Cabinet Office said on Wednesday - standing at 854.7 billion yen.

    That beat expectations for a tumble 0.7.1 percent following the 2.3 percent increase in February.

    On a yearly basis, core machine orders sank 0.7 percent - again beating forecasts for a all of 9.5 percent following the 2.3 percent drop in the previous month.

    The total value of machinery orders received by 280 manufacturers operating in Japan increased by a seasonally adjusted 3.0 percent on month and 0.9 percent on year in March at 2,289.0 billion yen.

    Manufacturing orders fell 8.2 percent on quarter and 3.2 percent on year, while non-manufacturing orders added 5.3 percent on quarter and 0.9 percent on year.

    Government orders surged 17.1 percent on month and 66.5 percent on year, while orders from overseas fell 1.3 percent on month and 14.4 percent on year. Orders through agencies sank 3.3 percent on month and 5.8 percent on year.

    For the first quarter of 2020, core machine orders slid 0.7 percent on quarter and 1.0 percent on year. Total machine orders gained 3.9 percent on quarter and fell 0.7 percent on year in Q1.

    Manufacturing orders added 1.8 percent on quarter and lost 3.4 percent on year in Q1, while non-manufacturing orders fell 5.1 percent on quarter and rose 0.6 percent on year.

    Government orders soared 25.5 percent on quarter and 45.0 percent on year, while orders from overseas gained 8.7 percent on quarter and lost 8.7 percent on year. Orders through agencies gained 3.6 percent on quarter and fell 4.1 percent on year.

    Core machine orders are now predicted to fall 0.7 percent on quarter in Q2 and 10.4 percent on year.

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  3. #1523
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    Malaysia Consumer Prices Fall More-Than-Expected In April

    Malaysia's consumer prices declined more-than-expected in April, figures from the Department of Statistics revealed on Wednesday.

    The consumer price index declined 2.9 percent year-on-year in April, following a revised 0.2 percent decrease in March. Economists had expected a 1.6 percent fall. This was the second consecutive fall in prices.

    Among the main components, prices for transport declined 21.5 percent annually in April and housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels decreased by 2.2 percent.

    Meanwhile, cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages rose 1.2 percent and prices for miscellaneous goods and services grew 2.3 percent. Cost for health and education rose by 1.2 percent, each.

    On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices fell 2.7 percent in April.

    The core consumer price inflation held steady at 1.3 percent in April.

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  4. #1524
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    Forecast for EUR/USD on May 22, 2020

    EUR/USD
    The euro grew during the first half of Thursday due to optimistic rates of European business activity for the current month: Manufacturing PMI of the euro area grew from 33.4 to 39.5, Services PMI showed even greater dynamics - an increase from 12.0 to 28.7. The euro has decisively reversed since the US session opened. US PMIs came out better than expected, but not as much as we expected: Manufacturing PMI grew from 36.1 to 39.8 against 39.3, Services PMI grew from 26.7 to 36.9 with 32.6 expected. Nevertheless, the trading volumes were comparable to those observed on May 18, which indicates a massive closure of purchases and even the opening of sales. A more interesting story awaits us next week, when sales of new housing, orders for durable goods, incomes and expenses of consumers will be published in the US.



    The price was re-marked at the upper border of the price range and with the turn of the oscillator, Marlin headed down on the daily chart. The closest support for the price is the price channel line at 1.0918, below it is the MACD indicator line at 1.0888, overcoming it will confirm the euro's intention to go much deeper down to 1.0767 and 1.0578.



    The signal line of the Marlin oscillator penetrated into the downward trend zone after forming a double divergence on the four-hour chart. The closest target is the 1.0888 level, at which the MACD lines coincide on both scopes. Consolidation under the level opens the way to the lower border of the range 1.0767.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  5. #1525
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    Singapore Cuts 2020 GDP Outlook



    Singapore's economic outlook for 2020 was lowered further due to the deterioration in foreign demand forecast and the expected economic impact of the coronavirus containment measures.

    The Ministry of Trade and Industry on Tuesday forecast the city-state economy to shrink "-7.0 to -4.0 percent" this year instead of "-4.0 to -1.0 percent projected in March.

    The ministry said there continues to be a significant degree of uncertainty over the length and severity of the coronavirus, or Covid-19, outbreak, as well as the trajectory of the economic recovery, in both the global and Singapore economies.

    Gross domestic product shrank 0.7 percent on a yearly basis in the first quarter, reversing a 1 percent rise in the fourth quarter 2019. The first quarter figure was revised from -2.2 percent.

    On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted annualized basis, the economy contracted 4.7 percent, a pullback from the 0.6 percent expansion in the fourth quarter of last year.

    The manufacturing sector expanded by 6.6 per cent year-on-year on account of output expansions in the biomedical manufacturing, precision engineering and transport engineering clusters.

    Meanwhile, the construction sector contracted 4.0 percent. Likewise, the wholesale and retail trade sector fell 5.8 percent and the transportation and storage sector declined 8.1 percent.

    The accommodation and food services sector logged a sharp fall of 23.8 percent. At the same time, the information and communications sector grew 3.5 percent and the finance and insurance sector expanded 8.0 percent.

    The business services sector shrank 3.3 percent in the first quarter.

    A very strong performance from the biomedical manufacturing sector meant that Singapore's economy contracted much less in the first quarter than previously thought, Alex Holmes, an economist at Capital Economics, said.

    But with a stringent lockdown in place at home and demand cratering abroad, the sector is unlikely to stop a huge contraction in the economy in the second quarter, the economist added.

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  6. #1526
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    Japan Retail Sales Slide 9.6% On Month In April



    The total value of retail sales in Japan was down a seasonally adjusted 9.6 percent on month in April, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday.
    That was shy of expectations for a decline of 7.0 percent following the 4.5 percent drop in March.

    On a yearly basis, retail sales tumbled 13.7 percent - also missing expectations for a drop of 11.5 percent after slipping 4.6 percent in the previous month.

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  7. #1527
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    Philippines Manufacturing PMI Rises To 40.1 In May - IHS Markit



    The manufacturing sector in the Philippines continued to contract in May, albeit at a slower rate, the latest survey from IHS Markit revealed on Monday with a manufacturing PMI score of 40.1.

    That's up from the record low 31.6 in April, although it remains beneath the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.

    Individually, the rates of decline in output and new orders eased but remained sharp.

    Employment levels fell steeply again, while output prices ricked higher as cost pressures rose.

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  8. #1528
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    Ireland Manufacturing Downturn Continues In May



    Ireland's manufacturing sector contracted at a softer pace in May, as the local and global economies remained in lockdown amid coronavirus outbreak, survey data from IHS Markit showed on Tuesday.

    The seasonally adjusted AIB factory Purchasing Managers' Index, or PMI, rose to 39.2 in May from 36.0 in April. Any reading below 50 indicates contraction in the sector.

    New orders remained weak in the midst of lockdown measures. Employment increased in May, but it signaled the second fastest rate of job shedding in nearly eleven years. Suppliers' delivery time lengthened in May.

    Stocks of purchase signaled the slowest rate of input destocking in seven months. New export orders declined further at the second-fastest pace on record.

    As many firms remained shut down in May, backlogs of work declined at the fastest rate since September 2011. Purchasing activity declined due to suspended output and fall in demand due to coronavirus pandemic.

    On the price front, the survey showed that input prices fell for the third straight month in May and manufacturers reduced their charges for the third month and at the strongest rate since July 2019.

    Manufacturers reported overall optimism regarding future output in May, following a record degree of pessimism in April.

    "The AIB Irish Manufacturing PMI data for May paint a downbeat picture of the sector for the third month in a row as the lockdowns associated with the coronavirus pandemic continue to depress activity," Oliver Mangan, AIB chief economist said.

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  9. #1529
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    Australia Building Approvals Dip 1.8% In April

    The total number of building permits issued in Australia was down a seasonally adjusted 1.8 percent on month in April, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday - coming in at 15,294.

    That beat expectations for a plunge of 15.0 percent following the 4.0 percent drop in March.

    On a yearly basis, building permits were up 5.7 percent.

    Permits issued for private sector houses rose 2.7 percent on month and 4.9 percent on year to 8,912, while permits issued for private sector dwellings excluding houses fell 8.9 on month but rose 4.0 percent on year to 6,079.

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  10. #1530
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    Japan Household Spending Sinks 11.1% On Year In April

    The average of household spending in Japan was down 11.1 percent on year in April, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said on Friday - coming in at 267, 922 yen.

    That beat expectations for a drop of 15.4 percent on year following the 6.0 percent fall in March.

    The average of monthly income per household stood at 531,017 yen, up 0.9 percent on year.

    On a monthly basis, household spending fell 6.2 percent - also beating expectations for a fall of 8.7 percent after slipping 4.0 percent a month earlier.

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  11. #1531
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    China Inflation -0.8% On Month In May



    Consumer prices in China tumbled 0.8 percent on month in May, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday - missing expectations for a fall of 0.5 percent following the 0.9 percent drop in April.

    On a yearly basis, consumer prices rose 2.4 percent - also shy of forecasts for an increase of 2.7 percent and down sharply from 3.3 percent in the previous month.

    The bureau also said that producer prices were down 3.7 percent on year versus expectations of a fall of 3.3 percent following the 3.1 percent slide a month earlier.

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  12. #1532
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    UK House Price Balance At 10-Year Low: RICS

    The UK house price indicator moved deeper into negative territory in May amid coronavirus pandemic, survey data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, or RICS, showed Thursday.

    The house price balance fell to -32 percent in May from -22 percent in April. This was the weakest monthly figure since 2010.

    Moreover, near-term price expectations remained downbeat, with the index standing at -43 percent. Further, a net -16 percent forecast prices to fall over the year ahead. The survey showed that there was a slight improvement in the sales outlook as estate agents were permitted to reopen on May 13. Nonetheless, given the economic uncertainty caused by the pandemic, overall sentiment remained cautions.

    The net balance for new buyer enquiries rose to -5 percent in May from a record low of -94 percent in April.

    Despite a net balance of -20 percent of contributors reporting that new instructions coming onto the market continued to fall in May, this was noticeably less negative compared to the reading of -97 percent last month, RICS said.

    Further, the net balance for near term sales expectations advanced to -4 percent from -58 percent in April.

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  13. #1533
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    UK House Price Balance At 10-Year Low: RICS

    The UK house price indicator moved deeper into negative territory in May amid coronavirus pandemic, survey data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, or RICS, showed Thursday.

    The house price balance fell to -32 percent in May from -22 percent in April. This was the weakest monthly figure since 2010.

    Moreover, near-term price expectations remained downbeat, with the index standing at -43 percent. Further, a net -16 percent forecast prices to fall over the year ahead. The survey showed that there was a slight improvement in the sales outlook as estate agents were permitted to reopen on May 13. Nonetheless, given the economic uncertainty caused by the pandemic, overall sentiment remained cautions.

    The net balance for new buyer enquiries rose to -5 percent in May from a record low of -94 percent in April.

    Despite a net balance of -20 percent of contributors reporting that new instructions coming onto the market continued to fall in May, this was noticeably less negative compared to the reading of -97 percent last month, RICS said.

    Further, the net balance for near term sales expectations advanced to -4 percent from -58 percent in April.

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  14. #1534
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    Euro Little Changed After Eurozone Trade Data

    At 5.00 am ET Monday, Eurostat has published euro area foreign trade figures for April. The euro changed little against its major rivals after the data.

    The euro was trading at 120.83 against the yen, 1.1261 against the greenback, 1.0708 against the franc and 0.8981 against the pound around 5:05 am ET.

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    New Zealand Has NZ$1.6 Billion Current Account Shortfall

    New Zealand had a seasonally adjusted current account deficit of NZ$1.6 billion in the first quarter of 2020, Statistics New Zealand said on Wednesday.

    That missed expectations for a surplus of NZ$1.482 billion but was an improvement over the NZ$2.66 billion shortfall in the three months prior.

    The seasonally adjusted goods deficit narrowed to NZ$213 million, while the services surplus narrowed to NZ$983 million.

    The primary income deficit widened to NZ$2.2 billion and the financial account recorded a net outflow of NZ$7.7 billion.

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  16. #1536
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    Australia Retail Sales Rebound At Record Pace In May

    Australia's retail sales expanded in May at the fastest pace in the 38 year history of the series, after the easing of coronavirus containment measures, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Friday.

    Retail sales grew by 16.3 percent on a monthly basis in May, the biggest on record, following a record decline of 17.7 percent in April.

    Turnover rose 5.3 percent from the same period last year.

    There were large increases in turnover in clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing and cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services, as restrictions eased throughout the month.

    Data showed that the monthly rise in clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing exceeded 100 percent but remained more than 20 percent from last year.

    Food retailing rose 7.2 percent from April. At the same time, perishable goods turnover advanced 7.0 percent and non-perishable goods turnover gained 3.8 percent. and All other products turnover gained 5.8 percent in May.

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    New Zealand Trade Surplus NZ$1.3 Billion In May

    New Zealand posted a merchandise trade surplus of NZ$1.3 billion in May, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday - following the NZ$1.267 billion surplus in April.

    Exports were down an annual 6.1 percent or NZ$350 million to NZ$5.39 billion.

    Imports plummeted 25.6 percent or NZ$1.4 billion to NZ$4.14 billion.

    In the year ended May 2020, exports gained 1.3 percent or NZ$0.8 billion to NZ$60.1 billion. Imports fell 5.4 percent or NZ$3.5 billion to NZ$61.4 billion - resulting in a trade deficit of NZ$1.3 billion.

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    Malaysia Exports Fall More Than Expected In May

    Malaysia's exports declined at faster than expected rate in May, data from the Department of Statistics revealed on Thursday.

    Exports fell 25.5 percent year-on-year to MYR 62.7 billion in May, following a 23.9 percent decrease in April. Economists had expected a 19.9 percent decline.

    Exports to India, Singapore, Thailand, Japan, the European Union, Hong Kong and Vietnam lowered in May, while those to China increased.

    Imports declined 30.4 percent annually to MYR 52.3 billion in May, following a 23.6 percent fall in the previous month. This was the biggest fall since January 2009. Economists had forecast a fall of 19.8 percent.

    Consequently, the trade balance registered a surplus of MYR 10.4 billion in May.

    On a monthly basis, exports fell 3.2 percent in May and imports declined 23.6 percent.

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  19. #1539
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    New Zealand ANZ Business Sentiment Rises Less Than Estimated

    New Zealand business sentiment improved less than estimated in June, final data from ANZ showed on Tuesday.

    The business confidence index rose to -34.4 in June from -41.8 in May. However, the score was weaker the preliminary estimate of -33.0.

    ANZ said a vigorous bounce out of lockdown was evident in the numbers, but the levels were consistent with the assessment that the recession is just starting.

    "It is encouraging to see a bounce in sentiment in the retail sector, and these tallies with anecdotes we are hearing about households rushing out to spend the involuntary savings accumulated during lockdown, as well as the money that had been squirreled away, earmarked for an overseas holiday," ANZ said.

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    UK Shop Prices Continues To Fall In June: BRC

    UK shop prices declined for the thirteenth straight month in June but the pace of decrease slowed, data from the British Retail Consortium showed Wednesday.

    The BRC-Nielsen shop price index declined 1.6 percent in June.

    Although consumers benefited from the decline in shop prices, the situation for many retailers, such as those in clothing and footwear remains very challenging, Helen Dickinson, chief executive at BRC, said.

    "Coronavirus has been a huge shock to the retail industry and coming on top of this, the threat of the UK leaving the EU without a trade deal is a real concern as it would lead to severe disruptions to supply chains, far beyond those experienced during lockdown, resulting in higher prices and reduced availability in shops," Dickinson added.

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